Wednesday, January 30, 2008

2008 NFL Mock Draft, v5

FIRST ROUND


1. Miami Dolphins - Chris Long, DE, Virginia


The big decision for the Tuna Company will be whether or not to build the foundation with a new QB, new DT or new DE. The fact that Parcell's loves a strong defense and an especially strong pass rushing attack would indicate he may favor DE Long. But Parcells has also made 3 QB's his first picks in previous drafts (Simms, Testaverde & Bledsoe) so he could start the Dolphins over on offense. And will Parcells go with the 3-4 defense? If so, that pretty much cancels out a Glen Dorsey pick. I'll go with defense because I think Parcells is looking at snatching Tim Tebow as the QB of the future in the next draft, so he will opt to get strong on defense and ride it out at QB with Green or another FA.



2. St. Louis Rams - Vernon Gholston, DE, Ohio St.


The Rams need a serious pass rusher who can also help stop the run. Gholston races up the charts after an outstanding combine and becomes the second DE in a row taken in the draft, especially after the Giants showed what can happen with great pressure on a QB.




3. Atlanta Falcons - Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas


I cannot see the Falcons passing on a potentially fast, powerful backfield of McFadden and Jerious Norwood, not to mention veteran Warrick Dunn. They can pick up a QB in the next round, then work on the defense while adding offensive lineman as well.




4. Oakland Raiders - Glen Dorsey, DT, Miami


The franchise QB will have growing pains and he will need protection and receivers. But the Raiders can't let a prospect like Dorsey go. So they take Dorsey here and then will work to get the offensive tackle position and receiver positions addressed in later rounds. The worry about not taking Jake Long here is the protection of Russell. But if you can't stop the other team Russell is likely always playing without a lead.




5. Kansas City Chiefs - Jake Long, OT, Michigan



The QB's cannot be any good at all without protection or a running game. They have to have extremely talented offensive lineman to do both. It's a no-brainer pick to me with limited, top-rated OT's at a premium. The Chiefs get a gift with Long falling in their laps here. True, they need a defensive end and a corner, but they can't move the ball without quality up front. Not moving the ball means the defense stays on the field much too long and eventually leads to season-ending injuries, while games lost in the 4th Qtr. pile up.




6. New York Jets - Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC



The speed of Ellis, especially as it relates to inside pass rushing, puts him just ahead of Dorsey in a fit for the NY Jets. Plus Dorsey is a prototypical 4-3 DT. The Jets were 30th in total yards allowed per game in 2007 and were especially atrocious against the run. They need help on the defensive line and at outside linebacker. I'm thinking that rotating Ellis and Robertson at the DT positions, it helps both in to stay healthy and fresh. It also allows Ellis to learn the ropes. This would help DE Shaun Ellis and Coleman on the outside too, as the Jets could later add depth at DE and help in the rotation on the edge with Ellis, Coleman and Mosely. But there's no doubt defense is a main theme in April, but it must start up front.


7. N.E. Patriots (from SF) - Derrick Harvey, DE/LB, Florida



The Pats need to revitalize their LB corps, and might be able to utilize Harvey as an OLB while having him fill in on occassion as an outside pass rusher at DE. Great versatility here with this pick, coming at a time when New England's only big problem is the aging backer corps.





8. Baltimore Ravens - Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College



The Ravens could potentially role the dice here and continue to hope the trio of McNair, Boller and Troy Smith will be enough for now. But other than Calais Campbell or Mike Jenkins, the Ravens really have no other first round value pick that matches up with a high enough need than does Matt Ryan. Look for the Ravens to say "Sayanora" to McNair, and have Ryan battle it out with Boller and Smith.




9. Cincinnati Bengals - Calais Campbell, DE, Miami



Could also be Kentwaan Balmer here, but I think Campbell is the more certain pick. With the Bengals, EVERYTHING in this draft will be about defense - except for the one pick they must make at the tight end position. And there should be some good tight ends in later rounds.




10. New Orleans Saints - Mike Jenkins, CB, So. Florida



Tough call here between a CB and DT Balmer, and it could go either way. I am going with cornerback because I just can't get those pictures of hopeless Jason David out of my mind. Now David isn't done, he just needs to be in that system a little longer and find his niche. Enter Mike Jenkins, who runs a 4.4 40 and is 6'0", 200 lbs. What's more, Jenkins could end up helping the Saints on special teams as a kick/punt returner rather than risking injury with Reggie Bush. The Saints desperately need a solid secondary to help New Orleans slow down opponents. To be sure, this will be one of many defensive picks for the Saints, unless they shop in FA.





11. Buffalo Bills - Malcom Kelly, WR, Oklahoma



Adding a speedy, big wideout will help the Bills offense increase it's potential explosive force exponentially. A defensive tackle, cornerback and linebacker are needs too, but the ability to put points on the board within the same division as New England is the most important. Kelly will help that cause, creating multiple weapons for opposing defenses to try and defend.





12. Denver Broncos - Kentwaan Balmer, DT, N.C.


Stuffing the run and creating a more stingy defense is their primary consideration in this draft. They also need a pick at wideout and safety, as well as linebacker, but starting in the middle of the defensive line with Balmer will start them off in the right direction.




13. Carolina Panthers - Ryan Clady, OT, Boise St.



I'm torn between the offensive line and safety for Carolina, especially seeing a talent like Kenny Phillips available. Seems to me that a safety will likely be available in the second round and not a top level OT, so the Panthers go with Clady here.




14. Chicago Bears - Gosder Cherilus, OT, BC



Huge, very athletic OT helps the Bears solidify the offensive line and offer more protection for whomever they finally decide to put in at QB. Other than running back, the Bears will need better depth and production out of their offensive line.





15. Detroit Lions - Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona



The passing defense of Detroit was horrid and must be addressed in the draft. They finished 31st in the NFL in passing yards allowed and forced the Lions away from any chance at a running game to balance a prolific passing offense. It forced Jon Kitna and company to always play catch-up or to score on every drive. Look for one more pick in the next two rounds at corner, with adds at linebacker and the offensive line.




16. Arizona Cardinals - Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh



The Cards have little protection for the QB, which spells doom for this highly charged offense. What's more, the offensive line is not doing the job in the running game as well. This pick is a bigger need than defensive end and must be addressed in the first round.





17. Minnesota Vikings - James Hardy, WR, Indiana


This pick is clearly dependent on the type of combine Hardy has, but with his size and quickness, this could be the answer the Vikes need at the wideout position. Philip Merling could be the pick at defensive end here if Hardy doesn't excel at the combine, and then Minnesota might be able to pick him up in round two.




18. Houston Texans - Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois


The guy is flat-out good. Catches the ball, is fast, strong and patient enough to wait for his blockers to create the holes. And his burst through the hole is exciting. Unless the Texans decide an offensive tackle trumps a running back (which it may), Mendenhall is too valuable a pick to miss out on.





19. Philadelphia Eagles - Lawrence Jackson, DE, USC

The Eagles need up front defensive pressure as well as upgrades in the linebacking unit and secondary. Lawrence Jackson, DE, from Southern Cal may be the pick here instead.




20. Tampa Bay Bucs - Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt


I was thinking more about a wideout with this pick, but the Bucs cannot afford to miss out on a top OT. They can probably find a suitable receiver in the next couple of rounds, so they go with Williams with this selection. Unless, of course, they find a good candidate in free agency. In that case, this is a definite wide receiver pick.






21. Washington Redskins - Phillip Merling, DE, Clemson

Washington needs several improvements in their defensive line and Merling should be a good starting point. It's possible Devin Thomas, the wideout from Michigan State, could be the selection here. The Skins also need some depth in the offensive line.





22. Dallas Cowboys (Cleve.) - Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy

The secondary help is a MUST for the first pick, and they could even go CB in the next pick of the first round. Another Troy alumni helps give the Cowboys stability in the secondary.






23. Seattle Seahawks - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon

He will be the eventual heir to Shaun Alexander as the Holmgren era comes to an end following the upcoming season. Coach-in-waiting Jim Mora is already licking his chops.





24. Pittsburgh Steelers - Sam Baker, OT, USC

Just what the Steelers needed to help make certain Parker still has the blocking he needs to break off the long one. Along with offensive line reinforcement, the Steelers will look to bolster the corners and need to find an explosive wideout. Devin Thomas or Early Doucet could go here, but I have a hunch the offensive line is the pick.



25. Tennessee Titans - Devin Thomas, WR, MSU

This is the sleeper of the wideout position, which may not last much longer than the combine. Thomas has the perfect size, strength and speed to be a consistently solid WR in the pros. Think of him as a slightly taller version of Reggie Wayne. The Titans could be forced to look for a DT if Haynesworth isn't re-signed, but I don't think Fisher will allow that to happen. Even if Haynesworth is back, the Titans still need to add some depth at DT in order to rotate Albert in and out along with Vickerson.





26. J'ville Jaguars - Reggie Smith, S/CB, Oklahoma





27. Dallas Cowboys - Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas

Although the Cowboys might think about DT with this pick, if Jones is still on the board (and considering owner Jerry Jones' affinity for his alma mater) Dallas will not pass this pick up.

28. S.F. 49ers (from Indy) - DeMario Pressley, DT, NC State

Huge selection for the 49ers, as they need that disruptive, big body in the defensive front line to help create penetration up the middle and disrupt gaps for opposing RB's to slide through. San Francisco will select whichever of the DT's remain after the Cowboy pick, but will get a good one no matter which of them remain.




29. San Diego Chargers - D.R.-Cromartie, CB, LSU


Teaming up with another Cromartie will give play-by-play announcers fits having two Cromarties on the field. It will also pose additional challenges to opposing offenses searching for vulnerabilities in the Charger secondary. It is also possible the Chargers flirt with taking a DT at this pick. Someone like Trevor Laws or Dre Moore.




30. Green Bay Packers - Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas

Chance of the Packers taking LB Rivers of USC with this pick, but the corner position is an area of concern.




31. New York Giants - Carl Nicks, OT, Nebraska

Adding depth to a pretty tough offensive line.





32. New England Patriots - Forfeited









ROUND TWO PROJECTIONS:




33. Miami - Keith Rivers, LB, USC

34. St. Louis - Mario Manningham, WR, Michigan

35. Atlanta - Andre Woodson, QB, Kentucky

The Falcons are now set in their offensive backfield for years to come. Potentially.

36. Oakland - Adarius Bowman, WR, Oklahoma St.

37. Kansas City - Justin Lee, CB, Penn State

38. N.Y. Jets - Dan Connor, LB, Penn State

39. Baltimore - Tony Hills, OT, Texas

40. San Francisco - Ali Highsmith, LB, LSU

41. New Orleans - Dan Connor, OLB, Penn St

42. Buffalo - Trevor Laws, DT, Notre Dame

43. Denver - Kenny Phillips, S, Miami

44. Carolina -Thomas DeCoud, S, California

45. Chicago - Kevin Smith, RB, Central Florida

46. Detroit - Shawn Crable, LB, Michigan

47. Cincinnati - Tavares Gooden, OLB, Miami

48. Minnesota - Andre Fluellen, DT, Florida St.

49. Atlanta* - Barry Richardson, OT, Clemson

50. Philadelphia - DaJuan Morgan, S, NC St.

51. Arizona - Tommy Blake, DE, TCU

52. Washington - Limas Sweed, WR, Texas

53. Tampa Bay - Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville

54. Cleveland - Frank Okam, DT, Texas

55. Pittsburgh - Charles Godfrey, CB, Iowa

56. Tennessee - Chris Ellis, DE, Virginia Tech

57. Seattle - Fred Davis, TE, USC

58. Jacksonville - Wallace Gilberry, DE, Alabama

59. Miami* - Martin Rucker, TE, Missouri

60. Green Bay -Charles Godfrey, CB, Iowa

61. Dallas - D.J. Hall, WR, Alabama

62. Indianapolis - Jamaal Charles, RB, Texas

63. New York Giants - Letroy Guion, DT, FSU

64. New England - Chevis Jackson, CB, LSU


ROUND THREE PROJECTIONS:


65. Miami - Andre Caldwell, WR, Florida

66. St. Louis - Craig Steltz, S, LSU

67. Kansas City - Roy Schuening, OG, Oregon St.

68. N.Y. Jets - Kirk Barton, OT, Ohio St.

69. New England* - Erick Young, OG, Tennessee

70. Atlanta - Jerod Mayo, LB, Tennessee

71. San Francisco - Keenan Burton, WR, Kentucky

72. Buffalo* - Dustin Keller, TE/WR, Purdue

73. Buffalo - Earl Bennett, WR, Vanderbilt

74. Minnesota* - Kendall Langford, DE, Hampton

75. Carolina- Red Bryant, DT, Texas A&M

76. Chicago - Dennis Keyes, S, UCLA

77. Detroit - Dre Moore, DT, Maryland

78. Cincinnati - Dwight Lowery, CB, San Jose St.

79. New Orleans - Jolonn Dunbar, ILB, Boston College

80 Houston - Marcus Griffin, S, Texas

81. Philadelphia - Heath Benedict, OT, Newberry

82. Arizona - Tommy Blake, DE, TCU

83. Minnesota - Jacob Tamme, TE, Kentucky

84. Tampa Bay - Steve Slaton, RB, West Virginia

85. Washington - Andre Fluellen, DT, FSU8

86. Cleveland - Kendall Langford, DE, Hampton

87. Tennessee - Trevor Laws, DT, Notre Dame

88. Seattle - Kerry Brown, OG, Appalachian St.

89. Pittsburgh - Mike McGlynn, OG, Pittsburgh

90. Jacksonville - Darrell Robertson, DT, Georgia Tech

91. Chicago* - Jamar Adams, S, Michigan

92. Green Bay - Duane Brown, OT, Virginia Tech

93. Dallas - Allen Patrick, RB, Oklahoma

94. Indianapolis - Jameel McClain, DE, Syracuse

95. NY Giants - Chad Rinehart, OT, No. Iowa

96. New England - Ray Rice, RB, Rutgers

Sunday, January 27, 2008

2008 NFL Mock Draft v4.0

My initial mock had the Dolphins trading out of the #1 spot with Dallas. You can view it and other items at my blog:

I still believe Parcells will trade down, but will go here with the no-trade version of the mock for now.

1. Miami Dolphins - Glen Dorsey, DT, Miami

Cornerback, Defensive and Offensive tackle are the top needs for the Dolphins. Rumor has it that Bill Parcells will stick with a core of Trent Green and John Beck at QB, bringing in a 3rd QB somewhere in the draft. I still think this is a trade down pick for Parcells, and it will probably be for the Cowboys two picks in the first round. And I think Parcells will trade down at least one of those two again. Just a hunch. But looking strictly at needs, we'll play along and go Dorsey.

TEAM NEEDS: CB, DT, OT, WR, QB2.


St. Louis Rams - Chris Long, DE, Virginia

The Rams get a monster with a motor. Pairing him up with Adam Carriker will enhance the defensive line and give it plenty of flexibility. This pick could kill two birds with one stone, as they need someone to fill the DT position, and Long allows them to move folks around.

TEAM NEEDS: DT, ILB, WR, CB, OT

3. Atlanta Falcons - Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas

Flip of a coin makes this the Falcons pick, or they fall to #4. Most Falcon observers feel it's a 50-50 shot between Ryan and McFadden. I would add McFadden and target a later round QB that could be a sleeper - and thus save more cap money. If it doesn't work out, there is always the possibility of getting Tim Tebow in the '09 draft.

TEAM NEEDS: QB, RB, OT, OG, DT, ILB, K, CB


4. Oakland Raiders - Jake Long, OT, Michigan

Not sure what the Raiders will do here mainly because they could pick #3, #4 or #5. With Sapp gone they need a new presence in the middle of the D line. But they also need help protecting the franchise QB. Either Jake Long or Ryan Clady will be the pick for the Raiders at #4 or #5, depending on the coin toss.


TEAM NEEDS: DT, WR, DE, OT, OC, SS


5. Kansas City Chiefs - Ryan Clady, OT, Boise St.

The aforementioned coin toss will ultimately determine the position for the Chiefs, but not the pick. The Chiefs need to re-establish their offensive line and get Brody Croyle protected. You cannot lay the blame of last season at his feet while he is getting sacked every other play.

TEAM NEEDS: OT, CB, OG, OC, LB, WR



6. New York Jets - Vernon Gholston, DE/OLB, Ohio St.

The Jets get an immediate monster that can add needed flexibility to the Jet defense. If the Jets trade Jonathon Vilma it would have an impact on this selection.

TEAM NEEDS: OG, DE, ILB, OLB, DT, CB



7. N.E. Patriots (from SF) - Derrick Harvey, DE/LB, Florida

The rich just keep on getting richer. Slight chance the Pats go CB with this pick, but they need a flexible pass-rushing OLB and Harvey (or Gholston) fits the bill.


TEAM NEEDS: CB, OLB, RB



8. Baltimore Ravens - Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College

I'm not convince ANY of the QB's will go first round in this draft because none of them stand out exceedingly well -unless the combine proves different, like it did for Jay Culter in 2005. But at this point, Ryan is tagged as probably the best bet of the three top candidates IF the Ravens go high for a QB. If they don't pick a QB here, they might opt to try and reach for an impact WR like Malcom Kelly or go for Jeff Otah or Gosder Cherilus to boost their offensive line.

TEAM NEEDS: OT, OLB, DE, CB, QB, WR,



9. Cincinnati Bengals - Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC

Toss a dart on a Bengal defensive chart. Wherever it lands is as good a place to start as any other. Haven't changed my mind on this one at all since version 2 and 3 mock. The Bengals will take the best available defensive player, especially a defensive lineman.

TEAM NEEDS: DEFENSE, period. DT, OLB, CB, DE, Then MAYBE a TE.



10. New Orleans Saints - Kenny Phillips, S, Miami

When the Saints draft this year, the word "defense" will be a near perpetual one. The Saints take the best defensive player available at this spot, the next spot, the next spot and......well, you get the idea. It's also possible they choose to go with a linebacker first and pick Rivers from USC.

TEAM NEEDS: CB, ILB, OLB, DE, OT, OG



11. Buffalo Bills - Malcom Kelly, WR, Oklahoma

Imagine an offense with Lee Evans, Roscoe Parrish and Marshawn Lynch available as the weaponry. The Bills could add Gosder Cherilus here for a sure bet, but the allure of an additional receiver might be too tempting. In round two, look for an OT or TE in the 2nd and Buffalo could be a formidable offensive nightmare for years to come.

TEAM NEEDS: WR, TE, OLB, CB, DT



12. Denver Broncos - Kentwaan Balmer, DT, N.C.

Coach Shanahan won't want to give any other team a shot at a potentially great Bronco running back, but he has many more holes to fill than running back. So he goes to the middle of the defensive line and hopes to shore it up with Balmer. But Shanahan might salivate enogh over Jonathan Stewart to go ahead and scrap his draft "needs" setup.

TEAM NEEDS: DT, OT, ILB, OLB, S, WR, OC



13. Carolina Panthers - Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh

I have struggled on whether defensive or offensive line is the place to start for the Panthers. Could go either way, depending on the combine results, but Otah looks to be a solid choice.


TEAM NEEDS: OTm, OG, DE, FS, QB



14. Chicago Bears - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon

Other than going for Gosder Cherilus, the Bears have some serious needs. QB is not the biggest. The running game is. That's why the offensive line and running back positions are the most important for the Bears in this draft. With hometown college boy Mildenhall available, along with Stewart and Felix Jones, the Bears have a top back available at this pick. Cherilus might get the edge as the RB field is pretty deep, so perhaps the Bears go OT here. But seems to me Stewart is just too good to pass up, especially considering the regression of Cedric Benson.



TEAM NEEDS: OT, RB, SS, QB, OG, FS



15. Detroit Lions - Calais Campbell, DE, Miami

The Lions just allowed teams to pass all over them. Imagine this team with a decent pass rush and secondary. It would probably mean they'd have a solid playoff team. They were oh-so-close until the late swoon this past season. Adding Campbell to this team would immediately create a significant enough pass rush that would at least make it harder for opponents to pass. Picking up some secondary help in later rounds would do even more.


TEAM NEEDS: CB, DE, DT, ILB, OG



16. Arizona Cardinals - Mike Jenkins, CB, USF

The Cards are inching closer to breaking through to the next level. But will they make it in time to take advantage of that prolific offense? This phenom (should he drop this far down) will certainly be able to help start that move. Now if the Cards deem that the O-line is more significant than the secondary, they could go with big OT Gosder Cherilus here.



TEAM NEEDS: DE, OLB, CB, OT, DT



17. Minnesota Vikings - James Hardy, WR, Indiana

Tough call here. The Vikes need a pass rusher to create havoc on the outside for a defense that is stout against the run, but falls off in the passing game. Minnesota also desperately needs another wideout that can create a future tandem the opposite side of Sidney Rice. They are also in need of another TE, although I would say that would be a later option. Philip Merling or Quentin Groves are possible here, but I'll go with the 6-7 Hardy - a slight reach - who may give Viking fans that big wideout they have longed for since you-know-who left. Slight chance DeSean Jackson goes here.


TEAM NEEDS: WR, TE, DE



18. Houston Texans - Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois

This will be either a RB or OL pick, but either way the Texans are a team on the rise. If they can add one of each it could help them contend for a playoff spot immediately. I think Mendenhall will be too good a risk to pass up. Gosder Cherilus may be a pick here, but I would think the potential of Mendenhall - coupled with the question mark in the Texan running game - will be the ultimate deciding factor.


TEAM NEEDS: RB, OT, FS, CB, DE



19. Philadelphia Eagles - Phillip Merling, DE, Clemson

Good prospect for the Eagle defensive line. This will allow the Eagles to solidify their tough defense and then get set to snag a top tight end, OT or cornerback in the second round.



TEAM NEEDS: DE, TE, OT, CB, LB



20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Limas Sweed, WR, Texas

They lack weapons in their passing attack no matter the QB, while they have needs at four or five other positions. I think they opt to go with a big target at wideout, which means a Limas Sweed type. They could go instead with Marcus Harrison or Pat Sims at DT but Sweed is too much of a prospect to let go.


TEAM NEEDS: DT, QB, RB, WR, OT



21. Washington Redskins - Quentin Groves, DE, Auburn

Might be a slight reach, but the Skins need to grab either a top corner or defensive lineman at this pick. Trying to help increase the pass rush is a good move, but so is trying to regain some depth in the secondary, so it could be McKelvin or Calib here as well. Could go DT here but I doubt it if Groves is still on the board.


TEAM NEEDS: DE, DT, CB, WR, OG, OT



22. Dallas Cowboys (Cleve.) - Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy

Assuming the Cowboys don't cut a deal with Bill Parcells to move up to #1, the secondary- and specifically Jaques "Torch Me Baby" Reeves - needs a boost. ( I'm a huge Boilermaker fan, but Reeves sucked even when he was at Purdue! ) McKelvin immediately makes an impact on an otherwise pretty solid team. Very slight chance they go WR here.

TEAM NEEDS: CB's, RB, WR




23. Seattle Seahawks - Gosder Cherilus, OT, BC

Holmgren could opt to go with a TE pick here to allow for more offensive options, but the line needs some help on both sides of the ball. This pick is BPA and Cherilus will most assuredly boost the effectiveness of the Seahawk offensive line.

TEAM NEEDS: OG, DT, WR, RB, DE



24. Pittsburgh Steelers - Lawrence Jackson, DE, USC

The Steelers need offensive lineman and will not be thrilled to lose out on Cherilus, so Jackson is BPA at this pick. They hope he gives them a chance to get more pressure up front. Jackson will need to be "coached up" on run defense though, but is worth taking a gamble on at this point. Wouldn't be surprised to see the Steelers snatch Devin Thomas at wideout.


TEAM NEEDS: OG, DE, WR, ILB, CB



25. Tennessee Titans - Devin Thomas, WR, MSU

Not as big as the Titans would want, but he is taller and just about as speedy as Doucet or Manningham. Thomas was underrated this past season in the Big Ten and should provide a good shot in the arm for the Titan passing attack.


TEAM NEEDS: WR, DT, DE, OGm, TE, CB



26. J'ville Jaguars - DeSean Jackson, WR, California

Since Hardy, Kelly, Sweed and Thomas are gone at the wideout positions, Del Rio takes the slipping Jackson. He fell not because of talent, but rather size. Ironically, he falls to a team that has huge WR's in abundance. But Jackson can fill the important slot role and return kicks. The Jags could go for a DE here, but Lawrence Jackson might not fit here.


TEAM NEEDS: DE, WR, CB



27. Dallas Cowboys - D. R-Cromartie, CB, Tenn. St.

More work on the secondary and now they have two stellar prospects in McKelvin and Cromartie. The Cowboys can afford to "reach" on this pick for Cromartie, as they have already secured top prospect McKelvin. Now Dallas has two top 12 CB's on the roster from this draft.


TEAM NEEDS: CB's, RB, WR



28. S.F. 49ers (from Indy) - Adarius Bowman, WR, Ok. St.

This could be Early Doucet or Mario Mannigham with this pick, but Bowman is taller and close to similiar speed. The 49ers must get a big target at the wideout position, but might opt to go with Manningham's 4.4 speed and add a later round WR for depth. DT Red Bryant is also possible.

TEAM NEEDS: WR, DT, DE, OG, OC



29. San Diego Chargers - Keith Rivers, LB, USC

Rivers stays in California and the Chargers will no doubt shift things around enough to get him in the mix, as they cannot afford to pass up on Rivers - even though he's an OLB. But the added depth it will give to Merriman and Phillips, while pushing the entire backer corps, is legitimate. ILB Curtis Lofton is a possibility here as well.


TEAM NEEDS: ILB, DEm, WR



30. Green Bay Packers - John Carlson, TE, Notre Dame

Depending on the combine, either Carlson, Martellus Bennett, Martin Rucker or Jacob Tamme would be the pick here. Also a chance of OT here with Sam Baker and Chris Williams still available. The Pack looked pretty good in the line play last year, so the drafting of an OT would be for depth. They can't afford to miss out on a top TE or CB prospect, so Aqib Talib is a possibility here as well.


TEAM NEEDS: CB, OT, TE



31. New York Giants - Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas

Look for the Giants to help solidify the secondary with this pick. They could go OT here as well since Sam Baker is still on the board just a single space ahead of Talib on the Overall. It will come down to the combine and how the Giants assess their overall needs.

TEAM NEEDS: CB, OT, FS, OLB



32. New England Patriots - Forfeited

RB, OLB, CB



ROUND TWO PROJECTIONS:

33. Miami - Sam Baker, OT, USC
34. St. Louis - Mario Manningham, WR, Michigan
35. Atlanta - Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville
36. Oakland - Pat Sims, DT, Auburn
37. Kansas City - Patrick Lee, CB, Auburn
38. N.Y. Jets - Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
39. Baltimore - Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt
40. San Francisco - Marcus Harrison, DT, Arkansas
41. New Orleans - Dan Connor, OLB, Penn St
42. Buffalo - Erin Henderson, OLB, Maryland
43. Denver - Carl Nicks, OT, Nebraska
44. Carolina -Andre Woodsen, QB, Kentucky
45. Chicago - Chris Johnson, RB, East Carolina
46. Detroit - DaJuan Morgan, S, NC State
47. Cincinnati - Ali Highsmith, OLB, LSU
48. Minnesota - Donnie Avery, WR, Houston
49. Atlanta* - Tony Hills, OT, Texas
50. Philadelphia - Fred Davis, TE, USC
51. Arizona - Geno Hayes, OLB, FSU
52. Washington - Brandon Flowers, CB, Virginia Tech
53. Tampa Bay - Chad Henne, QB, Michigan
54. Cleveland - Jason Jones, DE, Eastern Michigan
55. Pittsburgh - Curtis Lofton, ILB, Oklahoma
56. Tennessee - Chris Ellis, DE, Virginia Tech
57. Seattle - Letroy Guion, DT, FSU
58. Jacksonville - Tracey Porter, CB, Indiana
59. Miami* - Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona
60. Green Bay -Charles Godfrey, CB, Iowa
61. Dallas - D.J. Hall, WR, Alabama
62. Indianapolis - Jamaal Charles, RB, Texas
63. New York Giants - Thomas DeCoud, S, Auburn
64. New England - Tavares Gooden, OLB, Miami



ROUND THREE PROJECTIONS:

65. Miami - Andre Caldwell, WR, Florida
66. St. Louis - Jerod Mayo, ILB, Tennessee
67. Kansas City - Brandon Albert, OG, Arkansas
68. N.Y. Jets - Roy Schuening, OG, Oregon St.
69. New England* - Trae Williams, CB, South Florida
70. Atlanta - Spencer Larsen, ILB, Arizona
71. San Francisco - Cliff Avril, DE/OLB, Purdue
72. Buffalo* - Dustin Keller, TE/H-Back, Purdue
73. Buffalo - Earl Bennett, WR, Vanderbilt
74. Minnesota* - Angelo Craig, DE, Cincinnati
75. Carolina- Oniel Cousins, OT, UTEP
76. Chicago - Barry Richardson, OT, Clemson
77. Detroit - Dre Moore, DT, Maryland
78. Cincinnati - Chevis Jackson, CB, LSU
79. New Orleans - Jolonn Dunbar, ILB, Boston College
80 Houston - Marcus Griffin, S, Texas
81. Philadelphia - Heath Benedict, OT, Newberry
82. Arizona - Tommy Blake, DE, TCU
83. Minnesota - Jacob Tamme, TE, Kentucky
84. Tampa Bay - Steve Slaton, RB, West Virginia
85. Washington - Andre Fluellen, DT, FSU
86. Cleveland - DeMario Pressley, DT, NC State
87. Tennessee - Trevor Laws, DT, Notre Dame
88. Seattle - Kerry Brown, OG, Appalachian St.
89. Pittsburgh - Mike McGlynn, OG, Pittsburgh
90. Jacksonville - Darrell Robertson, DT, Georgia Tech
91. Chicago* - Jamar Adams, S, Michigan
92. Green Bay - Duane Brown, OT, Virginia Tech
93. Dallas - Allen Patrick, RB, Oklahoma
94. Indianapolis - Jameel McClain, DE, Syracuse
95. NY Giants - Chad Rinehart, OT, No. Iowa
96. New England - Ray Rice, RB, Rutgers

Boilers Knock Off # 11 Badgers

Mackey Magic is back and the Boilermaker basketball is turning the corner. Perhaps after yesterday's thrilling 60-56 win over #11 Wisconsin, Purdue has finally made the turn nearly complete. We'll know for sure if they can win their next one and not allow a let down to take place.

The fab four freshman combined once again to give Purdue their sixth win in seven Big Ten outings, with Etwaun Moore leading the Boilers with 16 points. But it was Robbie Hummel's block of a Badger attempt at a game-tying layup with 1.2 seconds remaining that sealed the victory. Fans stormed Keady Court after the final buzzer. It was the first time they had done so since Coach Matt Painter and the Boilers knocked off Indiana in 1992, denying IU an outright Big Ten title that year. That happened to also be the first time fans had stormed the court. I would expect to see that number jump up from two to God-knows-how-many in the next 3 and a half years with this collection of solid players.

Mackey Arena has always been a fantastic and loud place to play, but in recent years the magic had worn off through some seriously disheartening erosion in the program. But Matt Painter has brought the program back to life and a ticket to a Boilermaker basketball game will once again be a hot commodity. At 15-5 (6-1 in the Big Ten) the Boilers are edging closer to an NCAA invititation that would truly be remarkable with a team of all freshmen and sophomores, save one senior and one junior. Certainly this program will be tough to deal with for the next few seasons.

Great win and great lift for Boilermaker basketball.

Monday, January 21, 2008

Indianapolis Draft History Recap

Last April we saw the Indianapolis Colts fill the wideout spot with rookie Anthony Gonzales to replace the gaping void left by the departure of Brandon Stokely. Then the Colts drafted Tony Ugoh for depth and eventual need at the OT spot. Little did they know they actual drafted for immediate need, as OT Tarik Glenn announced his retirement just prior to the start of training camp. Ugoh immediately became a starter.

Quinn Pitcock became part of the DLine rotation due to the many injuries the Colts faced in the 2007 season. Same for Clint Sessions and Kenyatta Dawson, who also contributed when the injury bugs hit. Michael Coe showed promise in the secondary and rotated in and out as a backup, as did Daymeion Hughes and Brandon Condren. Roy Hall was looking to be the sleeper of the '07 draft before he went down with a season ending injury while making a spectacular hit on special teams.

All in all, every draft pick by the Colts in the 2007 NFL draft made a contibution. In some cases, they made more than was expected initially and show great promise for a team that now has quite a bit of depth on defense, especially in the secondary.

3 picks on offense, 6 on defense.

I think defense is going to get two or three picks this year, while the offensive line, running back and either TE or wideouts are picks also. At DE, I would love the Colts to grab 6-6, 295 lb. Kendall Langford of Hampton with our first pick in the second round. He might be a tad too slow for our need with a blasting pass rush, so maybe someone like 6-2,250 Marcus Howard from Georgia (4.7 speed) would be a better fit. If we had a shot at Red Bryant, 6-4, 235, from Texas A&M at DT, or Andre Fuellen, 6-4, 280 DT from FSU, would that trump a pick at DE? Not sure.

Offensive Line is a definite need. There is Jeremy Zutta, 6-4,292 lber. from Rutgers and Mike Fladell, 6-7, 322 also from Rutgers. Or Demetrius Bell, 6-6, 288 from NW State (LA) and Dylan Thiry, 6-7, 317, of Northwestern.

Running back will be a critical need for the Colts this year as well. Not sure it will be a first pick for Indy, but it could come in round 3 or 4. Andre Brown, 6-0, 233 from NC State and Calvin Dawson, 5'10", 207 from UL Monroe are good candidates here. And Chauncey Washington, 5'11", 219 from UCLA.

Looking at a potential add at TE for the Colts we see several candidates. Craig Stevens, 6-5, 255 from Cal and Bear Pascoe, 6-5, 266 from Fresno St. Or Jacob Tamme, 6-4, 243 out of Louisville or Marcel Frost, 6-4, 256 out of Jackson St.

At any rate, here is the list of last year's picks:


2007

1 - Anthony Gonzales, WR
2 - Tony Ugoh, OT
3 - Quinn Pitcock, DE
4 - Clint Sessions, LB
5 - Keyunta Dawson, DE
6 - Michael Coe, CB
7 - Daymeion Hughes, CB
8 - Brandon Condren, CB
9 - Roy Hall


So, in order to gauge what direction Bill Polian and the Indianapolis Colts might go this year in the draft, I thought it valuable to go back over the past 12 years of drafts and look at what positions were drafted and in what order. Perhaps there is no clear-cut order or method, but it is worth a look. I will then match that up against the perceived needs of the Colts for the upcoming season. It may give us a better indication of who we will be picking in April. Then again, it may just screw us up even more trying to figure out Bill Polian.


2006

1 Joseph Addai, RB LSU
2 Tim Jennings, CB, Georgia
3 Freddie Keiaho, LB San Diego State
5 Michael Toudouze, OT, TCU
6 Charlie Johnson, OG, Oklahoma State
6 Antoine Bethea, S, Howard
7 T.J. Rushing, CB, Stanford


2005

1 Marlin Jackson, CB, Michigan
2 Kelvin Hayden, CB, Illinois
3 Vincent Burns, DT, Kentucky
4 Dylan Gandy, OG,Texas Tech
4 Matt Giordano, S, California
5 Jonathan Welsh, DE, Wisconsin
5 Robert Hunt,C, North Dakota State
5 Tyjuan Hagler,LB,Cincinnati
6 Dave Rayner, K, Michigan State
7 Anthony Davis, Wisconsin

2004

2 Bob Sanders, S, Iowa
3 Ben Hartsock, TE, Ohio State
3 Gilbert Gardner,LB,Purdue
4 Kendyll Pope, LB,Florida State
4 Jason David, CB,Washington State
5 Jake Scott, OT, Idaho
6 Von Hutchins, CB,Mississippi
6 Jim Sorgi,QB,Wisconsin
7 David Kimball,K,Penn State

2003

1 Dallas Clark, TE,Iowa
2 Michael Doss ,CB, Ohio State
3 Donald Strickland, LB,Colorado
4 Steve Sciullo, OL, Marshall
5 Robert Mathis, DE,Alabama A&M
5 Keyon Whiteside, LB,Tennessee
6 Cato June, LB, Michigan
6 Makoa Freitas, OG,Arizona

2002

1 Dwight Freeney, DE, Syracuse
2 Larry Tripplett, DT, Washington
3 Joseph Jefferson, CB, Western Kentucky
4 David Thorton, LB, North Carolina
6 David Pugh, DT,Virginia Tech
6 James Lewis, CB,Miami (FL)
6 Brian Allen,RB, Stanford
7 Josh Mallard,DE, Georgia

2001

1 Reggie Wayne, WR,Miami (FL)
2 Idrees Bashir, CB, Memphis
3 Cory Bird, CB, Virginia Tech
4 Ryan Diem, OG, Northern Illinois
5 Raymond Walls,DB, Southern Mississippi
6 Jason Doering,CB,Wisconsin
7 Rick DeMulling, OT, Idaho State


2000

1 Rob Morris, LB, Brigham Young
2 Marcus Washington, LB, Auburn
3 David Macklin,CB, Penn State
4 Josh Williams,DT, Michigan
5 Matt Johnson, OG, Brigham Young
7 Rob Renes,DT, Michigan
7 Rodregis Brooks, CB, Alabama-Birmingham


1999

1 Edgerrin James,RB,Miami (FL)
2 Mike Peterson, LB, Florida
3 Brandon Burlsworth, OG, Arkansas
4 Paul Miranda,CB, Central Florida
5 Brad Scioli, DE, Penn State
7 Hunter Smith, P, Notre Dame
7 Corey Terry, CB, Tennessee


1998******* Bill Polian's first draft as Indy GM *********

1 Peyton Manning, QB, Tennessee
2 Jerome Pathon, WR, Washington
3 E.G. Green, WR, Florida State
4 Steve McKinney, OG, Texas A&M
5 Antony Jordan, LB, Vanderbilt
7 Aaron Taylor, C, Nebraska
7 Cory Gaines, CB, Tennessee

1997 ####Last Pre-Polian Draft ######


1 Tarik Glenn, OT, California
2 Adam Meadows, OT, Georgia
3 Bertrand Berry, LB, Notre Dame
4 Delmonico Montgomery, CB, Houston
5 Nathaniel Jacquet, WR, San Diego State
5 Carl Powell, CB, Louisville
6 Scott Von der Ahe, LB, Arizona State
7 Clarence Thompson, CB, Knoxville


1996

1 Marvin Harrison, WR, Syracuse
2 Dedric Mathis, CB, Houston
3 Scott Slutzker, TE, Iowa
4 Brian Milne, RB, Penn State
5 Steve Martin, DT, Missouri
6 Keith Conlin, OT, Penn State
6 Mike Cawley, QB, James Madison
7 Adrian Robinson, CB, Baylor

Thursday, January 17, 2008

Visit DraftTek.com ! Here are My "Colts Needs" for 2008 NFL Draft

Be sure to check out team needs for all 32 teams and the latest mock draft for 2008 at drafttek.com, a great site that breaks down all seven rounds for the upcoming draft. And all 32 teams have Draft Tek correspondents like me who evaluate what their favorite team will need to add from the draft, prioritizing each pick.

Now for the Colts, there are several things that will dictate how the Colts proceed in the 2008 NFL draft this coming April. The most talked about (though I don't think the most significant) is the final decision of coach Tony Dungy and whether or not he returns to the team for another season. The reason it's not the most significant element to me is the continuity aspect of the final outcome, either way. Bill Polian will still be in charge and the potential coaching replacement in Jim Caldwell pretty much means status quo for the club.

There is the matter of Dallas Clark's contract negotiations, though Bill Polian has made it clear he will put the franchise tag on Clark if there is no agreement to a new contract. And Clark insists he wants to remain in Indy. So that seems to be a rather minor obstacle.

But the absolute biggest factors include the decisions surrounding three players. Defensive Tackle Anthony "Booger" McFarland, and Offensive Linemen Ryan Lilja and Jake Scott. The decisions made on those three players will have the biggest overall impact on the draft for Indianapolis this coming April. All three are important components of the past success of the team, but all three will probably be seeking more money than the Colts can ultimately offer.

Lilja and Scott are two of Indy's starting offensive linemen. Both are quality lineman who have done an outstanding job at their positions and both are young players (going into their 5th year each) who have had some injuries, but have come through to be effective contributors to an often under-appreciated element of the offensive success. Should both be lost in free agency, the Colts will have to use at least two draft picks for their replacements. That would leave just four picks (not counting supplemental picks) to utilize for other areas of the team because the Colts traded their first round pick of this year to San Francisco during the 2007 draft.

It is my opinion the Colts need another sturdy, but fleet-footed running back that can catch the ball as well as move the pile. Joe Addai was bruised and battered by week 10, and the Colts could not get the same efficiency out of Kenton Keith. Plus Keith isn't exactly a pass-catching guru. So an additional running back, in my mind, is a critical need this year.

Defensively, the situation is up in the air with regards to the DT position. Is McFarland coming back? If not, he'll be a tremendous loss and the Colts will obviously need to draft another, even though Ed Johnson, Darrell Reid and Quinn Pitcock shared those duties at various times this past season. Because of the play of those three backups, the drive to get a DT with their first pick in the second round isn't critical. But it is important. Either running back or DT (if McFarland doesn't return) with the first pick for the Colts in the 2008 draft.

After that, the Colts could use some help at cornerback and defensive end. Althought the secondary unit is deep, there is just no way the Colts can afford to have Tim Jennings on the field. Nor T.J. Rushing, either as a corner or a return specialist. Jamar Adams, 6-1 DB from Michigan would be a good 3rd round pickup here. And without Dwight Freeney, Mathis and Brock cannot generate enough of an outside push against the elite offensive lines in the league (read: New England and San Diego) to create the pressure needed in a Tampa 2 scheme.

So in summary to this point, if the Colts lost McFarland, Scott and Lilja, they would need to draft the following positions, probably in this order:

DT, RB, DE, CB, OL, OL. Or, DE, DT, RB, CB, OL, OL. That is six of seven picks right there, no matter the actual order. The final regular draft pick could be at wideout, (which is elevated immensely if Marvin Harrison cannot come back next season due to injury or surgery) or if the Colts do not believe Aromashodu is likely to work out as a competent receiving target. I like Aromashodu, and think he needs more time with Manning and the first unit to develop into a solid contributor. A linebacker or a backup and eventual replacement for Center Jeff Saturday is also a possibility with the other pick.

Keep in mind that historically, Bill Polian drafts offensive lineman in later rounds, then turns them over to one of the best line coaches in all football - Howard Mudd. What's more, there are solid players at running back who will be available all the way to the 3rd through 5th round because of the flood of defensive talent coming into the '08 draft. That means the second round draft for Indy will probably be defense.

Not a lot of ambiguity in the draft for the Colts this year, as their needs are quite obvious if they lose all three of those aforementioned starters. They aren't going to be hassled by a first round draft pick and the attendant money associated with it, so that helps. And without the 3 former starters, that drops some more money off the total cap.

Still, there is plenty of quality talent available in the 2008 draft and the Colts will have plenty of opportunity to enhance their team, which already enjoys the comfort of knowing it will have nearly the identical team returning next season.

As I said to begin with, some of this is predicated on what coach Dungy decides to do with his future, and whether his departure would be immediately filled by assistant coach Jim Caldwell. And I would suspect there would be no significant shift in team philosophy, so that would more or less guarantee continuity, as would Bill Polian. But most of the decisions will because of the potential losses to free agency on the offensive line and McFarland at DT.


Now I will use the matrix that I use as a correspondent for drafttek.com

It goes from 1-9.

Priority Code Definitions

P1- Highest Priority for Starter, will reach - only 1 per team
P2 - High Priority in need of starter, will possibly reach
P3 - High Priority in need of starter will not reach
P4 - General Need for Depth, Value Only - No reach
P5 - General Need for Depth
P6 - Operational only in lower rounds (rd 5-7)
P9- Will Not Draft - absolutely no need, do not select

Quantity Code Definition

blank - Will select at most 1
M - may select more than 1 at this position

Player Lockout List

Identify collegiate players that willnot fit what your team is looking for. Only positions of high need (P1,P2,P3)

So with that, here is my matrix for the Colts for the 2008 draft:


INDIANAPOLIS COLTS OFFENSE:

QB - 9 But I do wonder why they resigned Jim Sorgi as backup. The Colts are one of the only teams that carry just two quarterbacks. Punter Hunter Smith is the worst case scenario emergency QB if Manning and Sorgi are out. This is more of a supplemental draft pickup OR a vet minimum signing of an aging free agent.

RB - 3 Kenton Keith is a good #3 back, but he had problems catching passes (a cardinal sin in Indy) and doesn't have the bulk to bust through in 3rd and short situations. The Colts need a rotating starter like they had in Dominic Rhodes to share carries with Joe Addai. Addai was banged up mid to late season and wore down, creating the need for Keith to handle more carries than expected. The results weren't that pleasant. The Colts will be looking at a Jehruu Caulcrick (6-0, 255lb) type out of Michigan State, or someone like Arian Foster, 6-1, 215 from Tennessee. Big enough for short yardage, but speed to get to the second level and keep moving the chains, while wearing down the defense.

WR - 4 This may go to 3, even 2, depending on how the Colts evaluate Marvin Harrison and any potential surgery in the off-season. Rookie Anthony Gonzales benefitted from the Harrison injury (though was out due to injury a few games himself) and looks ready to take over the slot receiver position, allowing the Colts to use Dallas Clark in a more traditional TE setup. Depth at WR isn't the question, but rather, the quality of the depth. Roy Hall may be the odds on favorite if he can stay healthy. Craphonso Thorpe and Devin Aromashodo are the backups. They both showed promise during the times when they did get into the lineup with both Harrison and Gonzales out with injury. However, they didn't/don't get the required time in practice with Manning to equal the necessary production at that position. If Marvin has an enduring injury, then the Colts are forced to make a play for a top WR in the early rounds.

OT - 4- This position is set with the exceptional job by Tony Ugoh. There is always the need for added depth, so a "tweener" that can flex between OG and OT may be picked up here. Much depends on whether the Colts re-sign Lilja and Diem in the off-season. If they lose both to FA, the priortiy jumps up to 2. If they retain Diem, then the need for another OT is lessened. Bill Polian does not reach for offensive lineman. In fact, he usually waits until late in the draft and picks up the folks most people leave behind. And then there is offensive line coach Howard Mudd.

OG - 3. Again, it depends on the status of Lilja and Diem. But when injuries decimated the offensive line this past season, many stepped up and did a pretty decent job most of the time. . Michael Toudouze, 2 year player out of TCU received valuable playing time when the injuries hit this past season, and he could become the starter if Lilja or Diem both go. Diem looks to be the most vulnerable of the two in terms of not being re-signed if the Colts had to choose. Again, Bill Polian always seems to find great talent late in the draft, and Howard Mudd is one of the all-time best coaching up lineman. But the Colts seriously need a 6-4, 290+ type OG in this draft.


TE -4 Dallas Clark will be resigned or tagged. Bryan Fletcher has been okay and Utecht is too fragile to remain an option if he doesn't break out in 2008. If the Colts have to "tag" Dallas this year, that still leaves his future up in the air. The Colts ALWAYS look down the road past the obvious present. Which may mean that TE is a bigger priority this year than many suspect.


OC - 4 - Jeff Saturday is an exceptional starter. Pro Bowler the past two seasons, his age is requiring the Colts to begin looking for an eventual replacement. Coming into his 10th season, this veteran leader is Peyton Manning's glue. Given the aforementioned Polian perogative of late-round drafts for lineman on offense, and the uncertain long-term status of playmakers like Harrison and Clark, chances are slim they tab a replacement this year.

FB - 6, but almost a 9. Luke Lawton is going into his 4th season at the position and does a good job. Unless Owen Schmidtt is available, there isn't a pick at this position.


INDIANAPOLIS COLTS DEFENSE


DT - 4 Depends on the re-signing of Anthony "Booger" McFarland. If he returns, the Colts will not concentrate on this area as McFarland, Darrell Reid, undrafted sensation Ed Johnson and rookie Quinn Pitcock can provide adequate depth at this position.

DE - 4 - Freeney is one of a kind and it showed how big an impact he makes when the Colts were unable to shake Phillip Rivers in the AFC playoff game at Indy. Robert Mathis and Raheem Brock are good when Freeney is drawing attention to the other side. When he is not there, both are reduced to "pretty good" pass rushers. Look for the Colts to add at least one draft pick at this position. Rookie Kenyata Dawson did well and both he and Josh Thomas gained a lot of experience when the defense battled through multiple injuries. Same for Jeff Charleston, a two year vet from Idaho State. But Thomas hasn't "wowed" anyone and may be too slow to make the impact necessary for the defensive scheme.

LB - 6 Gary Brackett, Rob Morris and Freddy Keiaho, along with young Clint Sessions and Rocky Boiman collaboratively get the job done. I think the Colts have the nucleus and depth pretty much established at this position,. Rookies Ramon Guzman and Victor Worsley didn't see a ton of action, so their overall value is unknown at present, but they do add to the young depth of the Colt defense. I would have suspected that if an unexpected talent was sitting there at rounds 3 through 5, they pull the trigger. But with questions at OL and the overall health of Marvin and Freeney, plus long term future of Dallas Clark, I'm not so sure anymore.

SS - 6 The Colts are deep here. Melvin Bullit showed great promise, Matt Giordano is lightning quick and gaining more confidence with each game. AAntoine Bethea is a monster who is going into his third year with unlimited potential. Rookie Brandon Condren wasn't heard about much this season, so it remains to be seen if he is still around.

FS - 9 Bob Sanders. Nuff said. Giordano backs up this position.

CB - 4 For most of the year, I thought the Colt secondary was their strong suit defensively. Good depth and the starters were having great games. Then came the losses to New England and San Diego (both times). Tim Jennings was burned in the New England and San Diego game repeatedly. Jenning will survive so long as they utilize him against WR's around 5-11 to 6-2. After that, he is a liability. Michael Coe showed significant improvement this past year and at 6-0 isn't too small to match up against the taller WR's in the league. But other than those two and starters Hayden and Jackson, the Colts need more playmakers.

PK - 9 Hunter the punter is solid.....when he does get the chance.



Boiled down matrix:

Offense
QB - P9
RB - P3
WR - P4
OT - P4
OG - P3
TE - P4
C - P4
FB - P6

Defense

DT - P5
DE - P4
LB - P6
SS - P6
FS - P9
CB - P4
PK - P9





Tuesday, January 15, 2008

2008 NFL Mock Draft v3.0

Should be quite an interesting and unpredictable draft in April. Why? There are many, many solid free agents available this year, especially on defense. Lance Briggs, Terrell Suggs and Asante Samuel, just to name a few. In addition, there is an exorbitant amount of underclassmen declaring early for the NFL draft. Much of the expected top 32 picks (aside from maybe the top 4 or 5) are extremely close in talent level - at least going INTO the combine in Indy this coming February.

When you break it down like that, you can see many players being lumped together in that #5 to #20 pick range, with perhaps many teams trying to stay true to team needs but going for the best overall talent.

From picks #21 on down, much the same applies. Which basically helps lay the foundation for a very deep draft. Those expected to go early in the first or midway through the second round, can fall down in the 3rd to 4th rounds very easily. And barring a completely stunning combine by ALL of the top 3 QB candidates, I don't think more than two will go in the first round. I really don't.

In fact, I see some teams opting to wait until the 2nd or 3rd and then snatching up my 2008 version of Marques Colston: Joe Flacco, QB from Delaware. A smart team would certainly do well snatching a tall, rugged, mentally sharp, fundamentally sound QB in a later round rather than pursuing a 1st round (and expensive) QB draft.

The draft kicks off with Bill Parcells and the Dolphins, so we could see all hell break loose from the very outset ! Could be the most unpredictable draft in many a year unless the combine really sorts everything out.


1. Miami Dolphins - Glen Dorsey**, DT, Miami

** Anyone else wondering why Jerry Jones would allow Bill Parcells to "raid the store" for his new staff in Miami? Hmmm. It gives me a serious gut feeling that Jones & Parcells have an arrangement of some sort. Nothing nefarious, but since both are pretty good friends and can help the other out (and are from opposing conferences) it seems logical. Parcells rebuilds through multiple picks and Jerry Jones has the deep pockets to get a top player.

TEAM NEEDS: CB, DT, OT, WR, QB

2. St. Louis Rams - Chris Long, DE, Virginia
The Rams need defense more than a potential backup for Orlando Pace.

TEAM NEEDS: DT, ILB, WR, CB, OT

3. Atlanta Falcons - Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
There is so many ways the Falcons could go here - and much will be determined on whether or not Miami trades down - but if they have a shot at McFadden, I doubt they pass on him. The Falcons would do well to grab McFadden here and pick up Joe Flacco in the second or third round for their QB of the future.




TEAM NEEDS: QB, RB, OT, OG, DT, ILB, K, CB



4. Oakland Raiders - Jake Long, OL, Michigan
Not sure what the Raiders will do here, but they do need help protecting the QB and with Sapp retired they need to add to the DT positon. Jake Long is just too good a long-term benefit to pass.

TEAM NEEDS: DT, WR, DE, OT, OC, SS


5. Kansas City Chiefs - Ryan Clady, OT, Boise St.

There are many ways the Chiefs could go with this pick. Many are harping on the fact that Brodie Croyle isn't the answer. But any QB under the pass rushing attack he was subjected to this past season won't succeed. Not to mention the running game. So the Chiefs have to shore up the Oline first.

TEAM NEEDS: OT, CB, OG, OC, DB, LB, WR

6. New York Jets - Derrick Harvey, DE/OLB, Florida
Mangini will steal the pick that his mentor/rival Bellicheat coveted most. The Jets get an immediate monster that can add immense flexibility to the Jet defense.

TEAM NEEDS: OG, DE, ILB, OLB, DT, CB

7. N.E. Patriots(from SF) - Mike Jenkins, CB, USF
The rich just keep on getting richer. Although this is more of a need that it would appear because of Asante Samuels pending departure. If Derrick Harvey is available at this pick, the Pats pick him instead.

TEAM NEEDS: CB, OLB, RB


8. Baltimore Ravens - Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
I'm not convince ANY of the QB's will go first round in this draft because none of them stand out exceedingly well -unless the combine proves different, like it did for Jay Culter in 2005. But at this point, Ryan is tagged as probably the best bet of the three top candidates IF the Ravens go high for a QB. I'm thinking they may surprise us and take a CB. And do not be surprised at a trade down since this draft is loaded with talent - much of it due to the large amount of early-out underclassmen. Then again, the Ravens DO have 10 picks in the 2008.

TEAM NEEDS: OT, OLB, DE, CB, QB, WR,

9. Cincinnati Bengals - Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
Toss a dart on a Bengal defensive chart. Wherever it lands is as good a place to start as any other.

TEAM NEEDS: DEFENSE, period. DT, OLB, CB, DE, Then MAYBE a TE.

10. New Orleans Saints - Kenny Phillips, S, Miami or Vernon Gholston, DE,OSU When the Saints draft this year, the word "defense" will be a near perpetual one. The Saints take the best defensive player available at this spot, the next spot, the next spot and......well, you get the idea.

TEAM NEEDS: CB, ILB, OLB, DE, OT, OG

11. Buffalo Bills - Malcom Kelly, WR, Oklahoma
Lee Evans will be the happiest of all to see this pick. Well, him and the Bills fans, coach, OC, QB and Marshawn Lynch.

TEAM NEEDS: WR, TE, OLB, CB, DT
12. Denver Broncos - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon
Coach Shanahan won't want to give any other team a shot at a potentially great Bronco running back, so this pick would not surprise me at all. However, the Broncos also have needs on the offensive and defensive line, linebacker - not to mention getting his young QB some weapons at the wideout position.

Perhaps a combo of FA work and the draft will have to do the trick.



TEAM NEEDS: DT, OT, ILB, OLB, S, WR, OC


13. Carolina Panthers - Eric Young, OG, Tennessee
I have struggled on whether defensive or offensive line is the place to start for the Panthers. Could go either way, depending on the combine results.




TEAM NEEDS: OTm, OG, DE, FS, QB


14. Chicago Bears - Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas

The Bears MUST draft a running back or they go nowhere again. Their QB's can't pass when defenses know they can't run. And even if the Bears had LT, he couldn't run very effectively behind the current Bears offensive line. It's not all on the QB in Chicago, and the Bears would be wise to re-sign Grossman to an incentive based contrack, let him battle Kyle Orton, drop Brian Griese and bring in someone like Joe Flacco via the draft. But the offensive line and running game is priority #1.



TEAM NEEDS: OT, RB, SS, QB, OG, FS


15. Detroit Lions - Vernon Gholston, DE,Ohio St.
The Lions just allowed teams to pass all over them. Imagine this team with a decent pass rush and secondary, with some offensive line additions. Immediate playoff team - they were oh-so-close until the late swoon this past season.


TEAM NEEDS: CB, DE, DT, ILB, OG


16. Arizona Cardinals - Calais Campbell, DE, Miami
The Cards are inching closer to breaking through to the next level. But will they make it in time to take advantage of that prolific offense? This should help.

TEAM NEEDS: DE, OLB,CB, OLT, DT

17. Minnesota Vikings - Kentwaan Balmer, NT, N. Carolina
The Vikes could go WR with this pick, but only if there is a solid chance of getting someone in the mold of last year's rookie receiver Sidney Rice. Adrius Bowman or James Hardy are possibilities here, but I think DeSean Jackson is out because his size limits his ability coming off the line. Most NFL Dbacks will have near the same or better speed as Jackson, and they're much more physical than anyone he faced in college. To gain an advantage, the Vikings must go for a taller, more physical receiver. Perhaps Marcus Monk in the next round since the Vikings DO NEED a defensive tackle to create pressure in the middle.

TEAM NEEDS: WR, DL, S

18. Houston Texans - Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois
This will be either a RB or OL pick, but either way the Texans are a team on the rise. If they can add one of each it could help them contend for a playoff spot immediately. I think Mendenhall will be too good a risk to pass up.


TEAM NEEDS: RB, OT, FS, CB, DE


19. Philadelphia Eagles - Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, Tennessee State
Good prospect for the Eagle secondary AND he can be utilized as a punt/kick returner. Eagles might be tempted to swing for the fences on a #1 WR with this pick depending on the combine results.




TEAM NEEDS: DE, TE, OT, CB, LB


20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Adarius Bowman, WR, Oklahoma State
They lack weapons in their passing attack no matter the QB. Even a big TE would help in this slot. I think they can afford to wait on trying to pick up another QB.


TEAM NEEDS: DT, QB, RB, WR, OT


21. Washington Redskins - Kentwaan Balmer, DT, North Carolina
Either a top corner or defensive lineman is called for at this pick. Trying to help bolster the run defense is a good move, but so is trying to regain some depth in the secondary.


TEAM NEEDS: DE, DT, CB, WR, OG, OT


22. Dallas Cowboys (Cleve.) - Aquib Calib, CB, Kansas
This may be the Dolphins pick if the trade I mentioned earlier comes to fruition. If not, the 'Boys must replace Jacques Reeves. Even though I'm a Boilermaker, Reeves was (and is) bad. Think of Reeves as a slower, more helpless Jason David!


TEAM NEEDS: CB, RB, WR


23. Seattle Seahawks - Martellus Bennett, TE, Texas A&M
If Mike Holmgren stays he can help his offense immensely by adding a playmaking tight end. Otherwise, an addition to the secondary is the pick here.

TEAM NEEDS: OG, DT, WR, RB, DE

24. Pittsburgh Steelers - Jeff Otah, OT, Pitt
Can't think of a better fit or a need that is filled than addint a solid OT with this pick.


TEAM NEEDS: OG, DE, WR, ILB, CB,


25. Tennessee Titans - Terrell Thomas, CB, USC
Looks like Pacman isn't returning anytime soon, and the Titans do need secondary help. But they also need targets for Vince Young, so they could snag a WR with this pick.

TEAM NEEDS: WR, DT, DT, OGm, TE, CB

26. Jacksonville Jaguars - James Hardy, WR, Indiana
Hardy has personal baggage, so be advised. That and a poor showing at the combine could send him spiraling down to around the 5th or 6th round. Then hte Jags also might want to add to their secondary.


TEAM NEEDS: DE, WR, CB


27. Dallas Cowboys - Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas
More work on the secondary, unless they take a corner earlier or trade to Miami.

TEAM NEEDS: CBm, RB, WR

28. S.F. 49ers (from Indy) - Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
Look for Mario Manningham, Marcus Monk or D.J. hall landing here if they have better combines.

TEAM NEEDS: WR, DT, DE, OG, OC

29. San Diego Chargers - Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona
The Chargers were picked apart by opposing passing attacks and need to solidify that part of their team. Cromartie anchors a good start, and Cason can only help even more.

TEAM NEEDS: ILB, DEm, WR


30. Green Bay Packers - Fred Davis, TE, USC
If Favre jad a standout, go-to TE this past year, the Packers may have gone undefeated in the NFC. Add the talent and size of Fred Davis to a now productive running game and dangerous wideouts, and the Packer offense is extremely potent. Help along the offensive line is needed as well.

efensive help in the middle of the field, and the ability to pick the RB or TE off the line is critical for the G-men as they blitz constantly. Crable should help.

TEAM NEEDS: CB, OT, TE

31. New York Giants - Shawn Crable, LB, Michigan
Defensive help in the middle of the field and the ability to pick the RB or TE coming off the opposing line is critical for the G-men as they love to blitz. Crable should help and make Justin Tuck even more dangerous.

TEAM NEEDS: CB, OT, FS, OLB


32. New England Patriots - Forfeited




Sunday, January 13, 2008

Incredible Loss Incredibly Inexplicable

Not sure what I just witnessed a little less than 7 hours ago. The defending Super Bowl champions were gloriously ahead 7-0 against the San Diego Chargers, in the Divisional Playoff game. Then the Colts were poised to score again, quickly moving downfield, getting ready for an additional body blow to the Chargers in the form of a 14-0 lead. At home. In the Dome.

And on a brilliant pass and catch from our legendary tandem, Manning to Harrison, we watch in as the sleek Harrison darts across the middle with the ball. Ready to turn the corner, he spins away from a tackle, is hit, and the ball pops out and lands on the Dome turf. Rookie wideout Gonzales is oh-so-close but cannot reach it in time. The ball is recovered by the Chargers.

Let the madness begin.

Indianapolis finally had its star wide receiver back. The offensive line is healthy and whole for the first time a long while. The defense is still without Dwight Freeney, but everyone else is seemingly ready and able to go again. It is all set up for us.

One of San Diego's major weapons, tight end Antonio Gates, is nearly a non-factor with a toe injury. The remarkable Ladanian Tomlinson is rendered a spectator along the sidelines for the entire second half, and the young but still erratic QB Rivers goes out with a leg injury in the late portion of the 3rd quarter. The Colts special teams play has been, well....special throughout the game. It must be destined for us to move on to play the Patriots yet again.

Someone just forgot to tell Billy Volek and Legedu Nanjee. Damn that's hard to type. Not because of the spelling, but because of who they represent. Nobodies off the bench. Stop gap measures. Two guys even Charger fans didn't expect to see today. And along with Michael Turner and Vincent Jackson the Chargers answered every score the Colts put on the scoreboard. They all came through and laid a hurting on the Colts in the form of a 28-24 heartbreaking stunner in the Dome.

The crowd was the LOUDEST I have ever heard it. Just completely deafening, causing so much confusion in the SD offense that timeouts were wasted, offsides were called numerous times and audibles were impossible. Peyton Manning threw for over 400 yards and three TD's. Still, they drove and scored. Against a Colts defense that was the hardest to score against and the toughest to move the ball against in the entire NFL this season.

It just wasn't meant to be after it looked so apparently obvious that it was.

No way to explain it other than it was a completely inexplicable failure to capitalize on so many opportunities. Home field. Roaring crowd. QB on fire, hitting on 14 of 14 opening passes. Special teams playing well.

But the turnovers and inadequate defensive front pressure created the opportunity for San Diego to snatch one away. So did the bizarre penalties by veteran defensive players like Bob Sanders - the NFL's defensive player of the year. Unimaginable and inexplainable.

And when our offense could not put the ball in the endzone three times on drives inside SD redzone territory, we paid with a season-ending loss.

That rainy triumph in Florida seems even more distant now. Off-season has come three weeks earlier than anticipated or desired. And what tops everything off with more bitter taste is the fact that it might lead to another Super Bowl for that "other" team.

Oh God, how miserable it will be to hear that for the next month and on into next season. Please God, do not make us suffer that tortureous fate.


I beg of you. Make them fall short of perfect. It would be the healing salve of this painful loss. This incredible loss that seems so incredibly inexplicable.

Friday, January 11, 2008

Early 2008 Sports Musings

It's Divisional Playoff Eve.....and the Colts get ready to make it back to the Super Bowl for the second year in a row. San Diego's Chargers come to town and will meet up in what could be the final game in the Hoosier/RCA Dome - unless both Indy and Jacksonville win - which would give the Colts one more chance to play in that venue. Either way is fine, so long as the get back to the Super Bowl and win their second in a row.

Imagining the Indianapolis skyline (what little of one there is !) will be hard to do without seeing the Dome as part of it. When I left for Basic Training in the summer of 1983 (August) it was just being completed and the roof had just been inflated, so it was interesting to see what it did to the downtown area. I never had he chance to go to a Colts game until December 2004 - over 20 years later - because I was overseas 95% of the time and just never had the opportunity.

But I picked a great one for the first visit. Peyton Manning setting the TD passing record, breaking Dan Marino's old mark, as the Colts came from behind to knock off the Drew Brees and Ladanian Tomlinson-led Chargers. The crowd was as wild and loud as any I have ever been a part of (and I've been to many) in different venues I have visited around the world.

The Dome is just plain LOUD.

So at any rate, the Colts are poised to make another championship run, and the Pacers continue to disgrace the city with horrible play, horrible players and horrible decision making by both players and management. I never thought the Pacer franchise would sink this low....but I haven't a desire to go see a Pacer's game since Reggie left, and every couple of weeks they give me additional reasons not to bother.

The Purdue men's basketball team is doing well with a solid group of young players that will give opponents fits with pressure defense and a never-say-die attitude. They should be a top three B10 team (minimum) the next four years, and a player in the NCAA tournament as well.

For the Boiler football team, what a disaster. I just can't bear to talk about it. Underachieving players with underachieving coaching and an AD that has no clue to bringing in a coach that could take it to the next level. Instead, he brings in a Purdue assistant retread, from world reknowned Eastern Kentucky ??? Yep. That Eastern Kentucky. A true powerhouse !

So on the 11th of January at around 6:30 p.m., as I get ready to relax, watch 3:10 to Yuma following ABC Propaganda,er, News and get set for playoff football weekend. Should be a fun weekend - so long as my Colts win !!!

Thursday, January 10, 2008

2008 NFL Mock Draft v2.0

The draft order will be a bit up in the air at the #3, #4 and #5 picks. Some are reporting that there will be coin flips involved to sort it all out, but I am not too certain what will happen. As it stands now, I am going strictly on how they finished.

1. Dallas -Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas


A deal with Miami's Bill Parcells nets Jerry Jones the first pick and Darren McFadden, while the Dolphins get much needed multiple draft picks to turn the fortunes of the lowly Dolphins around. Outside chance Parcells goes ahead and takes Glen Dorsey at #1, but I doubt it.


2. St. Louis - Jake Long, OT, Michigan


The Rams keep seeing Orlando Pace getting hurt and wrecking the protection and running game. This will help combat that problem.


Also worth considering: Chris Long, DE, Virginia



3. Atlanta Falcons - Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College


There is a slight chance that, depending on who Blank brings in as GM and coach, the Falcons trade down. They could help bolster their defense with more draft picks, and then add a QB in round 2. (Can you say Joe Flacco in round two? I knew you could.)



4. Oakland Raiders - Chris Long, DE, Virginia



Just seems like the right fit, although DT and the offensive line need help as well.


Also worth considering: Ryan Clady, OT, Boise State



5. Kansas City Chiefs - Glen Dorsey, DT, LSU


How lucky can you get? Needs outweigh getting arguably the best available player in the first four picks of the draft, and the Chiefs benefit. More ironic is the fact KC wasn't in desperate need at this position.


Also worth considering: Malcom Jenkins, CB, Ohio State



6. N.Y. Jets - James Lauranaitis, MLB, Ohio State


The Jet faithful are now nearly in a full panic mode as they see McFadden gone. However, it could help bolster the LB corps and the defense. The Jets have so many varied needs that they'll go for who they consider is the best available athlete.Also worth considering: Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC



7. NE Patriots (from SF) - Derrick Harvey, LB, Florida


The Patriots need to replace their linebackers, two of which have gone just about as far as they can. This guy is a tweener on the DLine and OLB. Perfect flexibility and versatility for Bellicheat, er, chick.


Also worth considering: Lauranitis or Mauluagua, one of which would be remaining.


8. Baltimore Ravens - Ryan Clady, OT, Boise St.


Tough call here. I think they can do okay with QB's Boller and Smith, but they need help at WR and depth on OL. The defense may stand some help in the secondary as well, but that can come later.


Also worth considering: Wideouts DeSean Jackson, Malcom Kelly or Mario Manningham


9. Cincinnati Bengals - Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC


Defense, defense, defense. IF they draft one player for offense, it would be a wasted pick. This team needs huge help on defense.


Also worth considering: Vernon Gholston, DE, Ohio State



10. New Orleans Saints - Kenny Phillips, S, Miami


Another team needing much help on defense, as their offense is pretty much set with the exception of a #3 WR and a big TE. But those can afford to be overlooked early.


Also worth considering: Vernon Gholston, DE, Ohio St.


11. Buffalo Bills - Malcom Kelly, WR, Oklahoma


Cannot pass up a big wide receiver to help the offense move the chains and let the defense rest. Also frees up Lee Evans a bit more.


Also worth considering: Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas



12. Denver Broncos - Adarius Bowman, WR, Ok. State


The Broncos could go in one of many directions in this position. They need some added depth at offensive line, the tackle position on defense, the secondary and even wide receiver. With Rod Smith retiring and Javon Walker yapping about wanting to be traded, the receiver position just might supplant the need for a defensive pick.


Also worth considering: Adarius Bowman, WR, Ok. St. or Pat Sims, DT, Auburn



13. Carolina Panthers - Sam Baker, OT, USC


Offensive line additions early on. Plenty of solid candidates available and with a 1st round pick.


Also worth considering: Alex Boone, OT, Ohio St. or Lawrence Jackson, DE, USC



14. Chicago Bears - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon


The Bears need a running game, then help on the offensive line. Fix those two positions, and the three QB's they had last year would be just fine.


Also worth considering: Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas



15. Detroit Lions - Calais Campbell, DE, Miami


Defensive line and secondary needs bolstered.


Also worth considering: Reggie Smith, CB, Oklahoma



16. Arizona Cardinals - Lawrence Jackson, DE, USC


Same for the Cards. DLine and secondary help.


Also worth considering: Quentin Groves, DE, Auburn



17. Minnesota Vikings - Devin Thomas, WR, Michigan St.


It's going to be all about stretching the field with capable wideouts.


Also worth considering: Early Doucet, WR, LSU



18. Houston Texans - Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas


Also worth considering: Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt



19. Philadelphia Eagles - Rey Maulugua, LB, USC or Keith Rivers, LB, USC


The Eagles have to shore up the middle of their defense, but are also going to target a wideout. Mauluagu hasn't announced his intention of entering the NFL draft yet, but one or the other might end up in Philly.


Also worth considering: Early Doucet, WR, LSU



20-Tampa Bay - Limas Sweed, WR, Texas


The Bucs need added firepower in the receiving corps and Devin Thomas will make a solid impact. He's tough, sturdy, doesn't mind getting dirty and has good hands. Could be the sleeper of all the wideouts coming out of college this year.


Also worth considering: Devin Thomas, WR, Michigan St.



21. Washington Redskins - Mike Jenkins, CB, USF


He jumped ahead of Malcom Jenkins after the poor performance vs LSU


Also worth considering: Limas Sweed, WR, Texas



22. Miami Dolphins (from Dallas via Cleveland) - Trades down



23. Pittsburgh Steelers - Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh


Also worth considering: Michael Oher, OT, Mississippi



24. Tennessee Titans - Early Doucet, WR, LSU


The Titans need a sure-handed receiver who can get open and pick up first downs.


Also worth considering: Mario Urruttia, WR, Louisville



25. Seattle Seahawks - Quentin Groves, DE, Auburn


If Holmgren stays, he will want to add a weapon at TE. If he doesn't stay, who knows.


Also worth considering: Eric Young, OG, Tennessee



26. N.Y Giants - Ali Highsmith, LB, LSU


Giants defense getting tougher all the time. Will Strahan come back? If not, they go for a DE.


Also worth considering: Frank Okam, DT, Texas



27. San Diego Chargers - Rivers or Mualuaga, LB,USC


Good overall team depth, but help at LB and secondary depth is needed. If either of the the Trojan LB's slip this far, the Chargers will be extremely delighted.


Also worth considering: Antoine Case, CB, Arizona



28. Jacksonville Jaguars - James Hardy, WR, Indiana


I don't see Hardy making it in the NFL. But I could be wrong.


Also worth considering: Shawn Crable, OLB, Michigan



29. Green Bay Packers - Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois


Also worth considering: Tracey Porter, CB, Indiana



30. San Francisco (from Indy) - Eric Young, OG, Tennessee

Dead last in passing offense for the entire 2007, it wouldn't surprise me if they go WR with their first pick. But they do need OLine and DLine help too.

Wallace Gilberry, DE, Alabama

31. Miami (from Dallas) Trades down

32. Forfeited by New England

ROUND TWO PROJECTIONS:

33. Miami - Joe Flacco, QB, Delaware

34. St. Louis - Vernon Gholston, DT, Ohio St.

35. Atlanta - Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville

36. Oakland - Phil Loadholt, OT, Oklahoma

37. Kansas City - Alex Boone, OT, Ohio St.

38. N.Y. Jets - Ray Rice, RB, Rutgers

39. San Francisco - Mario Urrittia, WR, Louisville

40. Baltimore - Andre Woodsen, QB, Kentucky

41. Cincinnati - Dan Connor, LB, Penn St.

42. New Orleans - Aquib Talib,CB, Kansas

43. Buffalo - Shawn Crable, LB, Michigan

44. Denver - Reggie Smith, DB, Oklahoma

45. Carolina - Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU

46. Chicago - Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt

47. Detroit - Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy

48. Arizona - Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona

49. Minnesota - Cliff Avril, DE, Purdue

50. Atlanta - Charles Godfrey, CB, Iowa

51. Philadelphia - Steve Slaton, RB, W. Virginia

52. Tampa Bay - Erin Henderson, LB, Maryland

53. Washington - Gosder Cherilus,OT, Boston College

54. Cleveland - Jamaal Charles, RB, Texas

55. Pittsburgh - DeJuan Tribble, CB, Boston College

56. Tennessee - Kentwan Balmer, DT, N. Carolina

57. Seattle - Martellus Bennett, TE, Texas A&M

58. N.Y. Giants - Mike Hart, RB, Michigan

59. Jacksonville - Patrick Lee, CB, Auburn

60. San Diego - Ezra Butler, LB, Nevada

61. Green Bay - Marcus Griffin, CB, Texas

62. Indianapolis - Marcus Monk, WR, Arkansas

63. Miami(via Dallas) - Chris Ellis, DE, Va Tech

64. New England - Phillip Wheeler, LB, Georgia Tech

ROUND THREE PROJECTIONS:

65. Miami - Roy Schuening, OG, Oregon St.

66. St. Louis - Terrell Thomas, CB, USC

67. Atlanta - Carl Nicks, OT, Nebraska

68. Oakland - Red Bryant, Texas A&M

69. Kansas City - Brandon Flower, CB, Va. Tech

70. N.Y. Jets - Fred Davis, TE, USC

71. San Francisco - Bruce Davis, DE, UCLA

72. Buffalo - Beau Bell, LB, UNLV

73. Cincinatti - Geno Hayes, LB, Florida St.

74. New Orleans - Jerod Mayo, LB, Tennessee

75. Buffalo - Adrian Arrington, WR, Michigan

76. Minnesota - Barry Richardson, OT, Clemson

77. Carolina - Tony Hills, OT, Texas

78. Chicago - Jacob Hester, FB, LSU

79. Detroit - Chris Johnson, RB, East Carolina

80. Arizona - Kendall Langford, DT, Hampton

81. Minnesota - Chevis Jackson, CB, LSU

82. Houston - Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, Tenn. St.

83. Philadelphia - Hilee Taylor, DE, N. Carolina

84. Tampa Bay - Jonathan Goff, LB, Vanderbilt

85. Washington - Jason Jones, DE, E. Michigan

86. Cleveland - Owen Schmitt, FB, W. Virginia

87. Pittsburgh - Vince Hall, LB, Va Tech

88. Tennessee - Andre Caldwell, WR, Florida

89. Tampa Bay - Erik Ainge, QB, Tennessee

90. N.Y. Giants - Greg Carr, WR, Florida St.

91. Jacksonville - Justin King, CB, Penn St.

92. San Diego - Trae Williams, CB, USF

93. Green Bay - Martin Rucker, TE, Missouri

94. Indianapolis - DeMario Pressley, N.C. State

95. Dallas - Darnell Terrell, CB, Missouri

96. New England - D.J. Hall, WR, Alabama