Mackey Magic is back and the Boilermaker basketball is turning the corner. Perhaps after yesterday's thrilling 60-56 win over #11 Wisconsin, Purdue has finally made the turn nearly complete. We'll know for sure if they can win their next one and not allow a let down to take place.
The fab four freshman combined once again to give Purdue their sixth win in seven Big Ten outings, with Etwaun Moore leading the Boilers with 16 points. But it was Robbie Hummel's block of a Badger attempt at a game-tying layup with 1.2 seconds remaining that sealed the victory. Fans stormed Keady Court after the final buzzer. It was the first time they had done so since Coach Matt Painter and the Boilers knocked off Indiana in 1992, denying IU an outright Big Ten title that year. That happened to also be the first time fans had stormed the court. I would expect to see that number jump up from two to God-knows-how-many in the next 3 and a half years with this collection of solid players.
Mackey Arena has always been a fantastic and loud place to play, but in recent years the magic had worn off through some seriously disheartening erosion in the program. But Matt Painter has brought the program back to life and a ticket to a Boilermaker basketball game will once again be a hot commodity. At 15-5 (6-1 in the Big Ten) the Boilers are edging closer to an NCAA invititation that would truly be remarkable with a team of all freshmen and sophomores, save one senior and one junior. Certainly this program will be tough to deal with for the next few seasons.
Great win and great lift for Boilermaker basketball.
Sunday, January 27, 2008
Monday, January 21, 2008
Indianapolis Draft History Recap
Last April we saw the Indianapolis Colts fill the wideout spot with rookie Anthony Gonzales to replace the gaping void left by the departure of Brandon Stokely. Then the Colts drafted Tony Ugoh for depth and eventual need at the OT spot. Little did they know they actual drafted for immediate need, as OT Tarik Glenn announced his retirement just prior to the start of training camp. Ugoh immediately became a starter.
Quinn Pitcock became part of the DLine rotation due to the many injuries the Colts faced in the 2007 season. Same for Clint Sessions and Kenyatta Dawson, who also contributed when the injury bugs hit. Michael Coe showed promise in the secondary and rotated in and out as a backup, as did Daymeion Hughes and Brandon Condren. Roy Hall was looking to be the sleeper of the '07 draft before he went down with a season ending injury while making a spectacular hit on special teams.
All in all, every draft pick by the Colts in the 2007 NFL draft made a contibution. In some cases, they made more than was expected initially and show great promise for a team that now has quite a bit of depth on defense, especially in the secondary.
3 picks on offense, 6 on defense.
I think defense is going to get two or three picks this year, while the offensive line, running back and either TE or wideouts are picks also. At DE, I would love the Colts to grab 6-6, 295 lb. Kendall Langford of Hampton with our first pick in the second round. He might be a tad too slow for our need with a blasting pass rush, so maybe someone like 6-2,250 Marcus Howard from Georgia (4.7 speed) would be a better fit. If we had a shot at Red Bryant, 6-4, 235, from Texas A&M at DT, or Andre Fuellen, 6-4, 280 DT from FSU, would that trump a pick at DE? Not sure.
Offensive Line is a definite need. There is Jeremy Zutta, 6-4,292 lber. from Rutgers and Mike Fladell, 6-7, 322 also from Rutgers. Or Demetrius Bell, 6-6, 288 from NW State (LA) and Dylan Thiry, 6-7, 317, of Northwestern.
Running back will be a critical need for the Colts this year as well. Not sure it will be a first pick for Indy, but it could come in round 3 or 4. Andre Brown, 6-0, 233 from NC State and Calvin Dawson, 5'10", 207 from UL Monroe are good candidates here. And Chauncey Washington, 5'11", 219 from UCLA.
Looking at a potential add at TE for the Colts we see several candidates. Craig Stevens, 6-5, 255 from Cal and Bear Pascoe, 6-5, 266 from Fresno St. Or Jacob Tamme, 6-4, 243 out of Louisville or Marcel Frost, 6-4, 256 out of Jackson St.
At any rate, here is the list of last year's picks:
2007
1 - Anthony Gonzales, WR
2 - Tony Ugoh, OT
3 - Quinn Pitcock, DE
4 - Clint Sessions, LB
5 - Keyunta Dawson, DE
6 - Michael Coe, CB
7 - Daymeion Hughes, CB
8 - Brandon Condren, CB
9 - Roy Hall
So, in order to gauge what direction Bill Polian and the Indianapolis Colts might go this year in the draft, I thought it valuable to go back over the past 12 years of drafts and look at what positions were drafted and in what order. Perhaps there is no clear-cut order or method, but it is worth a look. I will then match that up against the perceived needs of the Colts for the upcoming season. It may give us a better indication of who we will be picking in April. Then again, it may just screw us up even more trying to figure out Bill Polian.
2006
1 Joseph Addai, RB LSU
2 Tim Jennings, CB, Georgia
3 Freddie Keiaho, LB San Diego State
5 Michael Toudouze, OT, TCU
6 Charlie Johnson, OG, Oklahoma State
6 Antoine Bethea, S, Howard
7 T.J. Rushing, CB, Stanford
2005
1 Marlin Jackson, CB, Michigan
2 Kelvin Hayden, CB, Illinois
3 Vincent Burns, DT, Kentucky
4 Dylan Gandy, OG,Texas Tech
4 Matt Giordano, S, California
5 Jonathan Welsh, DE, Wisconsin
5 Robert Hunt,C, North Dakota State
5 Tyjuan Hagler,LB,Cincinnati
6 Dave Rayner, K, Michigan State
7 Anthony Davis, Wisconsin
2004
2 Bob Sanders, S, Iowa
3 Ben Hartsock, TE, Ohio State
3 Gilbert Gardner,LB,Purdue
4 Kendyll Pope, LB,Florida State
4 Jason David, CB,Washington State
5 Jake Scott, OT, Idaho
6 Von Hutchins, CB,Mississippi
6 Jim Sorgi,QB,Wisconsin
7 David Kimball,K,Penn State
2003
1 Dallas Clark, TE,Iowa
2 Michael Doss ,CB, Ohio State
3 Donald Strickland, LB,Colorado
4 Steve Sciullo, OL, Marshall
5 Robert Mathis, DE,Alabama A&M
5 Keyon Whiteside, LB,Tennessee
6 Cato June, LB, Michigan
6 Makoa Freitas, OG,Arizona
2002
1 Dwight Freeney, DE, Syracuse
2 Larry Tripplett, DT, Washington
3 Joseph Jefferson, CB, Western Kentucky
4 David Thorton, LB, North Carolina
6 David Pugh, DT,Virginia Tech
6 James Lewis, CB,Miami (FL)
6 Brian Allen,RB, Stanford
7 Josh Mallard,DE, Georgia
2001
1 Reggie Wayne, WR,Miami (FL)
2 Idrees Bashir, CB, Memphis
3 Cory Bird, CB, Virginia Tech
4 Ryan Diem, OG, Northern Illinois
5 Raymond Walls,DB, Southern Mississippi
6 Jason Doering,CB,Wisconsin
7 Rick DeMulling, OT, Idaho State
2000
1 Rob Morris, LB, Brigham Young
2 Marcus Washington, LB, Auburn
3 David Macklin,CB, Penn State
4 Josh Williams,DT, Michigan
5 Matt Johnson, OG, Brigham Young
7 Rob Renes,DT, Michigan
7 Rodregis Brooks, CB, Alabama-Birmingham
1999
1 Edgerrin James,RB,Miami (FL)
2 Mike Peterson, LB, Florida
3 Brandon Burlsworth, OG, Arkansas
4 Paul Miranda,CB, Central Florida
5 Brad Scioli, DE, Penn State
7 Hunter Smith, P, Notre Dame
7 Corey Terry, CB, Tennessee
1998******* Bill Polian's first draft as Indy GM *********
1 Peyton Manning, QB, Tennessee
2 Jerome Pathon, WR, Washington
3 E.G. Green, WR, Florida State
4 Steve McKinney, OG, Texas A&M
5 Antony Jordan, LB, Vanderbilt
7 Aaron Taylor, C, Nebraska
7 Cory Gaines, CB, Tennessee
1997 ####Last Pre-Polian Draft ######
1 Tarik Glenn, OT, California
2 Adam Meadows, OT, Georgia
3 Bertrand Berry, LB, Notre Dame
4 Delmonico Montgomery, CB, Houston
5 Nathaniel Jacquet, WR, San Diego State
5 Carl Powell, CB, Louisville
6 Scott Von der Ahe, LB, Arizona State
7 Clarence Thompson, CB, Knoxville
1996
1 Marvin Harrison, WR, Syracuse
2 Dedric Mathis, CB, Houston
3 Scott Slutzker, TE, Iowa
4 Brian Milne, RB, Penn State
5 Steve Martin, DT, Missouri
6 Keith Conlin, OT, Penn State
6 Mike Cawley, QB, James Madison
7 Adrian Robinson, CB, Baylor
Quinn Pitcock became part of the DLine rotation due to the many injuries the Colts faced in the 2007 season. Same for Clint Sessions and Kenyatta Dawson, who also contributed when the injury bugs hit. Michael Coe showed promise in the secondary and rotated in and out as a backup, as did Daymeion Hughes and Brandon Condren. Roy Hall was looking to be the sleeper of the '07 draft before he went down with a season ending injury while making a spectacular hit on special teams.
All in all, every draft pick by the Colts in the 2007 NFL draft made a contibution. In some cases, they made more than was expected initially and show great promise for a team that now has quite a bit of depth on defense, especially in the secondary.
3 picks on offense, 6 on defense.
I think defense is going to get two or three picks this year, while the offensive line, running back and either TE or wideouts are picks also. At DE, I would love the Colts to grab 6-6, 295 lb. Kendall Langford of Hampton with our first pick in the second round. He might be a tad too slow for our need with a blasting pass rush, so maybe someone like 6-2,250 Marcus Howard from Georgia (4.7 speed) would be a better fit. If we had a shot at Red Bryant, 6-4, 235, from Texas A&M at DT, or Andre Fuellen, 6-4, 280 DT from FSU, would that trump a pick at DE? Not sure.
Offensive Line is a definite need. There is Jeremy Zutta, 6-4,292 lber. from Rutgers and Mike Fladell, 6-7, 322 also from Rutgers. Or Demetrius Bell, 6-6, 288 from NW State (LA) and Dylan Thiry, 6-7, 317, of Northwestern.
Running back will be a critical need for the Colts this year as well. Not sure it will be a first pick for Indy, but it could come in round 3 or 4. Andre Brown, 6-0, 233 from NC State and Calvin Dawson, 5'10", 207 from UL Monroe are good candidates here. And Chauncey Washington, 5'11", 219 from UCLA.
Looking at a potential add at TE for the Colts we see several candidates. Craig Stevens, 6-5, 255 from Cal and Bear Pascoe, 6-5, 266 from Fresno St. Or Jacob Tamme, 6-4, 243 out of Louisville or Marcel Frost, 6-4, 256 out of Jackson St.
At any rate, here is the list of last year's picks:
2007
1 - Anthony Gonzales, WR
2 - Tony Ugoh, OT
3 - Quinn Pitcock, DE
4 - Clint Sessions, LB
5 - Keyunta Dawson, DE
6 - Michael Coe, CB
7 - Daymeion Hughes, CB
8 - Brandon Condren, CB
9 - Roy Hall
So, in order to gauge what direction Bill Polian and the Indianapolis Colts might go this year in the draft, I thought it valuable to go back over the past 12 years of drafts and look at what positions were drafted and in what order. Perhaps there is no clear-cut order or method, but it is worth a look. I will then match that up against the perceived needs of the Colts for the upcoming season. It may give us a better indication of who we will be picking in April. Then again, it may just screw us up even more trying to figure out Bill Polian.
2006
1 Joseph Addai, RB LSU
2 Tim Jennings, CB, Georgia
3 Freddie Keiaho, LB San Diego State
5 Michael Toudouze, OT, TCU
6 Charlie Johnson, OG, Oklahoma State
6 Antoine Bethea, S, Howard
7 T.J. Rushing, CB, Stanford
2005
1 Marlin Jackson, CB, Michigan
2 Kelvin Hayden, CB, Illinois
3 Vincent Burns, DT, Kentucky
4 Dylan Gandy, OG,Texas Tech
4 Matt Giordano, S, California
5 Jonathan Welsh, DE, Wisconsin
5 Robert Hunt,C, North Dakota State
5 Tyjuan Hagler,LB,Cincinnati
6 Dave Rayner, K, Michigan State
7 Anthony Davis, Wisconsin
2004
2 Bob Sanders, S, Iowa
3 Ben Hartsock, TE, Ohio State
3 Gilbert Gardner,LB,Purdue
4 Kendyll Pope, LB,Florida State
4 Jason David, CB,Washington State
5 Jake Scott, OT, Idaho
6 Von Hutchins, CB,Mississippi
6 Jim Sorgi,QB,Wisconsin
7 David Kimball,K,Penn State
2003
1 Dallas Clark, TE,Iowa
2 Michael Doss ,CB, Ohio State
3 Donald Strickland, LB,Colorado
4 Steve Sciullo, OL, Marshall
5 Robert Mathis, DE,Alabama A&M
5 Keyon Whiteside, LB,Tennessee
6 Cato June, LB, Michigan
6 Makoa Freitas, OG,Arizona
2002
1 Dwight Freeney, DE, Syracuse
2 Larry Tripplett, DT, Washington
3 Joseph Jefferson, CB, Western Kentucky
4 David Thorton, LB, North Carolina
6 David Pugh, DT,Virginia Tech
6 James Lewis, CB,Miami (FL)
6 Brian Allen,RB, Stanford
7 Josh Mallard,DE, Georgia
2001
1 Reggie Wayne, WR,Miami (FL)
2 Idrees Bashir, CB, Memphis
3 Cory Bird, CB, Virginia Tech
4 Ryan Diem, OG, Northern Illinois
5 Raymond Walls,DB, Southern Mississippi
6 Jason Doering,CB,Wisconsin
7 Rick DeMulling, OT, Idaho State
2000
1 Rob Morris, LB, Brigham Young
2 Marcus Washington, LB, Auburn
3 David Macklin,CB, Penn State
4 Josh Williams,DT, Michigan
5 Matt Johnson, OG, Brigham Young
7 Rob Renes,DT, Michigan
7 Rodregis Brooks, CB, Alabama-Birmingham
1999
1 Edgerrin James,RB,Miami (FL)
2 Mike Peterson, LB, Florida
3 Brandon Burlsworth, OG, Arkansas
4 Paul Miranda,CB, Central Florida
5 Brad Scioli, DE, Penn State
7 Hunter Smith, P, Notre Dame
7 Corey Terry, CB, Tennessee
1998******* Bill Polian's first draft as Indy GM *********
1 Peyton Manning, QB, Tennessee
2 Jerome Pathon, WR, Washington
3 E.G. Green, WR, Florida State
4 Steve McKinney, OG, Texas A&M
5 Antony Jordan, LB, Vanderbilt
7 Aaron Taylor, C, Nebraska
7 Cory Gaines, CB, Tennessee
1997 ####Last Pre-Polian Draft ######
1 Tarik Glenn, OT, California
2 Adam Meadows, OT, Georgia
3 Bertrand Berry, LB, Notre Dame
4 Delmonico Montgomery, CB, Houston
5 Nathaniel Jacquet, WR, San Diego State
5 Carl Powell, CB, Louisville
6 Scott Von der Ahe, LB, Arizona State
7 Clarence Thompson, CB, Knoxville
1996
1 Marvin Harrison, WR, Syracuse
2 Dedric Mathis, CB, Houston
3 Scott Slutzker, TE, Iowa
4 Brian Milne, RB, Penn State
5 Steve Martin, DT, Missouri
6 Keith Conlin, OT, Penn State
6 Mike Cawley, QB, James Madison
7 Adrian Robinson, CB, Baylor
Thursday, January 17, 2008
Visit DraftTek.com ! Here are My "Colts Needs" for 2008 NFL Draft
Be sure to check out team needs for all 32 teams and the latest mock draft for 2008 at drafttek.com, a great site that breaks down all seven rounds for the upcoming draft. And all 32 teams have Draft Tek correspondents like me who evaluate what their favorite team will need to add from the draft, prioritizing each pick.
Now for the Colts, there are several things that will dictate how the Colts proceed in the 2008 NFL draft this coming April. The most talked about (though I don't think the most significant) is the final decision of coach Tony Dungy and whether or not he returns to the team for another season. The reason it's not the most significant element to me is the continuity aspect of the final outcome, either way. Bill Polian will still be in charge and the potential coaching replacement in Jim Caldwell pretty much means status quo for the club.
There is the matter of Dallas Clark's contract negotiations, though Bill Polian has made it clear he will put the franchise tag on Clark if there is no agreement to a new contract. And Clark insists he wants to remain in Indy. So that seems to be a rather minor obstacle.
But the absolute biggest factors include the decisions surrounding three players. Defensive Tackle Anthony "Booger" McFarland, and Offensive Linemen Ryan Lilja and Jake Scott. The decisions made on those three players will have the biggest overall impact on the draft for Indianapolis this coming April. All three are important components of the past success of the team, but all three will probably be seeking more money than the Colts can ultimately offer.
Lilja and Scott are two of Indy's starting offensive linemen. Both are quality lineman who have done an outstanding job at their positions and both are young players (going into their 5th year each) who have had some injuries, but have come through to be effective contributors to an often under-appreciated element of the offensive success. Should both be lost in free agency, the Colts will have to use at least two draft picks for their replacements. That would leave just four picks (not counting supplemental picks) to utilize for other areas of the team because the Colts traded their first round pick of this year to San Francisco during the 2007 draft.
It is my opinion the Colts need another sturdy, but fleet-footed running back that can catch the ball as well as move the pile. Joe Addai was bruised and battered by week 10, and the Colts could not get the same efficiency out of Kenton Keith. Plus Keith isn't exactly a pass-catching guru. So an additional running back, in my mind, is a critical need this year.
Defensively, the situation is up in the air with regards to the DT position. Is McFarland coming back? If not, he'll be a tremendous loss and the Colts will obviously need to draft another, even though Ed Johnson, Darrell Reid and Quinn Pitcock shared those duties at various times this past season. Because of the play of those three backups, the drive to get a DT with their first pick in the second round isn't critical. But it is important. Either running back or DT (if McFarland doesn't return) with the first pick for the Colts in the 2008 draft.
After that, the Colts could use some help at cornerback and defensive end. Althought the secondary unit is deep, there is just no way the Colts can afford to have Tim Jennings on the field. Nor T.J. Rushing, either as a corner or a return specialist. Jamar Adams, 6-1 DB from Michigan would be a good 3rd round pickup here. And without Dwight Freeney, Mathis and Brock cannot generate enough of an outside push against the elite offensive lines in the league (read: New England and San Diego) to create the pressure needed in a Tampa 2 scheme.
So in summary to this point, if the Colts lost McFarland, Scott and Lilja, they would need to draft the following positions, probably in this order:
DT, RB, DE, CB, OL, OL. Or, DE, DT, RB, CB, OL, OL. That is six of seven picks right there, no matter the actual order. The final regular draft pick could be at wideout, (which is elevated immensely if Marvin Harrison cannot come back next season due to injury or surgery) or if the Colts do not believe Aromashodu is likely to work out as a competent receiving target. I like Aromashodu, and think he needs more time with Manning and the first unit to develop into a solid contributor. A linebacker or a backup and eventual replacement for Center Jeff Saturday is also a possibility with the other pick.
Keep in mind that historically, Bill Polian drafts offensive lineman in later rounds, then turns them over to one of the best line coaches in all football - Howard Mudd. What's more, there are solid players at running back who will be available all the way to the 3rd through 5th round because of the flood of defensive talent coming into the '08 draft. That means the second round draft for Indy will probably be defense.
Not a lot of ambiguity in the draft for the Colts this year, as their needs are quite obvious if they lose all three of those aforementioned starters. They aren't going to be hassled by a first round draft pick and the attendant money associated with it, so that helps. And without the 3 former starters, that drops some more money off the total cap.
Still, there is plenty of quality talent available in the 2008 draft and the Colts will have plenty of opportunity to enhance their team, which already enjoys the comfort of knowing it will have nearly the identical team returning next season.
As I said to begin with, some of this is predicated on what coach Dungy decides to do with his future, and whether his departure would be immediately filled by assistant coach Jim Caldwell. And I would suspect there would be no significant shift in team philosophy, so that would more or less guarantee continuity, as would Bill Polian. But most of the decisions will because of the potential losses to free agency on the offensive line and McFarland at DT.
Now I will use the matrix that I use as a correspondent for drafttek.com
It goes from 1-9.
Priority Code Definitions
P1- Highest Priority for Starter, will reach - only 1 per team
P2 - High Priority in need of starter, will possibly reach
P3 - High Priority in need of starter will not reach
P4 - General Need for Depth, Value Only - No reach
P5 - General Need for Depth
P6 - Operational only in lower rounds (rd 5-7)
P9- Will Not Draft - absolutely no need, do not select
Quantity Code Definition
blank - Will select at most 1
M - may select more than 1 at this position
Player Lockout List
Identify collegiate players that willnot fit what your team is looking for. Only positions of high need (P1,P2,P3)
So with that, here is my matrix for the Colts for the 2008 draft:
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS OFFENSE:
QB - 9 But I do wonder why they resigned Jim Sorgi as backup. The Colts are one of the only teams that carry just two quarterbacks. Punter Hunter Smith is the worst case scenario emergency QB if Manning and Sorgi are out. This is more of a supplemental draft pickup OR a vet minimum signing of an aging free agent.
RB - 3 Kenton Keith is a good #3 back, but he had problems catching passes (a cardinal sin in Indy) and doesn't have the bulk to bust through in 3rd and short situations. The Colts need a rotating starter like they had in Dominic Rhodes to share carries with Joe Addai. Addai was banged up mid to late season and wore down, creating the need for Keith to handle more carries than expected. The results weren't that pleasant. The Colts will be looking at a Jehruu Caulcrick (6-0, 255lb) type out of Michigan State, or someone like Arian Foster, 6-1, 215 from Tennessee. Big enough for short yardage, but speed to get to the second level and keep moving the chains, while wearing down the defense.
WR - 4 This may go to 3, even 2, depending on how the Colts evaluate Marvin Harrison and any potential surgery in the off-season. Rookie Anthony Gonzales benefitted from the Harrison injury (though was out due to injury a few games himself) and looks ready to take over the slot receiver position, allowing the Colts to use Dallas Clark in a more traditional TE setup. Depth at WR isn't the question, but rather, the quality of the depth. Roy Hall may be the odds on favorite if he can stay healthy. Craphonso Thorpe and Devin Aromashodo are the backups. They both showed promise during the times when they did get into the lineup with both Harrison and Gonzales out with injury. However, they didn't/don't get the required time in practice with Manning to equal the necessary production at that position. If Marvin has an enduring injury, then the Colts are forced to make a play for a top WR in the early rounds.
OT - 4- This position is set with the exceptional job by Tony Ugoh. There is always the need for added depth, so a "tweener" that can flex between OG and OT may be picked up here. Much depends on whether the Colts re-sign Lilja and Diem in the off-season. If they lose both to FA, the priortiy jumps up to 2. If they retain Diem, then the need for another OT is lessened. Bill Polian does not reach for offensive lineman. In fact, he usually waits until late in the draft and picks up the folks most people leave behind. And then there is offensive line coach Howard Mudd.
OG - 3. Again, it depends on the status of Lilja and Diem. But when injuries decimated the offensive line this past season, many stepped up and did a pretty decent job most of the time. . Michael Toudouze, 2 year player out of TCU received valuable playing time when the injuries hit this past season, and he could become the starter if Lilja or Diem both go. Diem looks to be the most vulnerable of the two in terms of not being re-signed if the Colts had to choose. Again, Bill Polian always seems to find great talent late in the draft, and Howard Mudd is one of the all-time best coaching up lineman. But the Colts seriously need a 6-4, 290+ type OG in this draft.
TE -4 Dallas Clark will be resigned or tagged. Bryan Fletcher has been okay and Utecht is too fragile to remain an option if he doesn't break out in 2008. If the Colts have to "tag" Dallas this year, that still leaves his future up in the air. The Colts ALWAYS look down the road past the obvious present. Which may mean that TE is a bigger priority this year than many suspect.
OC - 4 - Jeff Saturday is an exceptional starter. Pro Bowler the past two seasons, his age is requiring the Colts to begin looking for an eventual replacement. Coming into his 10th season, this veteran leader is Peyton Manning's glue. Given the aforementioned Polian perogative of late-round drafts for lineman on offense, and the uncertain long-term status of playmakers like Harrison and Clark, chances are slim they tab a replacement this year.
FB - 6, but almost a 9. Luke Lawton is going into his 4th season at the position and does a good job. Unless Owen Schmidtt is available, there isn't a pick at this position.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS DEFENSE
DT - 4 Depends on the re-signing of Anthony "Booger" McFarland. If he returns, the Colts will not concentrate on this area as McFarland, Darrell Reid, undrafted sensation Ed Johnson and rookie Quinn Pitcock can provide adequate depth at this position.
DE - 4 - Freeney is one of a kind and it showed how big an impact he makes when the Colts were unable to shake Phillip Rivers in the AFC playoff game at Indy. Robert Mathis and Raheem Brock are good when Freeney is drawing attention to the other side. When he is not there, both are reduced to "pretty good" pass rushers. Look for the Colts to add at least one draft pick at this position. Rookie Kenyata Dawson did well and both he and Josh Thomas gained a lot of experience when the defense battled through multiple injuries. Same for Jeff Charleston, a two year vet from Idaho State. But Thomas hasn't "wowed" anyone and may be too slow to make the impact necessary for the defensive scheme.
LB - 6 Gary Brackett, Rob Morris and Freddy Keiaho, along with young Clint Sessions and Rocky Boiman collaboratively get the job done. I think the Colts have the nucleus and depth pretty much established at this position,. Rookies Ramon Guzman and Victor Worsley didn't see a ton of action, so their overall value is unknown at present, but they do add to the young depth of the Colt defense. I would have suspected that if an unexpected talent was sitting there at rounds 3 through 5, they pull the trigger. But with questions at OL and the overall health of Marvin and Freeney, plus long term future of Dallas Clark, I'm not so sure anymore.
SS - 6 The Colts are deep here. Melvin Bullit showed great promise, Matt Giordano is lightning quick and gaining more confidence with each game. AAntoine Bethea is a monster who is going into his third year with unlimited potential. Rookie Brandon Condren wasn't heard about much this season, so it remains to be seen if he is still around.
FS - 9 Bob Sanders. Nuff said. Giordano backs up this position.
CB - 4 For most of the year, I thought the Colt secondary was their strong suit defensively. Good depth and the starters were having great games. Then came the losses to New England and San Diego (both times). Tim Jennings was burned in the New England and San Diego game repeatedly. Jenning will survive so long as they utilize him against WR's around 5-11 to 6-2. After that, he is a liability. Michael Coe showed significant improvement this past year and at 6-0 isn't too small to match up against the taller WR's in the league. But other than those two and starters Hayden and Jackson, the Colts need more playmakers.
PK - 9 Hunter the punter is solid.....when he does get the chance.
Boiled down matrix:
Offense
QB - P9
RB - P3
WR - P4
OT - P4
OG - P3
TE - P4
C - P4
FB - P6
Defense
DT - P5
DE - P4
LB - P6
SS - P6
FS - P9
CB - P4
PK - P9
Now for the Colts, there are several things that will dictate how the Colts proceed in the 2008 NFL draft this coming April. The most talked about (though I don't think the most significant) is the final decision of coach Tony Dungy and whether or not he returns to the team for another season. The reason it's not the most significant element to me is the continuity aspect of the final outcome, either way. Bill Polian will still be in charge and the potential coaching replacement in Jim Caldwell pretty much means status quo for the club.
There is the matter of Dallas Clark's contract negotiations, though Bill Polian has made it clear he will put the franchise tag on Clark if there is no agreement to a new contract. And Clark insists he wants to remain in Indy. So that seems to be a rather minor obstacle.
But the absolute biggest factors include the decisions surrounding three players. Defensive Tackle Anthony "Booger" McFarland, and Offensive Linemen Ryan Lilja and Jake Scott. The decisions made on those three players will have the biggest overall impact on the draft for Indianapolis this coming April. All three are important components of the past success of the team, but all three will probably be seeking more money than the Colts can ultimately offer.
Lilja and Scott are two of Indy's starting offensive linemen. Both are quality lineman who have done an outstanding job at their positions and both are young players (going into their 5th year each) who have had some injuries, but have come through to be effective contributors to an often under-appreciated element of the offensive success. Should both be lost in free agency, the Colts will have to use at least two draft picks for their replacements. That would leave just four picks (not counting supplemental picks) to utilize for other areas of the team because the Colts traded their first round pick of this year to San Francisco during the 2007 draft.
It is my opinion the Colts need another sturdy, but fleet-footed running back that can catch the ball as well as move the pile. Joe Addai was bruised and battered by week 10, and the Colts could not get the same efficiency out of Kenton Keith. Plus Keith isn't exactly a pass-catching guru. So an additional running back, in my mind, is a critical need this year.
Defensively, the situation is up in the air with regards to the DT position. Is McFarland coming back? If not, he'll be a tremendous loss and the Colts will obviously need to draft another, even though Ed Johnson, Darrell Reid and Quinn Pitcock shared those duties at various times this past season. Because of the play of those three backups, the drive to get a DT with their first pick in the second round isn't critical. But it is important. Either running back or DT (if McFarland doesn't return) with the first pick for the Colts in the 2008 draft.
After that, the Colts could use some help at cornerback and defensive end. Althought the secondary unit is deep, there is just no way the Colts can afford to have Tim Jennings on the field. Nor T.J. Rushing, either as a corner or a return specialist. Jamar Adams, 6-1 DB from Michigan would be a good 3rd round pickup here. And without Dwight Freeney, Mathis and Brock cannot generate enough of an outside push against the elite offensive lines in the league (read: New England and San Diego) to create the pressure needed in a Tampa 2 scheme.
So in summary to this point, if the Colts lost McFarland, Scott and Lilja, they would need to draft the following positions, probably in this order:
DT, RB, DE, CB, OL, OL. Or, DE, DT, RB, CB, OL, OL. That is six of seven picks right there, no matter the actual order. The final regular draft pick could be at wideout, (which is elevated immensely if Marvin Harrison cannot come back next season due to injury or surgery) or if the Colts do not believe Aromashodu is likely to work out as a competent receiving target. I like Aromashodu, and think he needs more time with Manning and the first unit to develop into a solid contributor. A linebacker or a backup and eventual replacement for Center Jeff Saturday is also a possibility with the other pick.
Keep in mind that historically, Bill Polian drafts offensive lineman in later rounds, then turns them over to one of the best line coaches in all football - Howard Mudd. What's more, there are solid players at running back who will be available all the way to the 3rd through 5th round because of the flood of defensive talent coming into the '08 draft. That means the second round draft for Indy will probably be defense.
Not a lot of ambiguity in the draft for the Colts this year, as their needs are quite obvious if they lose all three of those aforementioned starters. They aren't going to be hassled by a first round draft pick and the attendant money associated with it, so that helps. And without the 3 former starters, that drops some more money off the total cap.
Still, there is plenty of quality talent available in the 2008 draft and the Colts will have plenty of opportunity to enhance their team, which already enjoys the comfort of knowing it will have nearly the identical team returning next season.
As I said to begin with, some of this is predicated on what coach Dungy decides to do with his future, and whether his departure would be immediately filled by assistant coach Jim Caldwell. And I would suspect there would be no significant shift in team philosophy, so that would more or less guarantee continuity, as would Bill Polian. But most of the decisions will because of the potential losses to free agency on the offensive line and McFarland at DT.
Now I will use the matrix that I use as a correspondent for drafttek.com
It goes from 1-9.
Priority Code Definitions
P1- Highest Priority for Starter, will reach - only 1 per team
P2 - High Priority in need of starter, will possibly reach
P3 - High Priority in need of starter will not reach
P4 - General Need for Depth, Value Only - No reach
P5 - General Need for Depth
P6 - Operational only in lower rounds (rd 5-7)
P9- Will Not Draft - absolutely no need, do not select
Quantity Code Definition
blank - Will select at most 1
M - may select more than 1 at this position
Player Lockout List
Identify collegiate players that willnot fit what your team is looking for. Only positions of high need (P1,P2,P3)
So with that, here is my matrix for the Colts for the 2008 draft:
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS OFFENSE:
QB - 9 But I do wonder why they resigned Jim Sorgi as backup. The Colts are one of the only teams that carry just two quarterbacks. Punter Hunter Smith is the worst case scenario emergency QB if Manning and Sorgi are out. This is more of a supplemental draft pickup OR a vet minimum signing of an aging free agent.
RB - 3 Kenton Keith is a good #3 back, but he had problems catching passes (a cardinal sin in Indy) and doesn't have the bulk to bust through in 3rd and short situations. The Colts need a rotating starter like they had in Dominic Rhodes to share carries with Joe Addai. Addai was banged up mid to late season and wore down, creating the need for Keith to handle more carries than expected. The results weren't that pleasant. The Colts will be looking at a Jehruu Caulcrick (6-0, 255lb) type out of Michigan State, or someone like Arian Foster, 6-1, 215 from Tennessee. Big enough for short yardage, but speed to get to the second level and keep moving the chains, while wearing down the defense.
WR - 4 This may go to 3, even 2, depending on how the Colts evaluate Marvin Harrison and any potential surgery in the off-season. Rookie Anthony Gonzales benefitted from the Harrison injury (though was out due to injury a few games himself) and looks ready to take over the slot receiver position, allowing the Colts to use Dallas Clark in a more traditional TE setup. Depth at WR isn't the question, but rather, the quality of the depth. Roy Hall may be the odds on favorite if he can stay healthy. Craphonso Thorpe and Devin Aromashodo are the backups. They both showed promise during the times when they did get into the lineup with both Harrison and Gonzales out with injury. However, they didn't/don't get the required time in practice with Manning to equal the necessary production at that position. If Marvin has an enduring injury, then the Colts are forced to make a play for a top WR in the early rounds.
OT - 4- This position is set with the exceptional job by Tony Ugoh. There is always the need for added depth, so a "tweener" that can flex between OG and OT may be picked up here. Much depends on whether the Colts re-sign Lilja and Diem in the off-season. If they lose both to FA, the priortiy jumps up to 2. If they retain Diem, then the need for another OT is lessened. Bill Polian does not reach for offensive lineman. In fact, he usually waits until late in the draft and picks up the folks most people leave behind. And then there is offensive line coach Howard Mudd.
OG - 3. Again, it depends on the status of Lilja and Diem. But when injuries decimated the offensive line this past season, many stepped up and did a pretty decent job most of the time. . Michael Toudouze, 2 year player out of TCU received valuable playing time when the injuries hit this past season, and he could become the starter if Lilja or Diem both go. Diem looks to be the most vulnerable of the two in terms of not being re-signed if the Colts had to choose. Again, Bill Polian always seems to find great talent late in the draft, and Howard Mudd is one of the all-time best coaching up lineman. But the Colts seriously need a 6-4, 290+ type OG in this draft.
TE -4 Dallas Clark will be resigned or tagged. Bryan Fletcher has been okay and Utecht is too fragile to remain an option if he doesn't break out in 2008. If the Colts have to "tag" Dallas this year, that still leaves his future up in the air. The Colts ALWAYS look down the road past the obvious present. Which may mean that TE is a bigger priority this year than many suspect.
OC - 4 - Jeff Saturday is an exceptional starter. Pro Bowler the past two seasons, his age is requiring the Colts to begin looking for an eventual replacement. Coming into his 10th season, this veteran leader is Peyton Manning's glue. Given the aforementioned Polian perogative of late-round drafts for lineman on offense, and the uncertain long-term status of playmakers like Harrison and Clark, chances are slim they tab a replacement this year.
FB - 6, but almost a 9. Luke Lawton is going into his 4th season at the position and does a good job. Unless Owen Schmidtt is available, there isn't a pick at this position.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS DEFENSE
DT - 4 Depends on the re-signing of Anthony "Booger" McFarland. If he returns, the Colts will not concentrate on this area as McFarland, Darrell Reid, undrafted sensation Ed Johnson and rookie Quinn Pitcock can provide adequate depth at this position.
DE - 4 - Freeney is one of a kind and it showed how big an impact he makes when the Colts were unable to shake Phillip Rivers in the AFC playoff game at Indy. Robert Mathis and Raheem Brock are good when Freeney is drawing attention to the other side. When he is not there, both are reduced to "pretty good" pass rushers. Look for the Colts to add at least one draft pick at this position. Rookie Kenyata Dawson did well and both he and Josh Thomas gained a lot of experience when the defense battled through multiple injuries. Same for Jeff Charleston, a two year vet from Idaho State. But Thomas hasn't "wowed" anyone and may be too slow to make the impact necessary for the defensive scheme.
LB - 6 Gary Brackett, Rob Morris and Freddy Keiaho, along with young Clint Sessions and Rocky Boiman collaboratively get the job done. I think the Colts have the nucleus and depth pretty much established at this position,. Rookies Ramon Guzman and Victor Worsley didn't see a ton of action, so their overall value is unknown at present, but they do add to the young depth of the Colt defense. I would have suspected that if an unexpected talent was sitting there at rounds 3 through 5, they pull the trigger. But with questions at OL and the overall health of Marvin and Freeney, plus long term future of Dallas Clark, I'm not so sure anymore.
SS - 6 The Colts are deep here. Melvin Bullit showed great promise, Matt Giordano is lightning quick and gaining more confidence with each game. AAntoine Bethea is a monster who is going into his third year with unlimited potential. Rookie Brandon Condren wasn't heard about much this season, so it remains to be seen if he is still around.
FS - 9 Bob Sanders. Nuff said. Giordano backs up this position.
CB - 4 For most of the year, I thought the Colt secondary was their strong suit defensively. Good depth and the starters were having great games. Then came the losses to New England and San Diego (both times). Tim Jennings was burned in the New England and San Diego game repeatedly. Jenning will survive so long as they utilize him against WR's around 5-11 to 6-2. After that, he is a liability. Michael Coe showed significant improvement this past year and at 6-0 isn't too small to match up against the taller WR's in the league. But other than those two and starters Hayden and Jackson, the Colts need more playmakers.
PK - 9 Hunter the punter is solid.....when he does get the chance.
Boiled down matrix:
Offense
QB - P9
RB - P3
WR - P4
OT - P4
OG - P3
TE - P4
C - P4
FB - P6
Defense
DT - P5
DE - P4
LB - P6
SS - P6
FS - P9
CB - P4
PK - P9
Tuesday, January 15, 2008
2008 NFL Mock Draft v3.0
Should be quite an interesting and unpredictable draft in April. Why? There are many, many solid free agents available this year, especially on defense. Lance Briggs, Terrell Suggs and Asante Samuel, just to name a few. In addition, there is an exorbitant amount of underclassmen declaring early for the NFL draft. Much of the expected top 32 picks (aside from maybe the top 4 or 5) are extremely close in talent level - at least going INTO the combine in Indy this coming February.
When you break it down like that, you can see many players being lumped together in that #5 to #20 pick range, with perhaps many teams trying to stay true to team needs but going for the best overall talent.
From picks #21 on down, much the same applies. Which basically helps lay the foundation for a very deep draft. Those expected to go early in the first or midway through the second round, can fall down in the 3rd to 4th rounds very easily. And barring a completely stunning combine by ALL of the top 3 QB candidates, I don't think more than two will go in the first round. I really don't.
In fact, I see some teams opting to wait until the 2nd or 3rd and then snatching up my 2008 version of Marques Colston: Joe Flacco, QB from Delaware. A smart team would certainly do well snatching a tall, rugged, mentally sharp, fundamentally sound QB in a later round rather than pursuing a 1st round (and expensive) QB draft.
The draft kicks off with Bill Parcells and the Dolphins, so we could see all hell break loose from the very outset ! Could be the most unpredictable draft in many a year unless the combine really sorts everything out.
1. Miami Dolphins - Glen Dorsey**, DT, Miami
** Anyone else wondering why Jerry Jones would allow Bill Parcells to "raid the store" for his new staff in Miami? Hmmm. It gives me a serious gut feeling that Jones & Parcells have an arrangement of some sort. Nothing nefarious, but since both are pretty good friends and can help the other out (and are from opposing conferences) it seems logical. Parcells rebuilds through multiple picks and Jerry Jones has the deep pockets to get a top player.
TEAM NEEDS: CB, DT, OT, WR, QB
2. St. Louis Rams - Chris Long, DE, Virginia
The Rams need defense more than a potential backup for Orlando Pace.
TEAM NEEDS: DT, ILB, WR, CB, OT
3. Atlanta Falcons - Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
There is so many ways the Falcons could go here - and much will be determined on whether or not Miami trades down - but if they have a shot at McFadden, I doubt they pass on him. The Falcons would do well to grab McFadden here and pick up Joe Flacco in the second or third round for their QB of the future.
4. Oakland Raiders - Jake Long, OL, Michigan
Not sure what the Raiders will do here, but they do need help protecting the QB and with Sapp retired they need to add to the DT positon. Jake Long is just too good a long-term benefit to pass.
TEAM NEEDS: DT, WR, DE, OT, OC, SS
5. Kansas City Chiefs - Ryan Clady, OT, Boise St.
There are many ways the Chiefs could go with this pick. Many are harping on the fact that Brodie Croyle isn't the answer. But any QB under the pass rushing attack he was subjected to this past season won't succeed. Not to mention the running game. So the Chiefs have to shore up the Oline first.
TEAM NEEDS: OT, CB, OG, OC, DB, LB, WR
6. New York Jets - Derrick Harvey, DE/OLB, Florida
Mangini will steal the pick that his mentor/rival Bellicheat coveted most. The Jets get an immediate monster that can add immense flexibility to the Jet defense.
TEAM NEEDS: OG, DE, ILB, OLB, DT, CB
7. N.E. Patriots(from SF) - Mike Jenkins, CB, USF
The rich just keep on getting richer. Although this is more of a need that it would appear because of Asante Samuels pending departure. If Derrick Harvey is available at this pick, the Pats pick him instead.
TEAM NEEDS: CB, OLB, RB
8. Baltimore Ravens - Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
I'm not convince ANY of the QB's will go first round in this draft because none of them stand out exceedingly well -unless the combine proves different, like it did for Jay Culter in 2005. But at this point, Ryan is tagged as probably the best bet of the three top candidates IF the Ravens go high for a QB. I'm thinking they may surprise us and take a CB. And do not be surprised at a trade down since this draft is loaded with talent - much of it due to the large amount of early-out underclassmen. Then again, the Ravens DO have 10 picks in the 2008.
TEAM NEEDS: OT, OLB, DE, CB, QB, WR,
9. Cincinnati Bengals - Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
Toss a dart on a Bengal defensive chart. Wherever it lands is as good a place to start as any other.
TEAM NEEDS: DEFENSE, period. DT, OLB, CB, DE, Then MAYBE a TE.
10. New Orleans Saints - Kenny Phillips, S, Miami or Vernon Gholston, DE,OSU When the Saints draft this year, the word "defense" will be a near perpetual one. The Saints take the best defensive player available at this spot, the next spot, the next spot and......well, you get the idea.
TEAM NEEDS: CB, ILB, OLB, DE, OT, OG
11. Buffalo Bills - Malcom Kelly, WR, Oklahoma
Lee Evans will be the happiest of all to see this pick. Well, him and the Bills fans, coach, OC, QB and Marshawn Lynch.
TEAM NEEDS: WR, TE, OLB, CB, DT
12. Denver Broncos - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon
Coach Shanahan won't want to give any other team a shot at a potentially great Bronco running back, so this pick would not surprise me at all. However, the Broncos also have needs on the offensive and defensive line, linebacker - not to mention getting his young QB some weapons at the wideout position.
Perhaps a combo of FA work and the draft will have to do the trick.
13. Carolina Panthers - Eric Young, OG, Tennessee
I have struggled on whether defensive or offensive line is the place to start for the Panthers. Could go either way, depending on the combine results.
14. Chicago Bears - Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
The Bears MUST draft a running back or they go nowhere again. Their QB's can't pass when defenses know they can't run. And even if the Bears had LT, he couldn't run very effectively behind the current Bears offensive line. It's not all on the QB in Chicago, and the Bears would be wise to re-sign Grossman to an incentive based contrack, let him battle Kyle Orton, drop Brian Griese and bring in someone like Joe Flacco via the draft. But the offensive line and running game is priority #1.
15. Detroit Lions - Vernon Gholston, DE,Ohio St.
The Lions just allowed teams to pass all over them. Imagine this team with a decent pass rush and secondary, with some offensive line additions. Immediate playoff team - they were oh-so-close until the late swoon this past season.
16. Arizona Cardinals - Calais Campbell, DE, Miami
The Cards are inching closer to breaking through to the next level. But will they make it in time to take advantage of that prolific offense? This should help.
TEAM NEEDS: DE, OLB,CB, OLT, DT
17. Minnesota Vikings - Kentwaan Balmer, NT, N. Carolina
The Vikes could go WR with this pick, but only if there is a solid chance of getting someone in the mold of last year's rookie receiver Sidney Rice. Adrius Bowman or James Hardy are possibilities here, but I think DeSean Jackson is out because his size limits his ability coming off the line. Most NFL Dbacks will have near the same or better speed as Jackson, and they're much more physical than anyone he faced in college. To gain an advantage, the Vikings must go for a taller, more physical receiver. Perhaps Marcus Monk in the next round since the Vikings DO NEED a defensive tackle to create pressure in the middle.
TEAM NEEDS: WR, DL, S
18. Houston Texans - Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois
This will be either a RB or OL pick, but either way the Texans are a team on the rise. If they can add one of each it could help them contend for a playoff spot immediately. I think Mendenhall will be too good a risk to pass up.
19. Philadelphia Eagles - Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, Tennessee State
Good prospect for the Eagle secondary AND he can be utilized as a punt/kick returner. Eagles might be tempted to swing for the fences on a #1 WR with this pick depending on the combine results.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Adarius Bowman, WR, Oklahoma State
They lack weapons in their passing attack no matter the QB. Even a big TE would help in this slot. I think they can afford to wait on trying to pick up another QB.
21. Washington Redskins - Kentwaan Balmer, DT, North Carolina
Either a top corner or defensive lineman is called for at this pick. Trying to help bolster the run defense is a good move, but so is trying to regain some depth in the secondary.
22. Dallas Cowboys (Cleve.) - Aquib Calib, CB, Kansas
This may be the Dolphins pick if the trade I mentioned earlier comes to fruition. If not, the 'Boys must replace Jacques Reeves. Even though I'm a Boilermaker, Reeves was (and is) bad. Think of Reeves as a slower, more helpless Jason David!
TEAM NEEDS: CB, RB, WR
23. Seattle Seahawks - Martellus Bennett, TE, Texas A&M
If Mike Holmgren stays he can help his offense immensely by adding a playmaking tight end. Otherwise, an addition to the secondary is the pick here.
TEAM NEEDS: OG, DT, WR, RB, DE
24. Pittsburgh Steelers - Jeff Otah, OT, Pitt
Can't think of a better fit or a need that is filled than addint a solid OT with this pick.
TEAM NEEDS: OG, DE, WR, ILB, CB,
25. Tennessee Titans - Terrell Thomas, CB, USC
Looks like Pacman isn't returning anytime soon, and the Titans do need secondary help. But they also need targets for Vince Young, so they could snag a WR with this pick.
TEAM NEEDS: WR, DT, DT, OGm, TE, CB
26. Jacksonville Jaguars - James Hardy, WR, Indiana
Hardy has personal baggage, so be advised. That and a poor showing at the combine could send him spiraling down to around the 5th or 6th round. Then hte Jags also might want to add to their secondary.
27. Dallas Cowboys - Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas
More work on the secondary, unless they take a corner earlier or trade to Miami.
TEAM NEEDS: CBm, RB, WR
28. S.F. 49ers (from Indy) - Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
Look for Mario Manningham, Marcus Monk or D.J. hall landing here if they have better combines.
TEAM NEEDS: WR, DT, DE, OG, OC
29. San Diego Chargers - Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona
The Chargers were picked apart by opposing passing attacks and need to solidify that part of their team. Cromartie anchors a good start, and Cason can only help even more.
30. Green Bay Packers - Fred Davis, TE, USC
If Favre jad a standout, go-to TE this past year, the Packers may have gone undefeated in the NFC. Add the talent and size of Fred Davis to a now productive running game and dangerous wideouts, and the Packer offense is extremely potent. Help along the offensive line is needed as well.
efensive help in the middle of the field, and the ability to pick the RB or TE off the line is critical for the G-men as they blitz constantly. Crable should help.
TEAM NEEDS: CB, OT, TE
31. New York Giants - Shawn Crable, LB, Michigan
Defensive help in the middle of the field and the ability to pick the RB or TE coming off the opposing line is critical for the G-men as they love to blitz. Crable should help and make Justin Tuck even more dangerous.
32. New England Patriots - Forfeited
When you break it down like that, you can see many players being lumped together in that #5 to #20 pick range, with perhaps many teams trying to stay true to team needs but going for the best overall talent.
From picks #21 on down, much the same applies. Which basically helps lay the foundation for a very deep draft. Those expected to go early in the first or midway through the second round, can fall down in the 3rd to 4th rounds very easily. And barring a completely stunning combine by ALL of the top 3 QB candidates, I don't think more than two will go in the first round. I really don't.
In fact, I see some teams opting to wait until the 2nd or 3rd and then snatching up my 2008 version of Marques Colston: Joe Flacco, QB from Delaware. A smart team would certainly do well snatching a tall, rugged, mentally sharp, fundamentally sound QB in a later round rather than pursuing a 1st round (and expensive) QB draft.
The draft kicks off with Bill Parcells and the Dolphins, so we could see all hell break loose from the very outset ! Could be the most unpredictable draft in many a year unless the combine really sorts everything out.
1. Miami Dolphins - Glen Dorsey**, DT, Miami
** Anyone else wondering why Jerry Jones would allow Bill Parcells to "raid the store" for his new staff in Miami? Hmmm. It gives me a serious gut feeling that Jones & Parcells have an arrangement of some sort. Nothing nefarious, but since both are pretty good friends and can help the other out (and are from opposing conferences) it seems logical. Parcells rebuilds through multiple picks and Jerry Jones has the deep pockets to get a top player.
TEAM NEEDS: CB, DT, OT, WR, QB
2. St. Louis Rams - Chris Long, DE, Virginia
The Rams need defense more than a potential backup for Orlando Pace.
TEAM NEEDS: DT, ILB, WR, CB, OT
3. Atlanta Falcons - Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
There is so many ways the Falcons could go here - and much will be determined on whether or not Miami trades down - but if they have a shot at McFadden, I doubt they pass on him. The Falcons would do well to grab McFadden here and pick up Joe Flacco in the second or third round for their QB of the future.
TEAM NEEDS: QB, RB, OT, OG, DT, ILB, K, CB
4. Oakland Raiders - Jake Long, OL, Michigan
Not sure what the Raiders will do here, but they do need help protecting the QB and with Sapp retired they need to add to the DT positon. Jake Long is just too good a long-term benefit to pass.
TEAM NEEDS: DT, WR, DE, OT, OC, SS
5. Kansas City Chiefs - Ryan Clady, OT, Boise St.
There are many ways the Chiefs could go with this pick. Many are harping on the fact that Brodie Croyle isn't the answer. But any QB under the pass rushing attack he was subjected to this past season won't succeed. Not to mention the running game. So the Chiefs have to shore up the Oline first.
TEAM NEEDS: OT, CB, OG, OC, DB, LB, WR
6. New York Jets - Derrick Harvey, DE/OLB, Florida
Mangini will steal the pick that his mentor/rival Bellicheat coveted most. The Jets get an immediate monster that can add immense flexibility to the Jet defense.
TEAM NEEDS: OG, DE, ILB, OLB, DT, CB
7. N.E. Patriots(from SF) - Mike Jenkins, CB, USF
The rich just keep on getting richer. Although this is more of a need that it would appear because of Asante Samuels pending departure. If Derrick Harvey is available at this pick, the Pats pick him instead.
TEAM NEEDS: CB, OLB, RB
8. Baltimore Ravens - Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
I'm not convince ANY of the QB's will go first round in this draft because none of them stand out exceedingly well -unless the combine proves different, like it did for Jay Culter in 2005. But at this point, Ryan is tagged as probably the best bet of the three top candidates IF the Ravens go high for a QB. I'm thinking they may surprise us and take a CB. And do not be surprised at a trade down since this draft is loaded with talent - much of it due to the large amount of early-out underclassmen. Then again, the Ravens DO have 10 picks in the 2008.
TEAM NEEDS: OT, OLB, DE, CB, QB, WR,
9. Cincinnati Bengals - Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
Toss a dart on a Bengal defensive chart. Wherever it lands is as good a place to start as any other.
TEAM NEEDS: DEFENSE, period. DT, OLB, CB, DE, Then MAYBE a TE.
10. New Orleans Saints - Kenny Phillips, S, Miami or Vernon Gholston, DE,OSU When the Saints draft this year, the word "defense" will be a near perpetual one. The Saints take the best defensive player available at this spot, the next spot, the next spot and......well, you get the idea.
TEAM NEEDS: CB, ILB, OLB, DE, OT, OG
11. Buffalo Bills - Malcom Kelly, WR, Oklahoma
Lee Evans will be the happiest of all to see this pick. Well, him and the Bills fans, coach, OC, QB and Marshawn Lynch.
TEAM NEEDS: WR, TE, OLB, CB, DT
12. Denver Broncos - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon
Coach Shanahan won't want to give any other team a shot at a potentially great Bronco running back, so this pick would not surprise me at all. However, the Broncos also have needs on the offensive and defensive line, linebacker - not to mention getting his young QB some weapons at the wideout position.
Perhaps a combo of FA work and the draft will have to do the trick.
TEAM NEEDS: DT, OT, ILB, OLB, S, WR, OC
13. Carolina Panthers - Eric Young, OG, Tennessee
I have struggled on whether defensive or offensive line is the place to start for the Panthers. Could go either way, depending on the combine results.
TEAM NEEDS: OTm, OG, DE, FS, QB
14. Chicago Bears - Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
The Bears MUST draft a running back or they go nowhere again. Their QB's can't pass when defenses know they can't run. And even if the Bears had LT, he couldn't run very effectively behind the current Bears offensive line. It's not all on the QB in Chicago, and the Bears would be wise to re-sign Grossman to an incentive based contrack, let him battle Kyle Orton, drop Brian Griese and bring in someone like Joe Flacco via the draft. But the offensive line and running game is priority #1.
TEAM NEEDS: OT, RB, SS, QB, OG, FS
15. Detroit Lions - Vernon Gholston, DE,Ohio St.
The Lions just allowed teams to pass all over them. Imagine this team with a decent pass rush and secondary, with some offensive line additions. Immediate playoff team - they were oh-so-close until the late swoon this past season.
TEAM NEEDS: CB, DE, DT, ILB, OG
16. Arizona Cardinals - Calais Campbell, DE, Miami
The Cards are inching closer to breaking through to the next level. But will they make it in time to take advantage of that prolific offense? This should help.
TEAM NEEDS: DE, OLB,CB, OLT, DT
17. Minnesota Vikings - Kentwaan Balmer, NT, N. Carolina
The Vikes could go WR with this pick, but only if there is a solid chance of getting someone in the mold of last year's rookie receiver Sidney Rice. Adrius Bowman or James Hardy are possibilities here, but I think DeSean Jackson is out because his size limits his ability coming off the line. Most NFL Dbacks will have near the same or better speed as Jackson, and they're much more physical than anyone he faced in college. To gain an advantage, the Vikings must go for a taller, more physical receiver. Perhaps Marcus Monk in the next round since the Vikings DO NEED a defensive tackle to create pressure in the middle.
TEAM NEEDS: WR, DL, S
18. Houston Texans - Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois
This will be either a RB or OL pick, but either way the Texans are a team on the rise. If they can add one of each it could help them contend for a playoff spot immediately. I think Mendenhall will be too good a risk to pass up.
TEAM NEEDS: RB, OT, FS, CB, DE
19. Philadelphia Eagles - Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, Tennessee State
Good prospect for the Eagle secondary AND he can be utilized as a punt/kick returner. Eagles might be tempted to swing for the fences on a #1 WR with this pick depending on the combine results.
TEAM NEEDS: DE, TE, OT, CB, LB
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Adarius Bowman, WR, Oklahoma State
They lack weapons in their passing attack no matter the QB. Even a big TE would help in this slot. I think they can afford to wait on trying to pick up another QB.
TEAM NEEDS: DT, QB, RB, WR, OT
21. Washington Redskins - Kentwaan Balmer, DT, North Carolina
Either a top corner or defensive lineman is called for at this pick. Trying to help bolster the run defense is a good move, but so is trying to regain some depth in the secondary.
TEAM NEEDS: DE, DT, CB, WR, OG, OT
22. Dallas Cowboys (Cleve.) - Aquib Calib, CB, Kansas
This may be the Dolphins pick if the trade I mentioned earlier comes to fruition. If not, the 'Boys must replace Jacques Reeves. Even though I'm a Boilermaker, Reeves was (and is) bad. Think of Reeves as a slower, more helpless Jason David!
TEAM NEEDS: CB, RB, WR
23. Seattle Seahawks - Martellus Bennett, TE, Texas A&M
If Mike Holmgren stays he can help his offense immensely by adding a playmaking tight end. Otherwise, an addition to the secondary is the pick here.
TEAM NEEDS: OG, DT, WR, RB, DE
24. Pittsburgh Steelers - Jeff Otah, OT, Pitt
Can't think of a better fit or a need that is filled than addint a solid OT with this pick.
TEAM NEEDS: OG, DE, WR, ILB, CB,
25. Tennessee Titans - Terrell Thomas, CB, USC
Looks like Pacman isn't returning anytime soon, and the Titans do need secondary help. But they also need targets for Vince Young, so they could snag a WR with this pick.
TEAM NEEDS: WR, DT, DT, OGm, TE, CB
26. Jacksonville Jaguars - James Hardy, WR, Indiana
Hardy has personal baggage, so be advised. That and a poor showing at the combine could send him spiraling down to around the 5th or 6th round. Then hte Jags also might want to add to their secondary.
TEAM NEEDS: DE, WR, CB
27. Dallas Cowboys - Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas
More work on the secondary, unless they take a corner earlier or trade to Miami.
TEAM NEEDS: CBm, RB, WR
28. S.F. 49ers (from Indy) - Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
Look for Mario Manningham, Marcus Monk or D.J. hall landing here if they have better combines.
TEAM NEEDS: WR, DT, DE, OG, OC
29. San Diego Chargers - Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona
The Chargers were picked apart by opposing passing attacks and need to solidify that part of their team. Cromartie anchors a good start, and Cason can only help even more.
TEAM NEEDS: ILB, DEm, WR
30. Green Bay Packers - Fred Davis, TE, USC
If Favre jad a standout, go-to TE this past year, the Packers may have gone undefeated in the NFC. Add the talent and size of Fred Davis to a now productive running game and dangerous wideouts, and the Packer offense is extremely potent. Help along the offensive line is needed as well.
efensive help in the middle of the field, and the ability to pick the RB or TE off the line is critical for the G-men as they blitz constantly. Crable should help.
TEAM NEEDS: CB, OT, TE
31. New York Giants - Shawn Crable, LB, Michigan
Defensive help in the middle of the field and the ability to pick the RB or TE coming off the opposing line is critical for the G-men as they love to blitz. Crable should help and make Justin Tuck even more dangerous.
TEAM NEEDS: CB, OT, FS, OLB
32. New England Patriots - Forfeited
Sunday, January 13, 2008
Incredible Loss Incredibly Inexplicable
Not sure what I just witnessed a little less than 7 hours ago. The defending Super Bowl champions were gloriously ahead 7-0 against the San Diego Chargers, in the Divisional Playoff game. Then the Colts were poised to score again, quickly moving downfield, getting ready for an additional body blow to the Chargers in the form of a 14-0 lead. At home. In the Dome.
And on a brilliant pass and catch from our legendary tandem, Manning to Harrison, we watch in as the sleek Harrison darts across the middle with the ball. Ready to turn the corner, he spins away from a tackle, is hit, and the ball pops out and lands on the Dome turf. Rookie wideout Gonzales is oh-so-close but cannot reach it in time. The ball is recovered by the Chargers.
Let the madness begin.
Indianapolis finally had its star wide receiver back. The offensive line is healthy and whole for the first time a long while. The defense is still without Dwight Freeney, but everyone else is seemingly ready and able to go again. It is all set up for us.
One of San Diego's major weapons, tight end Antonio Gates, is nearly a non-factor with a toe injury. The remarkable Ladanian Tomlinson is rendered a spectator along the sidelines for the entire second half, and the young but still erratic QB Rivers goes out with a leg injury in the late portion of the 3rd quarter. The Colts special teams play has been, well....special throughout the game. It must be destined for us to move on to play the Patriots yet again.
Someone just forgot to tell Billy Volek and Legedu Nanjee. Damn that's hard to type. Not because of the spelling, but because of who they represent. Nobodies off the bench. Stop gap measures. Two guys even Charger fans didn't expect to see today. And along with Michael Turner and Vincent Jackson the Chargers answered every score the Colts put on the scoreboard. They all came through and laid a hurting on the Colts in the form of a 28-24 heartbreaking stunner in the Dome.
The crowd was the LOUDEST I have ever heard it. Just completely deafening, causing so much confusion in the SD offense that timeouts were wasted, offsides were called numerous times and audibles were impossible. Peyton Manning threw for over 400 yards and three TD's. Still, they drove and scored. Against a Colts defense that was the hardest to score against and the toughest to move the ball against in the entire NFL this season.
It just wasn't meant to be after it looked so apparently obvious that it was.
No way to explain it other than it was a completely inexplicable failure to capitalize on so many opportunities. Home field. Roaring crowd. QB on fire, hitting on 14 of 14 opening passes. Special teams playing well.
But the turnovers and inadequate defensive front pressure created the opportunity for San Diego to snatch one away. So did the bizarre penalties by veteran defensive players like Bob Sanders - the NFL's defensive player of the year. Unimaginable and inexplainable.
And when our offense could not put the ball in the endzone three times on drives inside SD redzone territory, we paid with a season-ending loss.
That rainy triumph in Florida seems even more distant now. Off-season has come three weeks earlier than anticipated or desired. And what tops everything off with more bitter taste is the fact that it might lead to another Super Bowl for that "other" team.
Oh God, how miserable it will be to hear that for the next month and on into next season. Please God, do not make us suffer that tortureous fate.
I beg of you. Make them fall short of perfect. It would be the healing salve of this painful loss. This incredible loss that seems so incredibly inexplicable.
And on a brilliant pass and catch from our legendary tandem, Manning to Harrison, we watch in as the sleek Harrison darts across the middle with the ball. Ready to turn the corner, he spins away from a tackle, is hit, and the ball pops out and lands on the Dome turf. Rookie wideout Gonzales is oh-so-close but cannot reach it in time. The ball is recovered by the Chargers.
Let the madness begin.
Indianapolis finally had its star wide receiver back. The offensive line is healthy and whole for the first time a long while. The defense is still without Dwight Freeney, but everyone else is seemingly ready and able to go again. It is all set up for us.
One of San Diego's major weapons, tight end Antonio Gates, is nearly a non-factor with a toe injury. The remarkable Ladanian Tomlinson is rendered a spectator along the sidelines for the entire second half, and the young but still erratic QB Rivers goes out with a leg injury in the late portion of the 3rd quarter. The Colts special teams play has been, well....special throughout the game. It must be destined for us to move on to play the Patriots yet again.
Someone just forgot to tell Billy Volek and Legedu Nanjee. Damn that's hard to type. Not because of the spelling, but because of who they represent. Nobodies off the bench. Stop gap measures. Two guys even Charger fans didn't expect to see today. And along with Michael Turner and Vincent Jackson the Chargers answered every score the Colts put on the scoreboard. They all came through and laid a hurting on the Colts in the form of a 28-24 heartbreaking stunner in the Dome.
The crowd was the LOUDEST I have ever heard it. Just completely deafening, causing so much confusion in the SD offense that timeouts were wasted, offsides were called numerous times and audibles were impossible. Peyton Manning threw for over 400 yards and three TD's. Still, they drove and scored. Against a Colts defense that was the hardest to score against and the toughest to move the ball against in the entire NFL this season.
It just wasn't meant to be after it looked so apparently obvious that it was.
No way to explain it other than it was a completely inexplicable failure to capitalize on so many opportunities. Home field. Roaring crowd. QB on fire, hitting on 14 of 14 opening passes. Special teams playing well.
But the turnovers and inadequate defensive front pressure created the opportunity for San Diego to snatch one away. So did the bizarre penalties by veteran defensive players like Bob Sanders - the NFL's defensive player of the year. Unimaginable and inexplainable.
And when our offense could not put the ball in the endzone three times on drives inside SD redzone territory, we paid with a season-ending loss.
That rainy triumph in Florida seems even more distant now. Off-season has come three weeks earlier than anticipated or desired. And what tops everything off with more bitter taste is the fact that it might lead to another Super Bowl for that "other" team.
Oh God, how miserable it will be to hear that for the next month and on into next season. Please God, do not make us suffer that tortureous fate.
I beg of you. Make them fall short of perfect. It would be the healing salve of this painful loss. This incredible loss that seems so incredibly inexplicable.
Friday, January 11, 2008
Early 2008 Sports Musings
It's Divisional Playoff Eve.....and the Colts get ready to make it back to the Super Bowl for the second year in a row. San Diego's Chargers come to town and will meet up in what could be the final game in the Hoosier/RCA Dome - unless both Indy and Jacksonville win - which would give the Colts one more chance to play in that venue. Either way is fine, so long as the get back to the Super Bowl and win their second in a row.
Imagining the Indianapolis skyline (what little of one there is !) will be hard to do without seeing the Dome as part of it. When I left for Basic Training in the summer of 1983 (August) it was just being completed and the roof had just been inflated, so it was interesting to see what it did to the downtown area. I never had he chance to go to a Colts game until December 2004 - over 20 years later - because I was overseas 95% of the time and just never had the opportunity.
But I picked a great one for the first visit. Peyton Manning setting the TD passing record, breaking Dan Marino's old mark, as the Colts came from behind to knock off the Drew Brees and Ladanian Tomlinson-led Chargers. The crowd was as wild and loud as any I have ever been a part of (and I've been to many) in different venues I have visited around the world.
The Dome is just plain LOUD.
So at any rate, the Colts are poised to make another championship run, and the Pacers continue to disgrace the city with horrible play, horrible players and horrible decision making by both players and management. I never thought the Pacer franchise would sink this low....but I haven't a desire to go see a Pacer's game since Reggie left, and every couple of weeks they give me additional reasons not to bother.
The Purdue men's basketball team is doing well with a solid group of young players that will give opponents fits with pressure defense and a never-say-die attitude. They should be a top three B10 team (minimum) the next four years, and a player in the NCAA tournament as well.
For the Boiler football team, what a disaster. I just can't bear to talk about it. Underachieving players with underachieving coaching and an AD that has no clue to bringing in a coach that could take it to the next level. Instead, he brings in a Purdue assistant retread, from world reknowned Eastern Kentucky ??? Yep. That Eastern Kentucky. A true powerhouse !
So on the 11th of January at around 6:30 p.m., as I get ready to relax, watch 3:10 to Yuma following ABC Propaganda,er, News and get set for playoff football weekend. Should be a fun weekend - so long as my Colts win !!!
Imagining the Indianapolis skyline (what little of one there is !) will be hard to do without seeing the Dome as part of it. When I left for Basic Training in the summer of 1983 (August) it was just being completed and the roof had just been inflated, so it was interesting to see what it did to the downtown area. I never had he chance to go to a Colts game until December 2004 - over 20 years later - because I was overseas 95% of the time and just never had the opportunity.
But I picked a great one for the first visit. Peyton Manning setting the TD passing record, breaking Dan Marino's old mark, as the Colts came from behind to knock off the Drew Brees and Ladanian Tomlinson-led Chargers. The crowd was as wild and loud as any I have ever been a part of (and I've been to many) in different venues I have visited around the world.
The Dome is just plain LOUD.
So at any rate, the Colts are poised to make another championship run, and the Pacers continue to disgrace the city with horrible play, horrible players and horrible decision making by both players and management. I never thought the Pacer franchise would sink this low....but I haven't a desire to go see a Pacer's game since Reggie left, and every couple of weeks they give me additional reasons not to bother.
The Purdue men's basketball team is doing well with a solid group of young players that will give opponents fits with pressure defense and a never-say-die attitude. They should be a top three B10 team (minimum) the next four years, and a player in the NCAA tournament as well.
For the Boiler football team, what a disaster. I just can't bear to talk about it. Underachieving players with underachieving coaching and an AD that has no clue to bringing in a coach that could take it to the next level. Instead, he brings in a Purdue assistant retread, from world reknowned Eastern Kentucky ??? Yep. That Eastern Kentucky. A true powerhouse !
So on the 11th of January at around 6:30 p.m., as I get ready to relax, watch 3:10 to Yuma following ABC Propaganda,er, News and get set for playoff football weekend. Should be a fun weekend - so long as my Colts win !!!
Thursday, January 10, 2008
2008 NFL Mock Draft v2.0
The draft order will be a bit up in the air at the #3, #4 and #5 picks. Some are reporting that there will be coin flips involved to sort it all out, but I am not too certain what will happen. As it stands now, I am going strictly on how they finished.
1. Dallas -Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
A deal with Miami's Bill Parcells nets Jerry Jones the first pick and Darren McFadden, while the Dolphins get much needed multiple draft picks to turn the fortunes of the lowly Dolphins around. Outside chance Parcells goes ahead and takes Glen Dorsey at #1, but I doubt it.
2. St. Louis - Jake Long, OT, Michigan
The Rams keep seeing Orlando Pace getting hurt and wrecking the protection and running game. This will help combat that problem.
Also worth considering: Chris Long, DE, Virginia
3. Atlanta Falcons - Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
There is a slight chance that, depending on who Blank brings in as GM and coach, the Falcons trade down. They could help bolster their defense with more draft picks, and then add a QB in round 2. (Can you say Joe Flacco in round two? I knew you could.)
4. Oakland Raiders - Chris Long, DE, Virginia
Just seems like the right fit, although DT and the offensive line need help as well.
Also worth considering: Ryan Clady, OT, Boise State
5. Kansas City Chiefs - Glen Dorsey, DT, LSU
How lucky can you get? Needs outweigh getting arguably the best available player in the first four picks of the draft, and the Chiefs benefit. More ironic is the fact KC wasn't in desperate need at this position.
Also worth considering: Malcom Jenkins, CB, Ohio State
6. N.Y. Jets - James Lauranaitis, MLB, Ohio State
The Jet faithful are now nearly in a full panic mode as they see McFadden gone. However, it could help bolster the LB corps and the defense. The Jets have so many varied needs that they'll go for who they consider is the best available athlete.Also worth considering: Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
7. NE Patriots (from SF) - Derrick Harvey, LB, Florida
The Patriots need to replace their linebackers, two of which have gone just about as far as they can. This guy is a tweener on the DLine and OLB. Perfect flexibility and versatility for Bellicheat, er, chick.
Also worth considering: Lauranitis or Mauluagua, one of which would be remaining.
8. Baltimore Ravens - Ryan Clady, OT, Boise St.
Tough call here. I think they can do okay with QB's Boller and Smith, but they need help at WR and depth on OL. The defense may stand some help in the secondary as well, but that can come later.
Also worth considering: Wideouts DeSean Jackson, Malcom Kelly or Mario Manningham
9. Cincinnati Bengals - Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
Defense, defense, defense. IF they draft one player for offense, it would be a wasted pick. This team needs huge help on defense.
Also worth considering: Vernon Gholston, DE, Ohio State
10. New Orleans Saints - Kenny Phillips, S, Miami
Another team needing much help on defense, as their offense is pretty much set with the exception of a #3 WR and a big TE. But those can afford to be overlooked early.
Also worth considering: Vernon Gholston, DE, Ohio St.
11. Buffalo Bills - Malcom Kelly, WR, Oklahoma
Cannot pass up a big wide receiver to help the offense move the chains and let the defense rest. Also frees up Lee Evans a bit more.
Also worth considering: Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas
12. Denver Broncos - Adarius Bowman, WR, Ok. State
The Broncos could go in one of many directions in this position. They need some added depth at offensive line, the tackle position on defense, the secondary and even wide receiver. With Rod Smith retiring and Javon Walker yapping about wanting to be traded, the receiver position just might supplant the need for a defensive pick.
Also worth considering: Adarius Bowman, WR, Ok. St. or Pat Sims, DT, Auburn
13. Carolina Panthers - Sam Baker, OT, USC
Offensive line additions early on. Plenty of solid candidates available and with a 1st round pick.
Also worth considering: Alex Boone, OT, Ohio St. or Lawrence Jackson, DE, USC
14. Chicago Bears - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon
The Bears need a running game, then help on the offensive line. Fix those two positions, and the three QB's they had last year would be just fine.
Also worth considering: Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
15. Detroit Lions - Calais Campbell, DE, Miami
Defensive line and secondary needs bolstered.
Also worth considering: Reggie Smith, CB, Oklahoma
16. Arizona Cardinals - Lawrence Jackson, DE, USC
Same for the Cards. DLine and secondary help.
Also worth considering: Quentin Groves, DE, Auburn
17. Minnesota Vikings - Devin Thomas, WR, Michigan St.
It's going to be all about stretching the field with capable wideouts.
Also worth considering: Early Doucet, WR, LSU
18. Houston Texans - Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
Also worth considering: Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt
19. Philadelphia Eagles - Rey Maulugua, LB, USC or Keith Rivers, LB, USC
The Eagles have to shore up the middle of their defense, but are also going to target a wideout. Mauluagu hasn't announced his intention of entering the NFL draft yet, but one or the other might end up in Philly.
Also worth considering: Early Doucet, WR, LSU
20-Tampa Bay - Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
The Bucs need added firepower in the receiving corps and Devin Thomas will make a solid impact. He's tough, sturdy, doesn't mind getting dirty and has good hands. Could be the sleeper of all the wideouts coming out of college this year.
Also worth considering: Devin Thomas, WR, Michigan St.
21. Washington Redskins - Mike Jenkins, CB, USF
He jumped ahead of Malcom Jenkins after the poor performance vs LSU
Also worth considering: Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
22. Miami Dolphins (from Dallas via Cleveland) - Trades down
23. Pittsburgh Steelers - Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh
Also worth considering: Michael Oher, OT, Mississippi
24. Tennessee Titans - Early Doucet, WR, LSU
The Titans need a sure-handed receiver who can get open and pick up first downs.
Also worth considering: Mario Urruttia, WR, Louisville
25. Seattle Seahawks - Quentin Groves, DE, Auburn
If Holmgren stays, he will want to add a weapon at TE. If he doesn't stay, who knows.
Also worth considering: Eric Young, OG, Tennessee
26. N.Y Giants - Ali Highsmith, LB, LSU
Giants defense getting tougher all the time. Will Strahan come back? If not, they go for a DE.
Also worth considering: Frank Okam, DT, Texas
27. San Diego Chargers - Rivers or Mualuaga, LB,USC
Good overall team depth, but help at LB and secondary depth is needed. If either of the the Trojan LB's slip this far, the Chargers will be extremely delighted.
Also worth considering: Antoine Case, CB, Arizona
28. Jacksonville Jaguars - James Hardy, WR, Indiana
I don't see Hardy making it in the NFL. But I could be wrong.
Also worth considering: Shawn Crable, OLB, Michigan
29. Green Bay Packers - Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois
Also worth considering: Tracey Porter, CB, Indiana
30. San Francisco (from Indy) - Eric Young, OG, Tennessee
Dead last in passing offense for the entire 2007, it wouldn't surprise me if they go WR with their first pick. But they do need OLine and DLine help too.
Wallace Gilberry, DE, Alabama
31. Miami (from Dallas) Trades down
32. Forfeited by New England
ROUND TWO PROJECTIONS:
33. Miami - Joe Flacco, QB, Delaware
34. St. Louis - Vernon Gholston, DT, Ohio St.
35. Atlanta - Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville
36. Oakland - Phil Loadholt, OT, Oklahoma
37. Kansas City - Alex Boone, OT, Ohio St.
38. N.Y. Jets - Ray Rice, RB, Rutgers
39. San Francisco - Mario Urrittia, WR, Louisville
40. Baltimore - Andre Woodsen, QB, Kentucky
41. Cincinnati - Dan Connor, LB, Penn St.
42. New Orleans - Aquib Talib,CB, Kansas
43. Buffalo - Shawn Crable, LB, Michigan
44. Denver - Reggie Smith, DB, Oklahoma
45. Carolina - Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU
46. Chicago - Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt
47. Detroit - Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy
48. Arizona - Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona
49. Minnesota - Cliff Avril, DE, Purdue
50. Atlanta - Charles Godfrey, CB, Iowa
51. Philadelphia - Steve Slaton, RB, W. Virginia
52. Tampa Bay - Erin Henderson, LB, Maryland
53. Washington - Gosder Cherilus,OT, Boston College
54. Cleveland - Jamaal Charles, RB, Texas
55. Pittsburgh - DeJuan Tribble, CB, Boston College
56. Tennessee - Kentwan Balmer, DT, N. Carolina
57. Seattle - Martellus Bennett, TE, Texas A&M
58. N.Y. Giants - Mike Hart, RB, Michigan
59. Jacksonville - Patrick Lee, CB, Auburn
60. San Diego - Ezra Butler, LB, Nevada
61. Green Bay - Marcus Griffin, CB, Texas
62. Indianapolis - Marcus Monk, WR, Arkansas
63. Miami(via Dallas) - Chris Ellis, DE, Va Tech
64. New England - Phillip Wheeler, LB, Georgia Tech
ROUND THREE PROJECTIONS:
65. Miami - Roy Schuening, OG, Oregon St.
66. St. Louis - Terrell Thomas, CB, USC
67. Atlanta - Carl Nicks, OT, Nebraska
68. Oakland - Red Bryant, Texas A&M
69. Kansas City - Brandon Flower, CB, Va. Tech
70. N.Y. Jets - Fred Davis, TE, USC
71. San Francisco - Bruce Davis, DE, UCLA
72. Buffalo - Beau Bell, LB, UNLV
73. Cincinatti - Geno Hayes, LB, Florida St.
74. New Orleans - Jerod Mayo, LB, Tennessee
75. Buffalo - Adrian Arrington, WR, Michigan
76. Minnesota - Barry Richardson, OT, Clemson
77. Carolina - Tony Hills, OT, Texas
78. Chicago - Jacob Hester, FB, LSU
79. Detroit - Chris Johnson, RB, East Carolina
80. Arizona - Kendall Langford, DT, Hampton
81. Minnesota - Chevis Jackson, CB, LSU
82. Houston - Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, Tenn. St.
83. Philadelphia - Hilee Taylor, DE, N. Carolina
84. Tampa Bay - Jonathan Goff, LB, Vanderbilt
85. Washington - Jason Jones, DE, E. Michigan
86. Cleveland - Owen Schmitt, FB, W. Virginia
87. Pittsburgh - Vince Hall, LB, Va Tech
88. Tennessee - Andre Caldwell, WR, Florida
89. Tampa Bay - Erik Ainge, QB, Tennessee
90. N.Y. Giants - Greg Carr, WR, Florida St.
91. Jacksonville - Justin King, CB, Penn St.
92. San Diego - Trae Williams, CB, USF
93. Green Bay - Martin Rucker, TE, Missouri
94. Indianapolis - DeMario Pressley, N.C. State
95. Dallas - Darnell Terrell, CB, Missouri
96. New England - D.J. Hall, WR, Alabama
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