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So welcome back football fans!!! It's finally time for the NFL to get back into full gear and it seems like it has been ages since the Super Bowl.
We're finally ready to dispense with the pretending and commence with the reality that is a new NFL season. The mind-numbing and oft-nauseating Favre watch is now officially over - for good. (We think) This will be his last season no matter what. (We hope) Teams have now pared down their rosters to the requisite 53 players, with teams claiming a few of those potential diamonds in the rough off waiver wires. Hardknocks is now over and Jets coach Rex Ryan will find out what that term truly means in the next few weeks- with or without Revis Island.
In the 2010 NFL season, I believe we'll see a couple of unfamiliar faces in playoff spaces come January, with former playoff "regulars" looking on from the proverbial sidelines. While the Saints might have a letdown from their championship year, there's no reason to think it will be because they are less hungry. Sometimes things just fall into place for you like an Adrian Peterson fumble, or a Hank Baskett muff. There's just nothing that can explain the how or why of it happening, but if you're on the side of "lady luck", then you have been supplied one more portion of that age-old formula "When preparation meets opportunity, success is a likely result." Or words to that effect.
Unless you're the Minnesota Vikings. But that's a whole different subject for a whole different day.
Mac's NFL Power Rankings will normally begin each season with the defending champion at the top of the heap, until it's first defeat. At that point all bets are off and anyone could jump up to #1 at any given time. Generally the first few weeks see quite a bit of change as the teams looked upon as favorites have a rugged start, or teams not expected to do that much ( a la Denver last season through week 6) shoot up into the top ten, only to slide down the rankings later on.
Before we get to the rankings, let me also make the journey out onto the shakey limb that is NFL predictions, and give you my division winners and playoff participants.
First, the division winners & wild card teams:
AFC DIVISION WINNERS & WILDCARD TEAMS
Cincinnati
Indianapolis
New England
San Diego
Tennessee
Baltimore
NFC DIVISION WINNERS & WILDCARD TEAMS
Green Bay
Dallas
New Orleans
San Francisco
Carolina
Minnesota
AFC Championship Game: Baltimore vs San Diego
NFC Championship Game: Carolina vs Green Bay
Super Bowl: Green Bay defeats San Diego
Alright, with the predictions out of the way and the 2010 NFL season is ready to launch, here's the first glance at the pre-season version of Mac's 2010 NFL Power Rankings. These rankings will be updated on Sunday evening (9/12) and again on Tuesday (9/13),following the double-header Monday night games. And throughout the season, be sure to check back with me every Monday to see how the rankings have changed, and where the rankings stack against your idea of how look in the NFL for the 2010 season.
Drop me an email or leave a comment here to blast me - if you feel the urge - or even if you'd like to agree ! (Yes, I'm quite the optimist, aren't I ? )
Let's get started:
1. New Orleans (13-3) - My own personal golden rule of power rankings is this: The team that wins it all the previous season starts at the top to begin the new season. I usually keep them right at #1 until someone can knock them from the ranks of the undefeated, and it starts taht way again this year. It took 13 weeks for the Saints to lose their first game last year, but I doubt it takes that long this time around. Minnesota, at the 49ers, then Atlanta and Carolina to start the divisional race off for New Orleans. That's four very tough teams right out the gate, and it gives reinforcement to the main concern for a repeat in New Orleans: Lack of depth at running back & no real upgrade at LB during the off-season. That could come back to haunt the Saints if injuries do pile up.
2. Indianapolis (14-2) – Minus a botched Hank Baskett recovery of an onside kick (that led to 7 points), some poor coaching decisions, a hobbled Dwight Freeney and a horrible goof by Manning and Wayne that led to 7 more points, these Colts might well be the defending champs for the second time in 4 years. Of course, if the dog hadn't stopped to take a crap, he would've caught the rabbit too. Still, Indy's a very formidable team so long as #18 is at QB, and chances are good they're the AFC South winner once again. That said, they face another year with critical problems along the offensive line and need to get better along the defensive line. The month of November and the first week in December is the toughest part of the schedule, but the Colts will need to jump out to that near-annual 6-0 start in order for a chance at a Super Bowl return.
3. Dallas (11-5) - The Cowboys have the talent and confidence to make the march to the Super Bowl. But then again, they've had that each of the past 3 or 4 seasons. It just seems that now it appears they have both the belief and the mental fortitude to pull it off. But the offensive line ( and by extention, Tony Romo )for Dallas is the key component. If they make it, at least they won't have to "march" very far. If they don't, and ruin Jerruh's Super Bowl shindig, look for LOTS of heads to roll. That's probably why they won't ultimately make it to the big game. And by the way a reminder to Houston fans all amped up by the pre-season thumping they gave to the Cowboys: September 26th is the rematch, and this one actually counts. Good luck.
4. Green Bay - (11-5) Forget about Favre and the drama in the Twin cities, because Green Bay is now THE force in the NFC North. The Packers are going to be a formidable opponent this year and have the ability to go all the way to Dallas for the Super Bowl. I don't think the offense will be the question mark for this team (except for the protection of Aaron Rodgers - especially against Minnesota), so the defense must be ready to clamp down when it counts. The Packers are capable of building up a record of 4-0 before face the Skins in D.C. on the 10th of October, followed by a meeting with Miami at Lambeau Field on Ocotober 17th. Those two games lead into the rematch with Minnesota on Sunday night, October 24th in Green Bay. Imagine the drama if both the Packers and Vikings are unbeaten coming into that game.
5. Baltimore (9-7) - I know, I know....the defense is a bit aged, but check out that offense - and with an additional top wideout for Flacco to utilize. Older defense perhaps, but still a pretty stout one. And the offense can score more than a TD per game now. Baltimore has four divisional games in its first six, sandwiched between the opener with the Jets and a trip to New England. If they can stay healthy, (and they haven't had a good amount of luck in that respect thus far) get more production out of Flacco and get some help from newcomers on defense, the Ravens could be the AFC title champ.
6. San Diego (13-3) – Two big problems keep the Chargers on the outside, looking-in. #1) The defense isn't dominant. #2) The lack of a running game, unless the rookie shines brightly. He has given us glimpses of being somthing special, but the previous few games don't mean anything. Oh, and I guess you could add the choking FG kicker in playoff games as #3. One caveat: SD has one of the easiest overall schedules in the entire NFL. You can count SD's opponents who made the playoffs a year ago on one hand. Seriously. Try it out for yourself.
7. Carolina (8-8) - Notice how three NFC South teams are in the top ten? That's not a mistake because it should be the toughest division in the NFL, just ahead of the entire AFC. QB Matt Moore has basically the same team as Jake Delhomme did and he has an even better defense to back him in 2010. Speaking of that defense, you'd think it certainly has to make the Panther offense better too, since they practice against them each week. Keep your eye on this team as a "sleeper" NFC title game team. It will be absolutely bloody in the NFC South this year.
8. Atlanta (9-7) – Tough call for me here, but I am going to give the benefit of doubt to the Falcons. Atlanta was a couple of injuries away from being a team in the Lombardi Trophy hunt last year, and will be a huge obstacle for the Saints attempt at a repeat championship. Still young at key positions, this ballclub may still be a year off from becoming a playoff-caliber force. However, the potential is there right now. The reason they are behind Carolina in this pre-season ranking is the Panther defense is better across the board at this point.
9. New England (10-6) – Some key offensive additions like Fred Taylor and Alge Crumpler give Brady and Moss veteran players to lean on. Couple that with Wes Welker's impending return and the emergence last season of , and you have a potentially powerful offense just chomping at the bit. Still, with no superior pass rush, the Pats need to score lots of points in order to fend off division rivals Miami and New York. How well the defense plays will determine if the Pats can lock up another division title.
10. Cincinnati (10-6) – Ochocinco gets his new teammate T.O. and Carson Palmer has a healthy Jerome Simpson and rookie Shipley. That's a pretty solid stable of wideouts. Not to mention the big target at tight end now. No reason and no excuses for the Bengals not to light up scoreboards with this offense. Being a devil's advocate for a moment, however, allows me to remind folks that TO hasn't played in as physical a division as the AFC North, and he's not exactly sticky fingers any longer - especially in cold weather. And Shipley and Gresham, though good, are still rookies. It's also time for the defense to step up.
11. New York Giants (8-8) - I probably have these guys too high this early on, what with all the offensive line problems and injuries to some big parts of the ballclub. Eli Manning now has a solid receiving corps but the predicted strong running game isn't that apparent at present. Perhaps that's to change once the actual season kicks off. Meantime, the defense looks to be much better in 2010 (the recent Baltimore pre-season game notwithstanding) and should give the Cowboys a run for the division title. Certainly they're better than the Jets.
12. N.Y. Jets (9-7) – Highly touted as having their "coming out" party last season. Huge media-driven "this is the year" hype underway, including SI's Don Banks drinking the Kool-aid. But nope, I'm not - and I like Kool-aid. Does anyone remember these were the same Jets that were 4-6 after that 31-14 pounding by the Patriots? Sure, they went on a 4-1 tear the final five weeks - against the likes of injury-riddled Carolina, a 19-13 squeaker over Buffalo and a 26-3 pasting of the Bucs. That was followed by a loss to Atlanta and then two wins against the "laying down" squads of Indy and Cincinnati. How that equates to this being "the year" is beyond me. Get Revis back into the fold and I'll buy that they could push for the playoffs - provided that the "Sanchize" doesn't slump in the dangerous 2nd year of a pro quarterback.
13. Minnesota (12-4) – I don't see Favre having as huge a year as he did last season - the schedule is tougher than a year ago. That doesn't even take into account the accumulated injuries that have hit the team during pre-season. The offensive line is a little creaky and their division isn't the cakewalk it was as both Detroit and Chicago will have much better teams on the field in 2010. Add to that the rematch right out of the gate against New Orleans. With all the hype from Viking fans surrounding that game, imagine the reaction should they lose.
14. Philadelphia (11-5) – Remember the old adage "If it ain't broke, don't fix it?" Yeah, but I guess the Eagles didn't. So off goes Mc5 to the Skins and in comes Kevin Kolb. That really wasn't the part that was broken. Oh boy - this could get ugly - and quick. IF Kolb rises to the challenge, watch out NFC East. If not, it's the NFC East cellar for Philly. That's the dilema I have with exactly where to place this Philly team. I am forced to be patient and wait for the season to unfold a little bit in order to rank them more properly. For now, however, the potential is there for them to make the playoffs.
15. Miami (9-7) - Not really sure if they can make a long playoff run, but time is on their side. The Marshall trade will be huge for the confidence of young Chad Henne IF can rise to the challenge of being the main guy. If not, watch out for the reintroduction of Chad Pennington - who WILL find Marshall early and often. Not a bad predicament to have, but the bigger question is how well the defense can rise to the occassion for 16 weeks.
16. Tennessee (8-8) - Once Jeff Fisher gave in to ownership and put VY in at QB, the Titans chalked up 8 wins in their next 10 games. Visions of long term success or just coincidence? So long as CJ2K can remain effective, look for the Titans to battle Houston for a place next to Indy in the AFC South. Pay close attention early on to the Titan defense, as they have retooled parts of it to remain effective and should be a pretty solid unit in 2010.
17. Pittsburgh (9-7) - I never, ever, underestimate the Steelers. The opening four games might be a barometer for the remainder of the season. Their schedule is pretty tough and with Big Ben out those first four games, a 2-2 start would be a god-send. If they start better than that, look out. The Steelers may have ultimately benefitted by the injury of Byron Leftwich, taking out the "statue" for their opponents to tee off on, while being able to insert Charlie Batch or the elusive Dennis Dixon. I'm betting Dixon gets the nod.
18. Houston (9-7) - For the past three years I've said this team is a playoff team. Well, to start out this year in Mac's Power Rankings, I'll just say they have the potential to be in the playoffs. That's as far as I'm going this year Texans. The rest is up to ya all cause the rest of us are tired of saying it, only to have you go out and prove us wrong time and again.
Cl
19. San Francisco (8-8) – Same with the 49ers, only to a smaller extent, as Mike Singletary has had less time than Gary Kubiak to establish his imprint on San Francisco. It looks as though this ballclub might finally have the mental toughness to make the move to a playoff team. Each of their 2009 losses (with the exception of the Atlanta Falcons) came by a TD or less. I'd start them out higher, but will let them do the heavy lifting.
20. Washington (4-12) - Jason Campbell showed that there is a bit of spark in the passing game IF you can lead the team. He didn't, but Mc5 will. That doesn't mean the Skins can rack up the easy "W", but it does mean they shouldn't be overlooked. The Redskin defense will certainly give the team a chance to stick close, so it will be up to McNabb and the offense to close it out in most games.
21. Arizona (10-6) – Many are wondering how Matt Leinart will fare this year as the Cards starting QB. I actually think it'll be Derek Anderson at the helm to start the season, and if he can't get it done, the Cards will be looking for a new QB in the 2011 draft. Could be a down year for the passing attack, so a stout and stingy defense will be a much needed requirement if they want to make the playoffs.
22. Jacksonville (8-8) - The owner won't dump del Rio, at least maybe not until they move west. In the meantime, other than Maurice Jones-Drew, the Jags just don't have any consistent firepower on offense and they dropped 5 out of their final 6 games in 2009.
23. Chicago (7-9) – Big, big season and even bigger pressure on Jay Cutler in 2010. With Mike Martz there, the pressure to dial up big points will be felt each week. Saying Cutler has "Warner-like" attributes didn't do him any favors though. Adding FA Julius Peppers can only help the defensive unit, but letting Alex Brown walk was odd. Will be tough to battle past both the Packers and Vikings.
24. Denver (8-8) - The defense is what worries most in the Mile High city, but the rash of injuries that have decimated the running back corps in Denver is truly alarming. Former Bronco coach Mike Shanahan knew the drill all too well in Denver a couple of times, but now Josh McDaniels must try and find suitable depth to help take the pressure off of Kyle Orton and the passing game. Even though Orton has now seemingly mastered the offense and looked sharp in the pre-season, he's not going to be able to carry the offense solo - especially with a questionable defense.
25. Kansas City - This will be an extremely interesting team to watch this season. Can the team move forward and up far enough, fast enough, to get into playoff contention. They have definitely added some top players on both sides of the ball.
26. Seattle (5-11) – I'm not expecting a whole lot out of "USC North" in their first year under Pete Carroll. Sure seems like the coach has had plenty to be distracted with during the off-season, but Seattle has actually looked fairly stable in pre-season. Of course, pre-season doesn't count.
27. Oakland (5-11) – Good draft(finally) and the addition of Jason Campbell with a chip on his shoulder is better than JaMarcus Russell with a pout on his face. Although Campbell being carted off in the 3rd pre-season game isn't what you want to see. In the AFC West, they'll battle Denver for that 3rd spot to try and stay ahead of KC - but don't be shocked if Oakland disrupts an otherwise tame AFC West.
28. Detroit (2-14) – Well, it's getting better incrementally in the Motor City. With some good drafting and a couple of solid FA acquisitions, the Lions aren't the guaranteed "W"of old for their weekly opponents. However, looking over their first four games, it might be a deja vu thing all over again - at least to start the season. If they do better than 2-4 before their bye week on October 24th, that's a big step forward.
30. Tampa Bay (3-13) – Will remain in last place in the NFC South, but should be a better team - though it's not like they were being blown out each game a year ago. Losing Josh early on doesn't help matters, so it wouldn't surprise me if the Bucs fell down a notch or two from this not-so-lofty crow's nest.
29. Buffalo (6-10) – Marshawn Lynch, Fred Jackson & C.J. Spiller. What a trio for the ground game. The defense is pretty good, but the Bills offensive line and QB seem to be the obstacle that will hold them back from being a consistently disruptive force in the AFC East. Well, that and a myriad of other problems that won't seem to go away. Can you believe someone suggested trading for Matt Leinart? That's funny.
31. Cleveland (5-11) – The Browns may very well end up at the bottom of the barrel at the conclusion of the 2010 NFL season. When they acquired Jake Delhomme from Carolina, and then traded 3 picks in the draft away for RB Montario Hardesty, many like me were wondering what the hell they were thinking. It looks like it might have worked if you watched the pre-season. But now, with Hardesty gone for the season, the running game doesn't look as promising. Which means Delhomme will be counted on even more in the Brown offensive game plan. Ask Carolina how that worked a year ago with a top RB duo in the backfield.
32. St. Louis ( 1-15) – It's a brand new year in St. Louis, with a brand new QB. Unfortunately, it probably won't translate into any brand new changes in their power ranking position - unless Buffalo or Cleveland decide they really want/need that first pick more. If they could swing a deal with San Diego for Vincent Jackson, that would certainly make their offense less predictable and more dangerous.
Monday, September 6, 2010
Saturday, April 25, 2009
Mac's Final Mock Outline for 2009 (Round One Only)
1. DETROIT - Matthew Stafford, QB, Georgia
The Lions should have waited till next year for the QB of the future and picked the top OT at this spot.
2. ST. LOUIS - Jason Smith, OT, Baylor
The Rams fill the void created by the departure of Orlando Pace. It'll be Smith or Monroe.
3. KANSAS CITY - Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia
Kansas City has their QB of the future. Now they begin reinforcing the offensive line.
4. SEATTLE - Aaron Curry, OLB, Wake Forest
While many are thinking Crabtree or a QB, Seattle goes defense.
5. CLEVELAND - Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU
Cleveland goes for the versatile D-lineman that can help stop the run and rush the passer.
6. CINCINNATI - Andre Smith, OT, Alabama
Seems the Bengals enjoy drafting trouble. Hopefully Smith proves he's not the same 'ole same 'ole.
7. OAKLAND - Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech
If it's"business as usual" with Al Davis, then Crabtree goes to Oakland.
8. JACKSONVILLE - Mark Sanchez, QB, USC
I don't think the Jags need a new QB so much as a new head coach. Well, maybe both.
9 GREEN BAY - B.J. Raji, DT, Boston College
After all the allegations surround B.J., the Packers take him for the middle of their D.
10. SAN FRANCISCO - Michael Oher, OT, Mississippi
The 49ers could go DE or OLB here, but Oher is too good to pass up.
11. BUFFALO - Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas .
Orakpo's slight drop is the fortune of the Bills who get their much-needed DE.
12. DENVER - Everette Brown, DE, Florida St Jackson
After seeing Raji, Jackson and Orakpo taken early, the Broncos snag Brown.
13. WASHINGTON - Rey Maualuga, ILB, USC
The Skins would prefer OT, but no value this far up the board.
14. NEW ORLEANS - Malcom Jenkins, CB, Ohio St.
The Saints need a top force in the secondary and Jenkins will be that force.
15. HOUSTON - Brian Cushing, OLB, USC
Teaming up with DeMeco Ryans should help secure the LB corps for a decade.
16. SAN DIEGO - Peria Jerry, DT, Mississippi
Tempting as it is to go WR, the Chargers get the plug for their DLine.
17. NY JETS - Josh Freeman, QB, Kansas State
I'm not very certain on this pick. Jets might opt to go WR instead.
18. DENVER - Clay Matthews, OLB, USC
The Broncos concentrate on defense in this draft.
19. TAMPA BAY - Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri
It's tough to defend Maclin slipping this far but defense is the trend in '09.
20. DETROIT - Eben Britton, OT, Arizona
If the Lions go QB at #1, a Tackle seems a must at #20
21. PHILADELPHIA - Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia
A little help for Westbrook and a great mentor for Moreno.
22. MINNESOTA - Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma St.
Pettigrew helps provide more options to whatever QB lines up behind center.
23. NEW ENGLAND - Darius Butler, CB, UConn
A near certain long-time defender in the Patriots secondary.
24. ATLANTA - Evander Hood, DT, Missouri
With Gonzalez now a Falcon, the top available DT is taken here.
25. MIAMI - Alex Mack, C, California
Needs for improving the running game outweigh a want for a nifty wideout, thus, the big reach.
26. BALTIMORE - Darius Heyward-Bey, WR, Maryland
It comes down to a wideout or DE for this pick and DHB is way above the next DE.
27. INDIANAPOLIS - Donald Brown, RB, UConn
Perfectly suited for the needs of the Colt offense.
28.BUFFALO - Connor Barwin, OLB, Cincinnati
With no DT or OG available, the Bills reach a little but come up with a big stud in Barwin.
29. NY GIANTS - James Laurinitis, ILB, Ohio St.
GMen could use some additonal talent (and youth) for the LB corps.
30. TENNESSEE - Percy Harvin, WR, Florida
For the Titans, any receiver with speed is a near immediate upgrade to starter.
31. ARIZONA - Chris Wells, RB, Ohio St.
The Cards probably thought this pick would be Brown, but Beanie falls to 31.
32. PITTSBURGH - Aaron Maybin, DE, Penn St.
Does the local college star make it big in Steeler country? We'll soon see.
The Lions should have waited till next year for the QB of the future and picked the top OT at this spot.
2. ST. LOUIS - Jason Smith, OT, Baylor
The Rams fill the void created by the departure of Orlando Pace. It'll be Smith or Monroe.
3. KANSAS CITY - Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia
Kansas City has their QB of the future. Now they begin reinforcing the offensive line.
4. SEATTLE - Aaron Curry, OLB, Wake Forest
While many are thinking Crabtree or a QB, Seattle goes defense.
5. CLEVELAND - Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU
Cleveland goes for the versatile D-lineman that can help stop the run and rush the passer.
6. CINCINNATI - Andre Smith, OT, Alabama
Seems the Bengals enjoy drafting trouble. Hopefully Smith proves he's not the same 'ole same 'ole.
7. OAKLAND - Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech
If it's"business as usual" with Al Davis, then Crabtree goes to Oakland.
8. JACKSONVILLE - Mark Sanchez, QB, USC
I don't think the Jags need a new QB so much as a new head coach. Well, maybe both.
9 GREEN BAY - B.J. Raji, DT, Boston College
After all the allegations surround B.J., the Packers take him for the middle of their D.
10. SAN FRANCISCO - Michael Oher, OT, Mississippi
The 49ers could go DE or OLB here, but Oher is too good to pass up.
11. BUFFALO - Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas .
Orakpo's slight drop is the fortune of the Bills who get their much-needed DE.
12. DENVER - Everette Brown, DE, Florida St Jackson
After seeing Raji, Jackson and Orakpo taken early, the Broncos snag Brown.
13. WASHINGTON - Rey Maualuga, ILB, USC
The Skins would prefer OT, but no value this far up the board.
14. NEW ORLEANS - Malcom Jenkins, CB, Ohio St.
The Saints need a top force in the secondary and Jenkins will be that force.
15. HOUSTON - Brian Cushing, OLB, USC
Teaming up with DeMeco Ryans should help secure the LB corps for a decade.
16. SAN DIEGO - Peria Jerry, DT, Mississippi
Tempting as it is to go WR, the Chargers get the plug for their DLine.
17. NY JETS - Josh Freeman, QB, Kansas State
I'm not very certain on this pick. Jets might opt to go WR instead.
18. DENVER - Clay Matthews, OLB, USC
The Broncos concentrate on defense in this draft.
19. TAMPA BAY - Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri
It's tough to defend Maclin slipping this far but defense is the trend in '09.
20. DETROIT - Eben Britton, OT, Arizona
If the Lions go QB at #1, a Tackle seems a must at #20
21. PHILADELPHIA - Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia
A little help for Westbrook and a great mentor for Moreno.
22. MINNESOTA - Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma St.
Pettigrew helps provide more options to whatever QB lines up behind center.
23. NEW ENGLAND - Darius Butler, CB, UConn
A near certain long-time defender in the Patriots secondary.
24. ATLANTA - Evander Hood, DT, Missouri
With Gonzalez now a Falcon, the top available DT is taken here.
25. MIAMI - Alex Mack, C, California
Needs for improving the running game outweigh a want for a nifty wideout, thus, the big reach.
26. BALTIMORE - Darius Heyward-Bey, WR, Maryland
It comes down to a wideout or DE for this pick and DHB is way above the next DE.
27. INDIANAPOLIS - Donald Brown, RB, UConn
Perfectly suited for the needs of the Colt offense.
28.BUFFALO - Connor Barwin, OLB, Cincinnati
With no DT or OG available, the Bills reach a little but come up with a big stud in Barwin.
29. NY GIANTS - James Laurinitis, ILB, Ohio St.
GMen could use some additonal talent (and youth) for the LB corps.
30. TENNESSEE - Percy Harvin, WR, Florida
For the Titans, any receiver with speed is a near immediate upgrade to starter.
31. ARIZONA - Chris Wells, RB, Ohio St.
The Cards probably thought this pick would be Brown, but Beanie falls to 31.
32. PITTSBURGH - Aaron Maybin, DE, Penn St.
Does the local college star make it big in Steeler country? We'll soon see.
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
2009 NFL Mock Draft v8
Now that the 2009 Indianapolis Combine is in the books, there has been a bit of movement in the overall rankings for those players looking to make it to the next level. Here now are my first round selections in the latest mock draft.
1. Detroit - Jason Smith, OT, Baylor - Safe pick but one with near certain productive longevity.
2. St. Louis - Aaron Curry, LB, Wake Forest - Great way to re-boot your defense and Curry seems to be the top prospect of the current linebacking crop.
3. Kansas City - Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas - Too strong a presence to pass up and definitely worth a very slight reach. This guy was a man amongst boys at the combine and should start from day one.
4. Seattle - Malcolm Jenkins, CB, Ohio St. - With plenty of wideouts available later, the Hawks get a guy who can play corner or fill the FS slot.
5. Cleveland - Brian Cushing, OLB, USC - A bit of a reach, but this guy is a monster and the Browns need monsters on a needy defense. Especially linebackers who can do well in space.
6. Cincinnati - Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia -
Falling to number 6 is great news for the Bengals as their offensive line gets a much-needed shot in the arm.
7. Oakland - Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech - It wasn't the question with the stress fracture, but rather playing the percentages with their respective ROI's (return on investment) for the previous six teams...thus leaving the Raiders with a great opportunity.
8. Jacksonville - B.J. Raji, DT, Boston College - Not good news for the rest of the AFC South as their running games will surely be tested with the addition of Raji.
9. Green Bay - Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois - With both top DE's off the board, the Packers are left with little choice but to fill a big need at corner. Davis should evolve into a tremendous player with tutoring from Woodson.
10. San Francisco - Michael Oher, OT, Mississippi - If the Niners don't try and trade up to get Curry, look for them to go with Oher. They're fine with the two QB's they have at present.
11. Buffalo - Rey Maualuga, ILB, USC - The Bills need some help in the middle of their defense and Maualuga should help that along. If the Bills don't get a FA running back, they could tap Moreno here.
12. Denver - Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia - With no DT ranked above Moreno here, the Broncos add this super talent to the backfield and electrify the Mile High fans.
13. Washington - Andre Smith, OT, Alabama - It might end up being the steal of the draft with the slipping Smith coming to D.C. There's no doubt he has the potential to anchor the left side if he can keep the focus.
14. New Orleans - D.J. Moore, CB, Vanderbilt - It might be tempting at this point for the Saints to mull between Moore and Peria Jerry. The secondary needs the help more and it would be a fairly long reach for Jerry. Chris Wells is a possibility here too.
15. Houston - Aaron Maybin, OLB, Penn St. - It's a slight reach but the Texans really need to help strenghten the opposite side of the DLine and help out Mario Williams. Maybin's potential versatility makes it a near perfect fit.
16. San Diego - Chris Wells, RB, Ohio St. - It could be that the Chargers would rather reach past Wells and get Jerry at DT, but Wells is a powerful force that could help in short yardage running game.
17. NY Jets - Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri - Great prospect that, if he actually falls this far, would be a great catch for the Jets. Maclin could help stretch defenses and open up the underneath for TE Keller or play-action to Jones and Washington. Could go Matt Stafford, James Laurinaitis or LeSean McCoy here as well.
18. Chicago - James Laurinaitis, ILB, Ohio St. - Typical Bears type player. Blue collar, hard hitting grunt that gets after people. I, personally, would snag LeSean McCoy here to team with Matt Forte.
19. Tampa Bay - Percy Harvin, WR, Florida - Local collegiate phenom plays in front of Florida fans for years to come and brings much needed boost to the Bucs passing (and return?) game. Bucs might opt to select Heyward-Bey instead of Harvin.
20. Detroit(from Dallas) - Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU - His ability to switch back and forth between DE and DT might lead the Lions to go with Jackson over Peria Jerry, who is strictly a DT. OLB Clay Matthews is also a possibility here.
21. Philadelphia - Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma St. - Coin flip here on whether Pettigrew will help or hinder the Eagles long-term. If he can put his off-field problems behind him then it will be a good selection, not to mention one of immense need for Philly. His zero TD catches in his Senior season has me a bit apprehensive.
22. Minnesota - Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR, Maryland - A speedy, good-sized wideout that could help the Vikes move the ball downfield quickly. That is, IF they have someone that can get him the ball...which means they could select Stafford or Sanchez here instead.
23. New England - LeSean McCoy, RB, Pitt - With the amount of backs New England used in 2008, you'd think they would be fine at this position. But with the addition of this talented youngster, they now have veteran trade bait at the position.
24. Atlanta - Peria Jerry, DT, Mississippi - The Falcons help bolster the middle of their defensive line with the nearby Mississippi collegiate prospect. They could opt to go with Alphonso Smith as Lawyer Milloy's days are done in Atlanta.
25. Miami - Alex Mack, C, California - Talented, smart and big for a center, this guy is definitely a Parcells prototype. The reach is very warranted here.
26. Baltimore - Clay Matthews, OLB, USC - The bloodline is there but when you're coming into Baltimore following the potential loss of Terrell Suggs and Ray Lewis, well....those are some big shoes to fill.
27. Indianapolis - Donald Brown, RB, UConn - Although there is no way to know for sure, the Colts wouldn't hesitate to target Alex Mack if Jeff Saturday is truly gone. Since Mack and Heyward-Beyboth are taken - and there are no DT's at this point - Donald Brown is the call. Could go with Alphonso Smith or Larry English here.
28. Philadelphia (from Carolina)- Alphonso Smith, CB, Wake Forest - Shoring up the defensive back position is a top priority and Smith provides the Eagles with a sure-minded (dare I say cocky?) corner willing (and able) to cover the fastest wideouts in the league. He may struggle early but is sure to be one of the best when all is said and done.
29. NY Giants - Larry English, OLB, Northern Illinois - Perfect place at the perfect time for English, as the Giants need a 3-4 OLB. The Giants might decide to reach for WR Brian Robiskie here or go with OT Eben Britton.
30. Tennessee - Hakeem Nicks, WR, North Carolina - The Titans need wideout help badly and Nicks might be a good start in Tennessee. His size may not be what the Titans are looking for, but his speed, good hands and route discipline are what they need. A reach for Kenny Britt might be possible.
31. Arizona - Eben Britton, OT, Arizona - The fact that Britton is from an in-state college should make the transition to pro football that much easier. It's not the biggest need for the Cards, but Britton is the best available here.
32. Pittsburgh - Sean Smith, CB, Utah - Although the Steeler front line is a priority, the ability and potential of Smith is extremely tempting. At 6-3 and running near 4.5speed, he could compliment the Steeler secondary extremely well. And Pittsburgh still has plenty of chances at a solid OT, C or OG.
Monday, January 19, 2009
2009 NFL Draft v7 ( Three Rounds )
Three key issues will make this one of the most notable NFL drafts in quite some time:
1) The slew of new coaching hires that have taken place in the past few weeks will impact the decisions on the type of personnel selected in the '09 draft.
2) The above normal amount of talented free agent quarterbacks that will be available contrasted against the small amount of top-caliber collegiate signal callers that will be on the Big Board in April.
3) The high number of underclassmen that are listed ahead of senior players available could have been the highest ever, but even with the decision by many to stay put, it's still a pretty strong group.
It will be interesting to see if those current player rankings hold up through pro day workouts and the combine in Indianapolis.
With all that said, the first pick of the NFL draft in 2009 is a very interesting one in its own right. The moribund Lions have an opportunity to begin the rebuilding process following a precedent-setting winless season in Detroit.
They have a wealth of available talent to choose from with their two first round picks, but keep in mind the type of money they will have to shell out for those two picks.
Detroit - Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech - I'm of the mind that the Lions can make a play for one of the many young free agent QB's that will be available this off-season especially considering that Stafford or Sanchez wouldn't be enough to turn the Lions around while dodging incoming pro defensive pass rushers. Upgrades on the offensive and defensive lines are needed, and that means draft picks are need.
With two picks in the first round, the Lions will have to bankroll both of those #1 signings - especially prior to the start of training camp - and also sign any potential free agent at QB. That's a big cap strain, so it might be enough to force the Lions to take Crabtree #1 and then trade him in order to gain more in later rounds. If not, the Lions will go with the safe pick at OT.
St. Louis - Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia- The Rams need to bolster the line (among so many other things) and are awaiting word on who will lead this team in 2009 from the sidelines. Until the coaching philosophy is decided upon, I'll take the safe pick here as well. However, Michael Crabtree could be the selection although the Rams have so many needs on defense.
Kansas City - Aaron Curry, LB, Wake Forest - Much will depend on which direction the post-Peterson era GM will want this team to move in. Personally, I think Thigpen halts the need for an absolute 1st round QB selection (but maybe not another QB pick later in the day) and the Chiefs get an offensive tackle, pass rusher or LB, and they need all of those in this draft. The Chiefs defense has the makings of a young, up and coming force, and Curry could be one of new guys to help solidify that potential. Another OT pick wouldn't be stunning.
Seattle - Michael Oher, OT, Mississippi - Once again, the decisions and direction of new coach - Mora Jr. - will determine the overall strategy of the Seahawk draft. There is no question the Hawks need to enhance their running game and it is imperative that a wideout is selected soon. The obvious pick is Crabtree, but the 'Hawks can't pass on a big talent like Oher.
Cleveland - Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas. - If Wells isn't taken by this point, the Browns might try and steal him with their first pick. Otherwise the Browns go unconventional and will try and use Orakpo as an OLB/DE in their 3-4 in order to get more pressure on opposing QB's. He's the best available for this type of utilization, with more speed than either Laurinaitis or Maulauga. If Curry is still here at this pick, Aaron Curry will get the nod.
Cincinnati - Andre Smith, OT, Alabama - The Bengals begin the turnaround at the ground level on offensive line. Without better pass protection or run blocking, the Bengals offense cannot sustain drives and Carson Palmer on the sidelines with an injury does the Bengals no good at all.
Oakland - Jason Smith, OT, Baylor - The Black Hole fans anxiously await which direction Al Davis will want to move in for 2009. The most glaring need is the offensive line, which means he'll probably select Jeremy Maclin, Everette Brown or Malcom Jenkins.
Jacksonville - Everette Brown, DE, Florida - The Jags are looking for an OLB for their 3-4 defense, but how can you pass on such a disruptive force like Everette Brown. Could be utilized late for a trade that allows Jacksonville get a linebacker or wideout they need more.
Green Bay - Malcom Jenkins, CB, Ohio St - With the Packer defense floundering at critical times this season, Green Bay will start with either a pass rusher or pass defender. If Everette Brown is here, they'll go with him first.
San Francisco - Knowshown Moreno, RB, Georgia - There will be a ton of pressure on first-year headcoach Mike Singletary to draft Mark Sanchez or Matt Stafford at QB. He will politely refrain from doing so and begin instituting more of the running game. In this era, that means a tandem running back attack.
Buffalo - Percy Harvin, WR, Florida - The Bills need some offensive weapons and TE Pettigrew was my first choice a few months back. With Percy Harvin now declared, I think he can be a difference-maker and allow Buffalo to go TE in round two or three, while filling in their defensive needs at DE and LB. Harvin's speed can open up the underneath and middle routes for Evans and Reed, and if Hardy can pick it up in '09, the wideout position is set.
Denver - BJ Raji, DT, Boston College - With biggest needs at DT,CB,DE, OT and S - pretty much all over the defense, the Broncos could go in any direction. Hard to imagine their defense not being the prime focus for any new coach, so look for a DE or DT pick with the Broncos first selection. Of course with new coach Josh McDaniels aboard, the pick could go RB.
Washington - Michael Johnson, DE, Georgia Tech - A tall, quick and disruptive force on the edge is just what the Skins need for their defense. The combine and pro day workouts will be very interesting to see if Johnson is the actual pick or if the Skins will have a chance at another big need: Offensive Left Tackle.
New Orleans - James Laurinitis, OLB, Ohio St. - The Saints need defensive personnel that make an immediate impact. DJ Moore is a possibility here, but with the re-signing of Vilma still up in the air, injured defensive lineman trying to heal and come back to play at a top level, this draft will make or break the chance for a Super Bowl run in the near-term.
Houston - Peria Jerry, DT, Mississippi - This will be a very intersting pick if the draft falls as I have it laid out. Moreno and Wells still available, as well as two solid LB's and a couple of good wideouts to compliment Johnson. The Texans go with a serious need instead, tapping Peria Jerry.
San Diego - Rey Maualuga, ILB, USC - The Chargers defense gets a boost with the wildman from USC joining an already tough defense. With Merriman coming back from injury and help in the secondary in the latter rounds of the draft, San Diego can rely on the defense once again.
NY Jets - Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri - Doubtful the Jets would go QB here unless Favre calls it quits (for real this time) and take a shot on a rookie. The Jets can use another offensive weapon like Heyward-Bey, Percy Harvin or Jeremy Maclin, but need help on defense too.
Chicago - Darius Heyward-Bey, WR, Maryland - For Chicago to help take the pressure off of its defense, the Bears need a top wideout. Whether it will ultimately be Kyle Orton or someone else, the QB is limited in being able to utilize the passing game. Having a guy like Bey will also add some years to the legs of Matt Forte.
Tampa Bay - Matt Stafford, QB, Georgia - The Bucs add a QB that will probably not start immediately, but will be given the task of being the future franchise QB. With new coach Raheem Morris and player personnel GM Mark Dominik now with the Bucs this pick could go in any direction.
Detroit(from Dallas) - William Beatty, OT, UConn - The Lions begin putting together the offensive line and may opt to select CB or LB here. One thing is certain and that is the Lions have options available by trading out of the first pick which will impact this selection even more.
Arizona - Eben Britton, OT, Arizona - Help along the offensive line is a top need, but there's also a chance the Cards go with Rey Maualuga, CB Vontae Davis or Center Max Unger.
Philadelphia - Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma St. - In a too-good-an-opportunity-to-pass-up pick, the Eagles add Brandon Pettigrew to the offense and hope he will be able to give McNabb (or whoever it will be at QB) a solid safety blanket.
Minnesota - Mark Sanchez, QB, USC - The Vikes could go in any direction here, but after seeing Tavaris Jackson crumble in the playoffs, I doubt Minnesota can afford to wait around any longer - though I think a QB in FA would be a better way to go. That said, Sanchez is available and if it weren't for the sizeable amount of FA quarterbacks in the off-season, he certainly could've been higher. Minnesota is "there" and on the threshold of going to a Super Bowl and might be looking at Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco as prime examples.
New England - LeSean McCoy, RB, Pitt - The Patriot running game isn't quite as effective as it has been in recent years, so they bring in someone to push Maroney, Morris and Jordan....one of which will be gone by the end of camp.
Atlanta - Fili Moala, DT, USC - Filling a need in the middle of the interior defensive line. The Falcons need help at CB too, but are much better off taking Moala here to help plug up the middle and allow the D-ends to tee off even more on opposing QB's.
Miami - Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois - One of the weakest links remaining on the team, CB is addressed with a solid prospect from the Big Ten. At 6-0 and running a 4.42 unofficial 40, Davis has the size and speed to match up with some of the bigger, faster wideouts in the league.
Baltimore - D.J. Moore, CB, Vanderbilt - The Ravens need to start addressing their secondary and Moore is a perfect player for the Ravens. Considered the SEC's top cover corner, Moore could reinforce an already solid group of veterans in the Baltimore secondary. Moore can also return kicks.
Philadelphia (from Carolina) - Alphonso Smith, CB, Wake Forest - Philly uses its second pick in the first round to address a need in the secondary. Smith is quick and fluid and should be a solid shot in the arm for the Eagles.
Indianapolis - Brian Cushing, OLB, USC - Not what the Colts need exactly, but a guy that - if available at that selection - cannot be passed. Indy needs a DT, WR and RB but will go with best available here no matter the position.
Pittsburgh - Max Unger, C, Oregon - Secondary help is needed but the Steelers will make a slight reach here for a much-needed offensive lineman and Unger is versatile. That versatility could allow the Steelers to move Olineman around for a better fit and utilize later draft picks in other areas.
NY Giants - Aaron Maybin, DE, Penn St. - If the Giants allow Plax to return then wideout becomes less of a burning need. However, if he isn't returning to the Gmen in '09, New York might be forced to reach a little here and select Kenny Britt from Rutgers. Assuming that won't be necessary, the Giants reach a bit for young DE Aaron Maybin.
Tennessee - Hakeem Nicks, WR, North Carolina - Tennessee can ill-afford to be without top targets downfield and get one in Nicks. The only knock on Nicks (?) is that he might not be the speedster necessary to break away from DB's and pick up extra yardage.
ROUND TWO (picks 33-65)
Detroit - Clint Sintim, LB, Virginia - For the Lions, defense is the name of the draft here on out.
St. Louis - Sean Smith, CB, Utah - St. Louis gets a steal in the second round with the big corner.
Kansas City - Paul Kruger, DE, Utah - The pass rush for KC has been lacking since the loss of their top sacker last year to free agency.
Cincinnati - Connor Barwin, DE, Cincinnati - Local college product now plays on Sunday.
Seattle - Brandon LaFell, WR, LSU - The depleted wideout position for the Seahawks gets some help.
Oakland - Kenny Britt, WR, Rutgers - Risk/reward selection for the Raiders. Britt is a prospect and Al Davis can't refuse the temptation.
Cleveland - Shonne Green, RB, Iowa - The Browns look to amp up their running attack.
Jacksonville - Duke Robinson, OG, Oklahoma - The Jags offensive line gets a boost.
San Francisco - Troy Kropog, OT, Tulane - The 49ers get a solid, stout end to help along the offensive line.
Green Bay - Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU - Not the DE they were targeting, but the Packers take the best player available to fit a pressing need.
NE (from San Diego) - Larry English, OLB, Northern Illinois - With aging vets still holding down spots, English is added for the future.
Buffalo - Herman Johnson, OG, LSU - The Bills get a steal with this versatile lineman.
Miami (From Wash) - Mike Mickens, CB, Cincinatti - Fins add a quick, hard-hitting CB for depth.
NY Giants (from NO) - Clay Matthews, LB, USC - Beefing up the depth at linebacker with a son of a top NFL player.
Houston - Derek Peques, FS, Mississippi St. - Peques will help reinforce the Texan deep secondary.
Denver - Patrick Chung, SS, Oregon - Good size, strength and added depth for the Bronco secondary.
Chicago - Jonathan Luigs, C, Arkansas - Bears offensive line needs some work and Luigs adds depth as Kreutz is getting long in the tooth.
Arizona - Chris Wells, RB, Ohio St. - Wells injury prone reputation sends him down the Big Board for now - that could all change post-combine. For now, the Cards get a perfect compliment for Hightower.
Dallas - Victor Harris, CB, Virginia Tech - After the Pac Man blunder, the Cowboys retool with Harris coming to the Lone Star state.
Philadelphia - Jarius Byrd, CB, Oregon - Philly gets a speedy defender who can defend well and return kicks if needed.
Tampa Bay - Sen'Derrick Marks, DT, Auburn - The Bucs get a solid DT to shore up the defensive line.
NY Jets - Donald Brown, RB, UConn - Jets can't pass on a top area prospect with lots of upside
New England - Tyrone McKenzie, OLB, S. Florida - The Patriots reach a bit to take Tyrone McKenzie before another team latches on.
Minnesota - Evander Hood, DT, Missouri - Depth for the defensive line which will allow Allen, Edwards and Robinson to attack with yet more abandon at times.
Miami - Darry Beckwith, ILB, LSU - Miami continues to bolster a solid defensive group with more youth and physicality.
Atlanta - Michael Hamlin, SS, Clemson - The Dirty Birds add size, speed and a good tackler to the safety position.
Baltimore - Derrick Williams, WR, Penn St. - Productive wideout for the Nittany Lions gives Flacco another potential target.
Indianapolis - Ramses Barden, WR, CalPoly - The Colts reach a tad for a wideout they hope will transition into an immediate threat from anywhere on the field.
Pittsburgh - Phil Loadholt, OT, Oklahoma - The Steelers can't pass on a huge Olineman which will help shore up their front five.
NY Giants - Jamon Meredith, OT, South Carolina - An offensive lineman to start the process of replacing the older veterans.
Carolina - Josh Freeman, QB, Kansas St. - Pending the decisions on Peppers and Gross, the Panthers will need talent at DE, DT and CB. But after Jake's meltdown in the playoffs, they get a future talent at QB here.
Tennessee - Keenan Lewis, CB, Oregon - Help needed in the secondary for the Titans and Lewis is a good-sized defender with speed.
ROUND THREE (picks 65-96)
Detroit - Alex MaGee, DT, Purdue - Can play anywhere along the DLine and has good speed for a big guy.
St. Louis - Jared Cook, TE, South Carolina - Trying to find another option for the Rams offensive attack.
Kansas City - Javon Ringer, RB, Michigan St. - Not the biggest need, but too good a talent to pass on.
Cincinnati - Marcus Freeman, OLB, Ohio St. - Another Buckeye rounding out the defense.
Seattle - Robert Ayers, DE, Tennessee - Help for the middle of the D-line.
Oakland - Allen Asher, CB, Georgia - Oakland has a pretty good secondary but can always use more help.
Cleveland - Brian Robiskie, WR, Ohio St. - Good sized wideout that can relieve some pressure on Edwards, Winslow.
Jacksonville - Louis Delmas, FS, W. Michigan - Could be one of the diamonds in the rough for the third round.
San Francisco - Louis Murphy, WR, Florida - The 49ers add a WR to help stretch opposing defenses.
Green Bay - Mitch King, DE, Iowa - Packers get some much needed help for their pass rush.
San Diego - Trevor Canfield, G, Cincinatti - Big body that will allow Oakland to shape up their offensive line.
Washington - Kraig Urbik, OG, Wisconsin - The Skins add some help up front on offense.
New Orleans - Dominique Johnson, CB, Jackson St. - Big, lightning-quick corner is perfect match for Saints needs in the secondary.
Houston - Jarron Gilbert, DE, San Jose St. - Reinforcements along the defensive line is top priority for the Texans. Mario smiles broadly.
Denver - Cody Brown, OLB, UConn - Denver needs to beef up their 'backer strength.
Chicago - Brandon Williams, DE, Texas Tech - The Bears get a pass rusher later in the draft than anticipated, but he's a solid prospect.
Arizona - Scott McKillop, ILB, Pittsburgh - Excellent 3rd round pickup for the Cards.
Dallas - Vance Walker, DT, Georgia Tech - Remember those gaping holes on D against Baltimore?
Philadelphia - Fenuki Tupou, OT, Oregon - Big offensive lineman that Andy Reid is tickled to have at this point.
Tampa Bay - Coye Francies, CB, San Jose St. - The Buc secondary gets younger and faster.
NY Jets - Emanuel Cook, SS, So. Carolina - More depth added for the Jets secondary.
New England - Eric Wood, OG, Louisville - Patriots use the pick to increase depth on the offensive line.
Minnesota - Rashad Johnson, FS, Alabama - Secondary help is one of the areas the Vikes need to draft for depth.
Miami - Sherrod Martin, FS, Troy - Third defensive pick of the draft for the Dolphins.
Atlanta - Andy Levitre, OG, Oregon St. - The Falcons use this pick to find a future right guard.
Baltimore - Zack Follet, OLB, California - The linebacker position picks up a little youth.
Indianapolis - Ron Brace, DT, Boston College - The Colts finally get a presence in the middle of the defensive line.
Pittsburgh - DeAngelo Smith, CB, Cincinnati - Without a bevy of desperate needs, the Steelers go for depth at corner.
NY Giants - Ricky Jean-Francios, DT, LSU - A big plugger in the middle to rotate for depth on the D line.
Carolina - Dorell Scott, DT, Clemson - The defensive line needs some improvement and Scott could be a big boost up front.
Tennessee - Rhett Bomar, QB, Sam Houston St. - Coach Jeff Fisher wants backup in case VY fizzles and Collins can't repeat his '08 output.
1) The slew of new coaching hires that have taken place in the past few weeks will impact the decisions on the type of personnel selected in the '09 draft.
2) The above normal amount of talented free agent quarterbacks that will be available contrasted against the small amount of top-caliber collegiate signal callers that will be on the Big Board in April.
3) The high number of underclassmen that are listed ahead of senior players available could have been the highest ever, but even with the decision by many to stay put, it's still a pretty strong group.
It will be interesting to see if those current player rankings hold up through pro day workouts and the combine in Indianapolis.
With all that said, the first pick of the NFL draft in 2009 is a very interesting one in its own right. The moribund Lions have an opportunity to begin the rebuilding process following a precedent-setting winless season in Detroit.
They have a wealth of available talent to choose from with their two first round picks, but keep in mind the type of money they will have to shell out for those two picks.
Detroit - Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech - I'm of the mind that the Lions can make a play for one of the many young free agent QB's that will be available this off-season especially considering that Stafford or Sanchez wouldn't be enough to turn the Lions around while dodging incoming pro defensive pass rushers. Upgrades on the offensive and defensive lines are needed, and that means draft picks are need.
With two picks in the first round, the Lions will have to bankroll both of those #1 signings - especially prior to the start of training camp - and also sign any potential free agent at QB. That's a big cap strain, so it might be enough to force the Lions to take Crabtree #1 and then trade him in order to gain more in later rounds. If not, the Lions will go with the safe pick at OT.
St. Louis - Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia- The Rams need to bolster the line (among so many other things) and are awaiting word on who will lead this team in 2009 from the sidelines. Until the coaching philosophy is decided upon, I'll take the safe pick here as well. However, Michael Crabtree could be the selection although the Rams have so many needs on defense.
Kansas City - Aaron Curry, LB, Wake Forest - Much will depend on which direction the post-Peterson era GM will want this team to move in. Personally, I think Thigpen halts the need for an absolute 1st round QB selection (but maybe not another QB pick later in the day) and the Chiefs get an offensive tackle, pass rusher or LB, and they need all of those in this draft. The Chiefs defense has the makings of a young, up and coming force, and Curry could be one of new guys to help solidify that potential. Another OT pick wouldn't be stunning.
Seattle - Michael Oher, OT, Mississippi - Once again, the decisions and direction of new coach - Mora Jr. - will determine the overall strategy of the Seahawk draft. There is no question the Hawks need to enhance their running game and it is imperative that a wideout is selected soon. The obvious pick is Crabtree, but the 'Hawks can't pass on a big talent like Oher.
Cleveland - Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas. - If Wells isn't taken by this point, the Browns might try and steal him with their first pick. Otherwise the Browns go unconventional and will try and use Orakpo as an OLB/DE in their 3-4 in order to get more pressure on opposing QB's. He's the best available for this type of utilization, with more speed than either Laurinaitis or Maulauga. If Curry is still here at this pick, Aaron Curry will get the nod.
Cincinnati - Andre Smith, OT, Alabama - The Bengals begin the turnaround at the ground level on offensive line. Without better pass protection or run blocking, the Bengals offense cannot sustain drives and Carson Palmer on the sidelines with an injury does the Bengals no good at all.
Oakland - Jason Smith, OT, Baylor - The Black Hole fans anxiously await which direction Al Davis will want to move in for 2009. The most glaring need is the offensive line, which means he'll probably select Jeremy Maclin, Everette Brown or Malcom Jenkins.
Jacksonville - Everette Brown, DE, Florida - The Jags are looking for an OLB for their 3-4 defense, but how can you pass on such a disruptive force like Everette Brown. Could be utilized late for a trade that allows Jacksonville get a linebacker or wideout they need more.
Green Bay - Malcom Jenkins, CB, Ohio St - With the Packer defense floundering at critical times this season, Green Bay will start with either a pass rusher or pass defender. If Everette Brown is here, they'll go with him first.
San Francisco - Knowshown Moreno, RB, Georgia - There will be a ton of pressure on first-year headcoach Mike Singletary to draft Mark Sanchez or Matt Stafford at QB. He will politely refrain from doing so and begin instituting more of the running game. In this era, that means a tandem running back attack.
Buffalo - Percy Harvin, WR, Florida - The Bills need some offensive weapons and TE Pettigrew was my first choice a few months back. With Percy Harvin now declared, I think he can be a difference-maker and allow Buffalo to go TE in round two or three, while filling in their defensive needs at DE and LB. Harvin's speed can open up the underneath and middle routes for Evans and Reed, and if Hardy can pick it up in '09, the wideout position is set.
Denver - BJ Raji, DT, Boston College - With biggest needs at DT,CB,DE, OT and S - pretty much all over the defense, the Broncos could go in any direction. Hard to imagine their defense not being the prime focus for any new coach, so look for a DE or DT pick with the Broncos first selection. Of course with new coach Josh McDaniels aboard, the pick could go RB.
Washington - Michael Johnson, DE, Georgia Tech - A tall, quick and disruptive force on the edge is just what the Skins need for their defense. The combine and pro day workouts will be very interesting to see if Johnson is the actual pick or if the Skins will have a chance at another big need: Offensive Left Tackle.
New Orleans - James Laurinitis, OLB, Ohio St. - The Saints need defensive personnel that make an immediate impact. DJ Moore is a possibility here, but with the re-signing of Vilma still up in the air, injured defensive lineman trying to heal and come back to play at a top level, this draft will make or break the chance for a Super Bowl run in the near-term.
Houston - Peria Jerry, DT, Mississippi - This will be a very intersting pick if the draft falls as I have it laid out. Moreno and Wells still available, as well as two solid LB's and a couple of good wideouts to compliment Johnson. The Texans go with a serious need instead, tapping Peria Jerry.
San Diego - Rey Maualuga, ILB, USC - The Chargers defense gets a boost with the wildman from USC joining an already tough defense. With Merriman coming back from injury and help in the secondary in the latter rounds of the draft, San Diego can rely on the defense once again.
NY Jets - Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri - Doubtful the Jets would go QB here unless Favre calls it quits (for real this time) and take a shot on a rookie. The Jets can use another offensive weapon like Heyward-Bey, Percy Harvin or Jeremy Maclin, but need help on defense too.
Chicago - Darius Heyward-Bey, WR, Maryland - For Chicago to help take the pressure off of its defense, the Bears need a top wideout. Whether it will ultimately be Kyle Orton or someone else, the QB is limited in being able to utilize the passing game. Having a guy like Bey will also add some years to the legs of Matt Forte.
Tampa Bay - Matt Stafford, QB, Georgia - The Bucs add a QB that will probably not start immediately, but will be given the task of being the future franchise QB. With new coach Raheem Morris and player personnel GM Mark Dominik now with the Bucs this pick could go in any direction.
Detroit(from Dallas) - William Beatty, OT, UConn - The Lions begin putting together the offensive line and may opt to select CB or LB here. One thing is certain and that is the Lions have options available by trading out of the first pick which will impact this selection even more.
Arizona - Eben Britton, OT, Arizona - Help along the offensive line is a top need, but there's also a chance the Cards go with Rey Maualuga, CB Vontae Davis or Center Max Unger.
Philadelphia - Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma St. - In a too-good-an-opportunity-to-pass-up pick, the Eagles add Brandon Pettigrew to the offense and hope he will be able to give McNabb (or whoever it will be at QB) a solid safety blanket.
Minnesota - Mark Sanchez, QB, USC - The Vikes could go in any direction here, but after seeing Tavaris Jackson crumble in the playoffs, I doubt Minnesota can afford to wait around any longer - though I think a QB in FA would be a better way to go. That said, Sanchez is available and if it weren't for the sizeable amount of FA quarterbacks in the off-season, he certainly could've been higher. Minnesota is "there" and on the threshold of going to a Super Bowl and might be looking at Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco as prime examples.
New England - LeSean McCoy, RB, Pitt - The Patriot running game isn't quite as effective as it has been in recent years, so they bring in someone to push Maroney, Morris and Jordan....one of which will be gone by the end of camp.
Atlanta - Fili Moala, DT, USC - Filling a need in the middle of the interior defensive line. The Falcons need help at CB too, but are much better off taking Moala here to help plug up the middle and allow the D-ends to tee off even more on opposing QB's.
Miami - Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois - One of the weakest links remaining on the team, CB is addressed with a solid prospect from the Big Ten. At 6-0 and running a 4.42 unofficial 40, Davis has the size and speed to match up with some of the bigger, faster wideouts in the league.
Baltimore - D.J. Moore, CB, Vanderbilt - The Ravens need to start addressing their secondary and Moore is a perfect player for the Ravens. Considered the SEC's top cover corner, Moore could reinforce an already solid group of veterans in the Baltimore secondary. Moore can also return kicks.
Philadelphia (from Carolina) - Alphonso Smith, CB, Wake Forest - Philly uses its second pick in the first round to address a need in the secondary. Smith is quick and fluid and should be a solid shot in the arm for the Eagles.
Indianapolis - Brian Cushing, OLB, USC - Not what the Colts need exactly, but a guy that - if available at that selection - cannot be passed. Indy needs a DT, WR and RB but will go with best available here no matter the position.
Pittsburgh - Max Unger, C, Oregon - Secondary help is needed but the Steelers will make a slight reach here for a much-needed offensive lineman and Unger is versatile. That versatility could allow the Steelers to move Olineman around for a better fit and utilize later draft picks in other areas.
NY Giants - Aaron Maybin, DE, Penn St. - If the Giants allow Plax to return then wideout becomes less of a burning need. However, if he isn't returning to the Gmen in '09, New York might be forced to reach a little here and select Kenny Britt from Rutgers. Assuming that won't be necessary, the Giants reach a bit for young DE Aaron Maybin.
Tennessee - Hakeem Nicks, WR, North Carolina - Tennessee can ill-afford to be without top targets downfield and get one in Nicks. The only knock on Nicks (?) is that he might not be the speedster necessary to break away from DB's and pick up extra yardage.
ROUND TWO (picks 33-65)
Detroit - Clint Sintim, LB, Virginia - For the Lions, defense is the name of the draft here on out.
St. Louis - Sean Smith, CB, Utah - St. Louis gets a steal in the second round with the big corner.
Kansas City - Paul Kruger, DE, Utah - The pass rush for KC has been lacking since the loss of their top sacker last year to free agency.
Cincinnati - Connor Barwin, DE, Cincinnati - Local college product now plays on Sunday.
Seattle - Brandon LaFell, WR, LSU - The depleted wideout position for the Seahawks gets some help.
Oakland - Kenny Britt, WR, Rutgers - Risk/reward selection for the Raiders. Britt is a prospect and Al Davis can't refuse the temptation.
Cleveland - Shonne Green, RB, Iowa - The Browns look to amp up their running attack.
Jacksonville - Duke Robinson, OG, Oklahoma - The Jags offensive line gets a boost.
San Francisco - Troy Kropog, OT, Tulane - The 49ers get a solid, stout end to help along the offensive line.
Green Bay - Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU - Not the DE they were targeting, but the Packers take the best player available to fit a pressing need.
NE (from San Diego) - Larry English, OLB, Northern Illinois - With aging vets still holding down spots, English is added for the future.
Buffalo - Herman Johnson, OG, LSU - The Bills get a steal with this versatile lineman.
Miami (From Wash) - Mike Mickens, CB, Cincinatti - Fins add a quick, hard-hitting CB for depth.
NY Giants (from NO) - Clay Matthews, LB, USC - Beefing up the depth at linebacker with a son of a top NFL player.
Houston - Derek Peques, FS, Mississippi St. - Peques will help reinforce the Texan deep secondary.
Denver - Patrick Chung, SS, Oregon - Good size, strength and added depth for the Bronco secondary.
Chicago - Jonathan Luigs, C, Arkansas - Bears offensive line needs some work and Luigs adds depth as Kreutz is getting long in the tooth.
Arizona - Chris Wells, RB, Ohio St. - Wells injury prone reputation sends him down the Big Board for now - that could all change post-combine. For now, the Cards get a perfect compliment for Hightower.
Dallas - Victor Harris, CB, Virginia Tech - After the Pac Man blunder, the Cowboys retool with Harris coming to the Lone Star state.
Philadelphia - Jarius Byrd, CB, Oregon - Philly gets a speedy defender who can defend well and return kicks if needed.
Tampa Bay - Sen'Derrick Marks, DT, Auburn - The Bucs get a solid DT to shore up the defensive line.
NY Jets - Donald Brown, RB, UConn - Jets can't pass on a top area prospect with lots of upside
New England - Tyrone McKenzie, OLB, S. Florida - The Patriots reach a bit to take Tyrone McKenzie before another team latches on.
Minnesota - Evander Hood, DT, Missouri - Depth for the defensive line which will allow Allen, Edwards and Robinson to attack with yet more abandon at times.
Miami - Darry Beckwith, ILB, LSU - Miami continues to bolster a solid defensive group with more youth and physicality.
Atlanta - Michael Hamlin, SS, Clemson - The Dirty Birds add size, speed and a good tackler to the safety position.
Baltimore - Derrick Williams, WR, Penn St. - Productive wideout for the Nittany Lions gives Flacco another potential target.
Indianapolis - Ramses Barden, WR, CalPoly - The Colts reach a tad for a wideout they hope will transition into an immediate threat from anywhere on the field.
Pittsburgh - Phil Loadholt, OT, Oklahoma - The Steelers can't pass on a huge Olineman which will help shore up their front five.
NY Giants - Jamon Meredith, OT, South Carolina - An offensive lineman to start the process of replacing the older veterans.
Carolina - Josh Freeman, QB, Kansas St. - Pending the decisions on Peppers and Gross, the Panthers will need talent at DE, DT and CB. But after Jake's meltdown in the playoffs, they get a future talent at QB here.
Tennessee - Keenan Lewis, CB, Oregon - Help needed in the secondary for the Titans and Lewis is a good-sized defender with speed.
ROUND THREE (picks 65-96)
Detroit - Alex MaGee, DT, Purdue - Can play anywhere along the DLine and has good speed for a big guy.
St. Louis - Jared Cook, TE, South Carolina - Trying to find another option for the Rams offensive attack.
Kansas City - Javon Ringer, RB, Michigan St. - Not the biggest need, but too good a talent to pass on.
Cincinnati - Marcus Freeman, OLB, Ohio St. - Another Buckeye rounding out the defense.
Seattle - Robert Ayers, DE, Tennessee - Help for the middle of the D-line.
Oakland - Allen Asher, CB, Georgia - Oakland has a pretty good secondary but can always use more help.
Cleveland - Brian Robiskie, WR, Ohio St. - Good sized wideout that can relieve some pressure on Edwards, Winslow.
Jacksonville - Louis Delmas, FS, W. Michigan - Could be one of the diamonds in the rough for the third round.
San Francisco - Louis Murphy, WR, Florida - The 49ers add a WR to help stretch opposing defenses.
Green Bay - Mitch King, DE, Iowa - Packers get some much needed help for their pass rush.
San Diego - Trevor Canfield, G, Cincinatti - Big body that will allow Oakland to shape up their offensive line.
Washington - Kraig Urbik, OG, Wisconsin - The Skins add some help up front on offense.
New Orleans - Dominique Johnson, CB, Jackson St. - Big, lightning-quick corner is perfect match for Saints needs in the secondary.
Houston - Jarron Gilbert, DE, San Jose St. - Reinforcements along the defensive line is top priority for the Texans. Mario smiles broadly.
Denver - Cody Brown, OLB, UConn - Denver needs to beef up their 'backer strength.
Chicago - Brandon Williams, DE, Texas Tech - The Bears get a pass rusher later in the draft than anticipated, but he's a solid prospect.
Arizona - Scott McKillop, ILB, Pittsburgh - Excellent 3rd round pickup for the Cards.
Dallas - Vance Walker, DT, Georgia Tech - Remember those gaping holes on D against Baltimore?
Philadelphia - Fenuki Tupou, OT, Oregon - Big offensive lineman that Andy Reid is tickled to have at this point.
Tampa Bay - Coye Francies, CB, San Jose St. - The Buc secondary gets younger and faster.
NY Jets - Emanuel Cook, SS, So. Carolina - More depth added for the Jets secondary.
New England - Eric Wood, OG, Louisville - Patriots use the pick to increase depth on the offensive line.
Minnesota - Rashad Johnson, FS, Alabama - Secondary help is one of the areas the Vikes need to draft for depth.
Miami - Sherrod Martin, FS, Troy - Third defensive pick of the draft for the Dolphins.
Atlanta - Andy Levitre, OG, Oregon St. - The Falcons use this pick to find a future right guard.
Baltimore - Zack Follet, OLB, California - The linebacker position picks up a little youth.
Indianapolis - Ron Brace, DT, Boston College - The Colts finally get a presence in the middle of the defensive line.
Pittsburgh - DeAngelo Smith, CB, Cincinnati - Without a bevy of desperate needs, the Steelers go for depth at corner.
NY Giants - Ricky Jean-Francios, DT, LSU - A big plugger in the middle to rotate for depth on the D line.
Carolina - Dorell Scott, DT, Clemson - The defensive line needs some improvement and Scott could be a big boost up front.
Tennessee - Rhett Bomar, QB, Sam Houston St. - Coach Jeff Fisher wants backup in case VY fizzles and Collins can't repeat his '08 output.
Friday, January 9, 2009
2009 NFL Mock Draft v6
This draft will be based on the expectation of Sam Bradford and Tim Tebow opting to remain in college another year.
Detroit - Michael Oher, OT, Mississippi - I'm of the mind that the Lions can make a play for one of the many young free agent QB's that will be available this off-season, that Stafford or Bradford wouldn't be enough to turn the Lions around while dodging incoming pro defensive pass rushers, and upgrades on the offensive and defensive lines would be the wisest move.
However, with two picks in the first round the Lions would have to bankroll both of those #1 signings - especially prior to the start of training camp - and also sign any potential free agent at QB. Though the Lions likely have enough cap space to do it, the most likely scenario would be for Detroit to try and trade out of this pick and move down to accumulate more picks. If not, the Lions will go with the safe pick and take Andre Smith of Alabama.
St. Louis - Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia- The Rams need to bolster the line (among so many other things) and are awaiting word on who will lead this team in 2009 from the sidelines. Until the coaching philosophy is decided upon, I'll take the safe pick here as well. However, Michael Crabtree could be the selection although the Rams have so many needs on defense.
Kansas City - Aaron Curry, LB, Wake Forest - Much will depend on which direction the post-Peterson era GM will want this team to move in. Personally, I think Thigpen halts the need for an absolute 1st round QB selection (but maybe not another QB pick later in the day) and the Chiefs get an offensive tackle, pass rusher or LB, and they need all of those in this draft. The Chiefs defense has the makings of a young, up and coming force, and Curry could be one of new guys to help solidify that potential. Another OT pick wouldn't be stunning.
Seattle - Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech - Once again, the decisions and direction of new coach - Mora Jr. - will determine the overall strategy of the Seahawk draft. There is no question the Hawks need to enhance their running game and it is imperative that a wideout is selected soon. The obvious pick is Crabtree, but the Hawks could go running back with Wells or snatch Taylor Mays here if available.
Cleveland - Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas. - If Wells isn't taken by this point, the Browns might try and steal him with their first pick. Otherwise the Browns go unconventional and will try and use Orakpo as an OLB/DE in their 3-4 in order to get more pressure on opposing QB's. He's the best available for this type of utilization, with more speed than either Laurinaitis or Maulauga. If Curry is still here at this pick, Aaron Curry will get the nod.
Cincinnati - Andre Smith, OT, Alabama - The Bengals begin the turnaround at the ground level on offensive line. Without better pass protection or run blocking, the Bengals offense cannot sustain drives...and a repeatedly injured Carson Palmer on the sidelines does this team no good at all.
Oakland - Taylor Mays, S, USC - The Black Hole and Al Davis gobble up another potential Pro Bowler and suck the life out of him. You all know Al's penchant for athletic, hard-hitting secondary types, but this guy could be Jack Tatum reincarnate. Then again, Al may want Crabtree or Maclin. Who knows.
Jacksonville - Rey Maualuga, LB, USC - WIth Mike Peterson heading for the exits, the Jags need to regain an anchor at LB. Maualuga fits the bill. The Jags could decide Laurinitis is the better fit, or go with an OT or WR here.
Green Bay - Everette Brown, DE, Florida St. - With the Packer defense floundering at critical times this season, Green Bay will start a guy who could help the Packers put some sizzle in the pass rush while helping the run defense. Could decide to go CB Jenkins here instead.
San Francisco - Brandon Spikes, LB, Florida - Much will be determined by Mike Singletary now that he is head coach. One wonders if he'll focus on his defensive philosophy learned while part of the vaunted Bears Super Bowl defense of 1986, or whether he'll add some additional parts to the offense. I can't see Samurai Mike passing up a linebacker like Spikes.
Buffalo - Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma St. - The Bills need a big target that can also act as a safety valve for Edwards/Losman in the redzone AND make the needed blocks in short yardage/running game.
Denver - Malcom Jenkins, CB, Ohio St. - With needs at DE, DT, CB,S, LB, OT & RB - pretty much all over the defense - the Broncos could go in any direction. Hard to imagine their defense not being the prime focus for any new coach, so look for a DE or DT pick with the Broncos first selection. However, the secondary is a big issue as well and with Malcom Jenkins still on the board, he's the pick.
Washington - Michael Johnson, DE, Georgia Tech - A tall, quick and disruptive force on the edge is just what the Skins need for their defense. The combine and pro day workouts will be very interesting to see if Johnson is the actual pick or if another DE might emerge.
New Orleans - Mark Herzlich, LB, Boston College - With Pierre Thomas showing he can run the rock, the name of the game in the Cresent City better be defense in the '09 draft. How about a huge, fast OLB to help out for starters? Would have gone Safety with Mays if still available here, or CB with Malcom Jenkins. Free agency moves in the off-season will impact this selection.
Houston - Peria Jerry, DT, Mississippi - Other than LB,SS and maybe another DE, this is the biggest need facing the Texans in the off-season. Jerry should provide a huge clog in the center of the defensive line and help pull a little of the attention away from Mario Williams. A bookend DE would help too.
San Diego - Eben Britton, OT, Arizona - The Chargers could go OT, DT, DE, S or ILB with this pick, and with Rivers coming into his own, the franchise QB might try improving the pass protection with Duke Robinson or Eben Britton. But if Everette Brown is still here at this selection, the Chargers will almost be stealing and would take him first.
NY Jets - Brian Cushing, LB, USC - Doubtful the Jets would go QB here unless Favre calls it quits (for real this time) and take a shot on a rookie. The Jets can use another offensive weapon like Heyward-Bey, Percy Harvin or Jeremy Maclin, but need a presence in the middle.
Chicago - George Selvie, DE, South Florida - Toss-up here for me, as the Bears seriously need some help at wideout and a guy like Percy Harvin, Heyward-Bey or even Kenny Britt would be tremendously helpful . If not a wideout here, Chicago goes DE or OL. (Much of this will deend on the FA season and if McNab is plucked off of FA and given the gig in Chicago.
Tampa Bay - Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR, Maryland - The Bucs add a weapon they desperately need on offense. If Bey doesn't "wow 'em" at the combines, then watch for Percy Harvin or Kenny Britt to go here.
Detroit(from Dallas) - Percy Harvin, WR, Florida - The Lions begin putting together an electric offense that will create frustration for opposing defenses. With CJ and Kevin Smith already deadly weapons, imagine putting a rocket like Harvin on the opposite side, with either Furrey or McDonald in the slot (trade the other one). Defense and another offensive linemen the rest of the way.
Arizona - Duke Robinson, OG, Oklahoma - If there's any doubt the Cardinals interior run blocking and running game in general needs a boost, just go back to the snowy game against New England. Forced to pass in a snowstorm, the Cards get blasted. Of course, the defense wasn't all that magnificent in that game either. However, Hightower and Arrington need some better blocking up front and get a solid boost with the additon of "The Duke". Chance for them to go CB or DE here as well.
Philadelphia - Eben Britton, OT, Arizona - Even if the Eagles dump McNabb and Coach Reid, the offensive line needs an upgrade - to say the least. Britton helps with that portion of the ballclub, but the Eagles could go TE with Jermaine Gresham.
Minnesota - Matt Stafford, QB. Georgia - The Vikes could go in any direction here, but after seeing Tavaris Jackson crumble in the playoffs, I doubt Minnesota can afford to wait around any longer - thought I think a QB in FA would be a better way to go. That said, if Stafford is available and if it weren't for the sizeable amount of FA quarterbacks in the off-season, he certainly could've been higer. Minnesota is "there" and on the threshold of going to a Super Bowl, and will be willing to risk trying with a young talent like Stafford IF they can't make a deal in free agency.
New England - Jermaine Gresham - I'm pretty sure CB and LB are higher on the "need" list, but Gresham might be too good a prospective weapon to pass up. Imagine Gresham in the lineup along with Moss and Welker, giving Brady ( or Cassel?) another option.
Atlanta - B.J. Raiji, DT, Boston College - Filling a need in the middle of the interior defensive line. The Falcons need help at CB too, but are much better off taking Raiji here and waiting till the next few rounds to add at CB. As a bonus, QB Matt Ryan is reunited with a former teammate at BC.
Miami - Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri If he's really, truly available at this particular position, I would be very surprised. But I have selected the players for this mock strictly by need and Maclin just didn't fit the top needs of the previous teams....but that also ignores the teams who pick best available at the time of their selection. So if he's not here, Miami may go with DJ Moore or Alphonso Smith at corner.
Baltimore - William Moore, FS, Missouri - The Ravens might try to go wideout here, but Moore might be the more imperative position to fill OR take one of the two corners mentioned above.
Philadelphia (from Carolina) - Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma St. - The Eagles get another big guy up front to bolster their offensive line and have coach Reid all giddy at the prospect of running the ball more. Could also select a TE Jermaine Gresham here.
Indianapolis - Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia - The Colts MUST get a DT to plug that middle defense which allows teams to gash Indy with the run. However, after the debacle in San Diego the Colts stun everyone and pick up a running back to pair up with Addai and/or Rhodes. OR, the Colts use this pick on DE Tyson Jackson and convert him to a hybrid DT with rotational depth capabilities at DE in case of injuries.
Pittsburgh - Herman Johnson, G, LSU - Secondary help is needed but the Steelers will make a slight reach here for a much-needed offensive lineman for their offense. Vontae Davis might be too good to pass on, so don't be surprised if he's the pick here.
NY Giants - Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois - A Big, quick wideout to replace Plaxico would be a tremendous "get" for the G-men, so they could be lured into taking a chance on Kenny Britt. Otherwise the Giants get a top corner who rates highest on the big board at this time.
Tennessee - Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraksa - Big determining factor here will be the ability to re-sign Albert Haynesworth. If the Titans fail, they'll need a big body to replace him. If they retain Haynesworth with a multiple year contract, they probably opt to target defensive end or find a wideout.
Detroit - Michael Oher, OT, Mississippi - I'm of the mind that the Lions can make a play for one of the many young free agent QB's that will be available this off-season, that Stafford or Bradford wouldn't be enough to turn the Lions around while dodging incoming pro defensive pass rushers, and upgrades on the offensive and defensive lines would be the wisest move.
However, with two picks in the first round the Lions would have to bankroll both of those #1 signings - especially prior to the start of training camp - and also sign any potential free agent at QB. Though the Lions likely have enough cap space to do it, the most likely scenario would be for Detroit to try and trade out of this pick and move down to accumulate more picks. If not, the Lions will go with the safe pick and take Andre Smith of Alabama.
St. Louis - Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia- The Rams need to bolster the line (among so many other things) and are awaiting word on who will lead this team in 2009 from the sidelines. Until the coaching philosophy is decided upon, I'll take the safe pick here as well. However, Michael Crabtree could be the selection although the Rams have so many needs on defense.
Kansas City - Aaron Curry, LB, Wake Forest - Much will depend on which direction the post-Peterson era GM will want this team to move in. Personally, I think Thigpen halts the need for an absolute 1st round QB selection (but maybe not another QB pick later in the day) and the Chiefs get an offensive tackle, pass rusher or LB, and they need all of those in this draft. The Chiefs defense has the makings of a young, up and coming force, and Curry could be one of new guys to help solidify that potential. Another OT pick wouldn't be stunning.
Seattle - Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech - Once again, the decisions and direction of new coach - Mora Jr. - will determine the overall strategy of the Seahawk draft. There is no question the Hawks need to enhance their running game and it is imperative that a wideout is selected soon. The obvious pick is Crabtree, but the Hawks could go running back with Wells or snatch Taylor Mays here if available.
Cleveland - Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas. - If Wells isn't taken by this point, the Browns might try and steal him with their first pick. Otherwise the Browns go unconventional and will try and use Orakpo as an OLB/DE in their 3-4 in order to get more pressure on opposing QB's. He's the best available for this type of utilization, with more speed than either Laurinaitis or Maulauga. If Curry is still here at this pick, Aaron Curry will get the nod.
Cincinnati - Andre Smith, OT, Alabama - The Bengals begin the turnaround at the ground level on offensive line. Without better pass protection or run blocking, the Bengals offense cannot sustain drives...and a repeatedly injured Carson Palmer on the sidelines does this team no good at all.
Oakland - Taylor Mays, S, USC - The Black Hole and Al Davis gobble up another potential Pro Bowler and suck the life out of him. You all know Al's penchant for athletic, hard-hitting secondary types, but this guy could be Jack Tatum reincarnate. Then again, Al may want Crabtree or Maclin. Who knows.
Jacksonville - Rey Maualuga, LB, USC - WIth Mike Peterson heading for the exits, the Jags need to regain an anchor at LB. Maualuga fits the bill. The Jags could decide Laurinitis is the better fit, or go with an OT or WR here.
Green Bay - Everette Brown, DE, Florida St. - With the Packer defense floundering at critical times this season, Green Bay will start a guy who could help the Packers put some sizzle in the pass rush while helping the run defense. Could decide to go CB Jenkins here instead.
San Francisco - Brandon Spikes, LB, Florida - Much will be determined by Mike Singletary now that he is head coach. One wonders if he'll focus on his defensive philosophy learned while part of the vaunted Bears Super Bowl defense of 1986, or whether he'll add some additional parts to the offense. I can't see Samurai Mike passing up a linebacker like Spikes.
Buffalo - Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma St. - The Bills need a big target that can also act as a safety valve for Edwards/Losman in the redzone AND make the needed blocks in short yardage/running game.
Denver - Malcom Jenkins, CB, Ohio St. - With needs at DE, DT, CB,S, LB, OT & RB - pretty much all over the defense - the Broncos could go in any direction. Hard to imagine their defense not being the prime focus for any new coach, so look for a DE or DT pick with the Broncos first selection. However, the secondary is a big issue as well and with Malcom Jenkins still on the board, he's the pick.
Washington - Michael Johnson, DE, Georgia Tech - A tall, quick and disruptive force on the edge is just what the Skins need for their defense. The combine and pro day workouts will be very interesting to see if Johnson is the actual pick or if another DE might emerge.
New Orleans - Mark Herzlich, LB, Boston College - With Pierre Thomas showing he can run the rock, the name of the game in the Cresent City better be defense in the '09 draft. How about a huge, fast OLB to help out for starters? Would have gone Safety with Mays if still available here, or CB with Malcom Jenkins. Free agency moves in the off-season will impact this selection.
Houston - Peria Jerry, DT, Mississippi - Other than LB,SS and maybe another DE, this is the biggest need facing the Texans in the off-season. Jerry should provide a huge clog in the center of the defensive line and help pull a little of the attention away from Mario Williams. A bookend DE would help too.
San Diego - Eben Britton, OT, Arizona - The Chargers could go OT, DT, DE, S or ILB with this pick, and with Rivers coming into his own, the franchise QB might try improving the pass protection with Duke Robinson or Eben Britton. But if Everette Brown is still here at this selection, the Chargers will almost be stealing and would take him first.
NY Jets - Brian Cushing, LB, USC - Doubtful the Jets would go QB here unless Favre calls it quits (for real this time) and take a shot on a rookie. The Jets can use another offensive weapon like Heyward-Bey, Percy Harvin or Jeremy Maclin, but need a presence in the middle.
Chicago - George Selvie, DE, South Florida - Toss-up here for me, as the Bears seriously need some help at wideout and a guy like Percy Harvin, Heyward-Bey or even Kenny Britt would be tremendously helpful . If not a wideout here, Chicago goes DE or OL. (Much of this will deend on the FA season and if McNab is plucked off of FA and given the gig in Chicago.
Tampa Bay - Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR, Maryland - The Bucs add a weapon they desperately need on offense. If Bey doesn't "wow 'em" at the combines, then watch for Percy Harvin or Kenny Britt to go here.
Detroit(from Dallas) - Percy Harvin, WR, Florida - The Lions begin putting together an electric offense that will create frustration for opposing defenses. With CJ and Kevin Smith already deadly weapons, imagine putting a rocket like Harvin on the opposite side, with either Furrey or McDonald in the slot (trade the other one). Defense and another offensive linemen the rest of the way.
Arizona - Duke Robinson, OG, Oklahoma - If there's any doubt the Cardinals interior run blocking and running game in general needs a boost, just go back to the snowy game against New England. Forced to pass in a snowstorm, the Cards get blasted. Of course, the defense wasn't all that magnificent in that game either. However, Hightower and Arrington need some better blocking up front and get a solid boost with the additon of "The Duke". Chance for them to go CB or DE here as well.
Philadelphia - Eben Britton, OT, Arizona - Even if the Eagles dump McNabb and Coach Reid, the offensive line needs an upgrade - to say the least. Britton helps with that portion of the ballclub, but the Eagles could go TE with Jermaine Gresham.
Minnesota - Matt Stafford, QB. Georgia - The Vikes could go in any direction here, but after seeing Tavaris Jackson crumble in the playoffs, I doubt Minnesota can afford to wait around any longer - thought I think a QB in FA would be a better way to go. That said, if Stafford is available and if it weren't for the sizeable amount of FA quarterbacks in the off-season, he certainly could've been higer. Minnesota is "there" and on the threshold of going to a Super Bowl, and will be willing to risk trying with a young talent like Stafford IF they can't make a deal in free agency.
New England - Jermaine Gresham - I'm pretty sure CB and LB are higher on the "need" list, but Gresham might be too good a prospective weapon to pass up. Imagine Gresham in the lineup along with Moss and Welker, giving Brady ( or Cassel?) another option.
Atlanta - B.J. Raiji, DT, Boston College - Filling a need in the middle of the interior defensive line. The Falcons need help at CB too, but are much better off taking Raiji here and waiting till the next few rounds to add at CB. As a bonus, QB Matt Ryan is reunited with a former teammate at BC.
Miami - Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri If he's really, truly available at this particular position, I would be very surprised. But I have selected the players for this mock strictly by need and Maclin just didn't fit the top needs of the previous teams....but that also ignores the teams who pick best available at the time of their selection. So if he's not here, Miami may go with DJ Moore or Alphonso Smith at corner.
Baltimore - William Moore, FS, Missouri - The Ravens might try to go wideout here, but Moore might be the more imperative position to fill OR take one of the two corners mentioned above.
Philadelphia (from Carolina) - Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma St. - The Eagles get another big guy up front to bolster their offensive line and have coach Reid all giddy at the prospect of running the ball more. Could also select a TE Jermaine Gresham here.
Indianapolis - Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia - The Colts MUST get a DT to plug that middle defense which allows teams to gash Indy with the run. However, after the debacle in San Diego the Colts stun everyone and pick up a running back to pair up with Addai and/or Rhodes. OR, the Colts use this pick on DE Tyson Jackson and convert him to a hybrid DT with rotational depth capabilities at DE in case of injuries.
Pittsburgh - Herman Johnson, G, LSU - Secondary help is needed but the Steelers will make a slight reach here for a much-needed offensive lineman for their offense. Vontae Davis might be too good to pass on, so don't be surprised if he's the pick here.
NY Giants - Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois - A Big, quick wideout to replace Plaxico would be a tremendous "get" for the G-men, so they could be lured into taking a chance on Kenny Britt. Otherwise the Giants get a top corner who rates highest on the big board at this time.
Tennessee - Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraksa - Big determining factor here will be the ability to re-sign Albert Haynesworth. If the Titans fail, they'll need a big body to replace him. If they retain Haynesworth with a multiple year contract, they probably opt to target defensive end or find a wideout.
Tuesday, November 25, 2008
Mock 2009 NFL Draft v4
Round One
Note: The current records and the order of the mock draft presented conflict currently, and I am going to wait till the next version to rearrange the order of the picks. For now though, here are the picks in the order presented.
1. Detroit Lions (0-11) – Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech
2. Cincinnati Bengals (1-9-1) – Michael Oher, OT, Mississippi
3. Kansas City Chiefs (1-10) – Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas
4. St. Louis Rams (2-9) – Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia
5. Oakland Raiders (3-8) – Andre Smith, OT, Alabama
6. Seattle Seahawks (2-9) – William Moore, FS, Missouri
7. San Francisco 49ers (3-8) – Michael Johnson, DE, Georgia Tech
8. Cleveland Browns (4-7) – Chris Wells, RB, Ohio State
9. Houston Texans (4-7) – Michael Jenkins, CB, Ohio St.
10.New Orleans Saints (6-5) – Aaron Curry, OLB, Wake Forest
11. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7) – Brandon Spikes, LB, Florida St.
12. San Diego Chargers (4-7) – Terrence Cody, DT, Alabama
13. Green Bay Packers (5-6) – Everette Brown, DE, FSU
14. Denver Broncos (6-5) – Jason Smith, OT, Baylor
15. Minnesota Vikings (6-5) – James Laurinitis, LB, Ohio St.
16. Buffalo Bills (6-5) – Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma St.
17. Miami Dolphins (6-5) – Alphonso Smith, CB, Wake Forest
18. New York Jets (8-3) – Rey Maualuga, LB, USC
19. Chicago Bears (6-5) – George Selvie, DE, South Florida
20. DETROIT(0-11) from Dallas - Eben Britton, OT, Arizona
21. Baltimore Ravens (7-4) – Percy Harvin, WR, Florida
22. Atlanta Falcons (6-3) – Peria Jerry, DT, Mississippi
23. Arizona Cardinals (7-4) – Duke Robinson, OG, Oklahoma St.
24. Philadelphia (5-5-1) – Myron Rolle, SS, FSU
25. New England Patriots (7-4) – Brian Cushing, LB, USC
26. Indianapolis Colts (7-4) - DeMarcus Granger, DT, Oklahoma
27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-3) – Fili Moala, DT, USC
28. Washington Redskins (7-4) – Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU
29. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3) – Greg Hardy, DE, Mississippi
30. Philadelphia (from 8-3 Carolina) – Phil Loadholt, OT, Oklahoma
31. Tennessee Titans (10-1) – Matt Shaughnessy, DE, Wisconsin
32. New York Giants (10-1) – Clint Sintim, LB, Virginia
Note: The current records and the order of the mock draft presented conflict currently, and I am going to wait till the next version to rearrange the order of the picks. For now though, here are the picks in the order presented.
1. Detroit Lions (0-11) – Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech
2. Cincinnati Bengals (1-9-1) – Michael Oher, OT, Mississippi
3. Kansas City Chiefs (1-10) – Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas
4. St. Louis Rams (2-9) – Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia
5. Oakland Raiders (3-8) – Andre Smith, OT, Alabama
6. Seattle Seahawks (2-9) – William Moore, FS, Missouri
7. San Francisco 49ers (3-8) – Michael Johnson, DE, Georgia Tech
8. Cleveland Browns (4-7) – Chris Wells, RB, Ohio State
9. Houston Texans (4-7) – Michael Jenkins, CB, Ohio St.
10.New Orleans Saints (6-5) – Aaron Curry, OLB, Wake Forest
11. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7) – Brandon Spikes, LB, Florida St.
12. San Diego Chargers (4-7) – Terrence Cody, DT, Alabama
13. Green Bay Packers (5-6) – Everette Brown, DE, FSU
14. Denver Broncos (6-5) – Jason Smith, OT, Baylor
15. Minnesota Vikings (6-5) – James Laurinitis, LB, Ohio St.
16. Buffalo Bills (6-5) – Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma St.
17. Miami Dolphins (6-5) – Alphonso Smith, CB, Wake Forest
18. New York Jets (8-3) – Rey Maualuga, LB, USC
19. Chicago Bears (6-5) – George Selvie, DE, South Florida
20. DETROIT(0-11) from Dallas - Eben Britton, OT, Arizona
21. Baltimore Ravens (7-4) – Percy Harvin, WR, Florida
22. Atlanta Falcons (6-3) – Peria Jerry, DT, Mississippi
23. Arizona Cardinals (7-4) – Duke Robinson, OG, Oklahoma St.
24. Philadelphia (5-5-1) – Myron Rolle, SS, FSU
25. New England Patriots (7-4) – Brian Cushing, LB, USC
26. Indianapolis Colts (7-4) - DeMarcus Granger, DT, Oklahoma
27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-3) – Fili Moala, DT, USC
28. Washington Redskins (7-4) – Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU
29. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3) – Greg Hardy, DE, Mississippi
30. Philadelphia (from 8-3 Carolina) – Phil Loadholt, OT, Oklahoma
31. Tennessee Titans (10-1) – Matt Shaughnessy, DE, Wisconsin
32. New York Giants (10-1) – Clint Sintim, LB, Virginia
Tuesday, November 11, 2008
BoilerMacR's 2009 NFL Mock Draft v3
1. Detroit Lions (0-9) – Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech
Yes, I know....the Lions have picked WR time and time again, and they have a bunch of other needs. But before thinking this is some big joke, hear me out. And no, it's no joke. :)
I am predicting Michael Crabtree will end up as the overall #1 - no matter who is selecting number one in the draft. What's more, it doesn't mean Detroit ultimately keeps him, but my bet is Crabtree goes #1 to the Lions if they have the first pick.
Lest one forgets, the Lions also have an additional first round selection from the Cowboys, so they can ultimately get Crabtree & a top offensive tackle in round one.
Or, the Lions could select Crabtree with the 1st pick and trade down to add more picks in later rounds from a team (like the Seahawks, Bears or Vikings) who are desperately in need of a game-changer at wideout.
2. Cincinnati Bengals (1-8) – Andre Smith, OT, Alabama
3. Kansas City Chiefs (2-7) – Chris Wells, RB, Ohio State
4. St. Louis Rams (2-7) – Michael Oher, OT, Mississippi
5. Oakland Raiders (2-7) – Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia
6. Seattle Seahawks (2-7) – Malcolm Jenkins, CB, Ohio State
7. San Francisco 49ers (2-7) – Michael Johnson, DE, Georgia Tech
8. Cleveland Browns (3-6) – Javon Ringer, RB, Michigan St.
9. Houston Texans (3-6) – Alphonso Smith, CB, Wake Forest
10.New Orleans Saints (4-5) – Aaron Curry, OLB, Wake Forest
11. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-5) – Taylor Mays, S, USC
12. San Diego Chargers (4-5) – Everette Brown, DE, FSU
13. Green Bay Packers (4-5) – William Moore, FS, Missouri
14. Denver Broncos (5-4) – James Laurinitis, LB, Ohio St.
15. Minnesota Vikings (5-4) – Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma St.
16. Buffalo Bills (5-4) – George Selvie, DE, South Florida
17. Miami Dolphins (5-4) – Brandon Spikes, LB, Florida
18. New York Jets (6-3) – Rey Maualuga, LB, USC
19. Chicago Bears (5-4) – Eben Britton, OT, Arizona
20. DETROIT(0-9) from Dallas - Jason Smith, OT, Baylor
21.Baltimore Ravens (6-3) – Brian Cushing, LB, USC
22. Atlanta Falcons (6-3) – Chase Coffman, TE, Missouri
23. Arizona Cardinals (6-3) – Terrence Cody, DT, Alabama
24. Philadelphia (5-4) – Myron Rolle, SS, FSU
25. New England Patriots (6-3) – Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois
26. Indianapolis Colts (5-4) - Fili Moala, DT, USC
27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3) –Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri
28. Washington Redskins (6-3) – Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas
29. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-3) – Duke Robinson, OG, Oklahoma
30. Philadelphia (from 7-2 Carolina) – Jared Cook, TE, South Carolina
31. Tennessee Titans (9-0) – Ciron Black, OT, LSU
32. New York Giants (8-1) – Gerald McRath, LB, Southern Mississippi
Yes, I know....the Lions have picked WR time and time again, and they have a bunch of other needs. But before thinking this is some big joke, hear me out. And no, it's no joke. :)
I am predicting Michael Crabtree will end up as the overall #1 - no matter who is selecting number one in the draft. What's more, it doesn't mean Detroit ultimately keeps him, but my bet is Crabtree goes #1 to the Lions if they have the first pick.
Lest one forgets, the Lions also have an additional first round selection from the Cowboys, so they can ultimately get Crabtree & a top offensive tackle in round one.
Or, the Lions could select Crabtree with the 1st pick and trade down to add more picks in later rounds from a team (like the Seahawks, Bears or Vikings) who are desperately in need of a game-changer at wideout.
2. Cincinnati Bengals (1-8) – Andre Smith, OT, Alabama
3. Kansas City Chiefs (2-7) – Chris Wells, RB, Ohio State
4. St. Louis Rams (2-7) – Michael Oher, OT, Mississippi
5. Oakland Raiders (2-7) – Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia
6. Seattle Seahawks (2-7) – Malcolm Jenkins, CB, Ohio State
7. San Francisco 49ers (2-7) – Michael Johnson, DE, Georgia Tech
8. Cleveland Browns (3-6) – Javon Ringer, RB, Michigan St.
9. Houston Texans (3-6) – Alphonso Smith, CB, Wake Forest
10.New Orleans Saints (4-5) – Aaron Curry, OLB, Wake Forest
11. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-5) – Taylor Mays, S, USC
12. San Diego Chargers (4-5) – Everette Brown, DE, FSU
13. Green Bay Packers (4-5) – William Moore, FS, Missouri
14. Denver Broncos (5-4) – James Laurinitis, LB, Ohio St.
15. Minnesota Vikings (5-4) – Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma St.
16. Buffalo Bills (5-4) – George Selvie, DE, South Florida
17. Miami Dolphins (5-4) – Brandon Spikes, LB, Florida
18. New York Jets (6-3) – Rey Maualuga, LB, USC
19. Chicago Bears (5-4) – Eben Britton, OT, Arizona
20. DETROIT(0-9) from Dallas - Jason Smith, OT, Baylor
21.Baltimore Ravens (6-3) – Brian Cushing, LB, USC
22. Atlanta Falcons (6-3) – Chase Coffman, TE, Missouri
23. Arizona Cardinals (6-3) – Terrence Cody, DT, Alabama
24. Philadelphia (5-4) – Myron Rolle, SS, FSU
25. New England Patriots (6-3) – Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois
26. Indianapolis Colts (5-4) - Fili Moala, DT, USC
27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3) –Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri
28. Washington Redskins (6-3) – Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas
29. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-3) – Duke Robinson, OG, Oklahoma
30. Philadelphia (from 7-2 Carolina) – Jared Cook, TE, South Carolina
31. Tennessee Titans (9-0) – Ciron Black, OT, LSU
32. New York Giants (8-1) – Gerald McRath, LB, Southern Mississippi
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